Language:English
Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
Head to Head
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.647%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.86%28.75%28.74%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.253.5433.90%30.83%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 71.29%1.40fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.25%71.26%73.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.3778.13%75.46%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 28.71%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 71.29%. For Jacob Fearnley (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.54, producing a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.64%E +0.464%K +0.647%G +0.011% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.940%E -0.273%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.34%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.24%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -8.04%E -6.23%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.48%E -3.34%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -8.75%E -6.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-04 21:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.34%E -1.71%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 01:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.04%E -6.23%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.30%E -5.19%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.75%E -6.84%K -31.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |