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Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
Direkter Vergleich
Jacob Fearnley (Heim)
Prognose 28.67%3.49faire Quote
EV +1.51%
Vorteil +0.425%
Kelly +0.593%
Wachstum +0.009%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.54
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.86%28.78%28.73%30.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.053.253.253.5432.79%30.77%30.77%28.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)
Prognose 71.33%1.40faire Quote
EV -2.28%
Vorteil -1.67%
Kelly -6.17%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.37
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
69.32%71.22%71.27%73.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.43%75.19%72.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Jacob Fearnley (Heim): 28.67%; Jakub Mensik (Auswärts): 71.33%. Für Jacob Fearnley (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.49. 4 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 3.54 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.51%.
Wettanbieterquoten (40 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.51%E +0.425%K +0.593%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.37%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.28%E -1.67%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.70%E -6.80%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Novig | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |