Langue:Français
Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
Résultat du match
Jacob Fearnley (Local)
Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.593%
Croissance +0.009%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.86%28.78%28.73%30.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.253.253.5432.79%30.77%30.77%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.33%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -6.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.32%71.22%71.27%73.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.43%75.19%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jacob Fearnley (Local) : 28.67% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 71.33%. Pour Jacob Fearnley (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.49. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.54, pour une espérance positive de +1.51%.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.51%E +0.425%K +0.593%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 01:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 22:43 |
| GTbets | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.37%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:10 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 02:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| betano_uk | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:43 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 01:34 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.28%E -1.67%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 22:20 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 02:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Neds | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.70%E -6.80%K -31.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 01:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Novig | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 02:45 |