Język:Polski
Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.67%3.49kurs godziwy
EV +1.51%
Przewaga +0.425%
Kelly +0.593%
Wzrost +0.009%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.54
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.86%28.78%28.73%30.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.053.253.253.5432.79%30.77%30.77%28.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 71.33%1.40kurs godziwy
EV -2.28%
Przewaga -1.67%
Kelly -6.17%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.37
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
69.32%71.22%71.27%73.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.43%75.19%72.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze): 28.67%; Jakub Mensik (Goście): 71.33%. Dla wyniku Jacob Fearnley (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.49. 4 bukmacherów oferuje kursy powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.54, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +1.51%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (40 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.51%E +0.425%K +0.593%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.37%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.28%E -1.67%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.70%E -6.80%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Novig | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |