Language:English
Bookmaker Calibration
This page measures how accurately each predictor forecasts real results. Every tracked bookmaker and each Odds.School estimator is scored by the same rule — none hidden for scoring poorly — so you can compare whether aggregating the market predicts better or worse than any single book. Any predictor here, including a single sharp bookmaker, can be adopted as your model elsewhere on the site.
Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.
Over the last 14 days the site’s own estimator scores above 51 of 79 tracked bookmakers on two-way markets at the closing line, measured on 435 settled games against the leading bookmaker’s 134.
Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.
Last tick before commence (closing line)
1167 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.
2-way markets (no draw slot)
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | betfred_uk | 134 | 5.91% | 0.3832 | 0.4996 | 0.2329 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 2 | PMU (FR) | 160 | 8.40% | 0.3847 | 0.4999 | 0.2304 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 3 | Sky Bet | 148 | 6.80% | 0.3986 | 0.4955 | 0.1957 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 4 | BoyleSports | 276 | 5.68% | 0.4092 | 0.4979 | 0.1782 | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| 5 | William Hill | 235 | 5.79% | 0.4134 | 0.4960 | 0.1665 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 6 | Unibet (NL) | 385 | 4.91% | 0.4224 | 0.4997 | 0.1547 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 324 | 5.70% | 0.4216 | 0.4985 | 0.1543 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 8 | Coral | 324 | 5.69% | 0.4218 | 0.4985 | 0.1538 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 9 | 888sport (SE) | 345 | 5.88% | 0.4246 | 0.4997 | 0.1503 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 10 | LowVig.ag | 362 | 3.16% | 0.4234 | 0.4982 | 0.1501 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 11 | Mr Green (SE) | 345 | 5.87% | 0.4249 | 0.4997 | 0.1496 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 12 | Casumo | 344 | 5.12% | 0.4253 | 0.4996 | 0.1487 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 13 | Svenska Spel | 348 | 4.45% | 0.4253 | 0.4994 | 0.1484 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 14 | Coolbet | 354 | 4.59% | 0.4243 | 0.4977 | 0.1474 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 15 | 888sport | 352 | 5.84% | 0.4261 | 0.4992 | 0.1463 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 16 | Bet Victor | 336 | 7.11% | 0.4267 | 0.4991 | 0.1452 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 17 | Unibet | 398 | 5.15% | 0.4273 | 0.4992 | 0.1441 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 18 | betano_uk | 333 | 7.08% | 0.4271 | 0.4990 | 0.1440 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 19 | Winamax (DE) | 311 | 4.89% | 0.4267 | 0.4981 | 0.1434 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 20 | TABtouch | 391 | 5.41% | 0.4285 | 0.4997 | 0.1425 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 21 | LeoVegas | 333 | 6.47% | 0.4288 | 0.4995 | 0.1415 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 22 | Pinnacle | 422 | 2.90% | 0.4291 | 0.4993 | 0.1407 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 23 | Smarkets | 280 | 2.29% | 0.4272 | 0.4969 | 0.1403 | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| 24 | 1xBet | 326 | 3.05% | 0.4281 | 0.4977 | 0.1399 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 25 | TAB | 337 | 5.28% | 0.4303 | 0.4998 | 0.1391 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 26 | BetOnline.ag | 401 | 3.24% | 0.4297 | 0.4984 | 0.1378 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 27 | Grosvenor | 358 | 7.31% | 0.4304 | 0.4990 | 0.1374 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 28 | Betway | 365 | 5.57% | 0.4290 | 0.4973 | 0.1374 | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| 29 | Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 435 | — | 0.4312 | 0.4994 | 0.1367 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 30 | Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) | 435 | — | 0.4312 | 0.4994 | 0.1366 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 31 | Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) | 435 | — | 0.4312 | 0.4994 | 0.1366 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 32 | Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) | 435 | — | 0.4312 | 0.4994 | 0.1365 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 33 | Tipico (DE) | 315 | 7.03% | 0.4313 | 0.4994 | 0.1363 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 34 | Neds | 407 | 5.57% | 0.4319 | 0.4999 | 0.1361 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 35 | Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 435 | — | 0.4315 | 0.4994 | 0.1360 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 36 | LeoVegas (SE) | 378 | 5.40% | 0.4317 | 0.4995 | 0.1357 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 37 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 405 | 0.86% | 0.4313 | 0.4989 | 0.1355 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 38 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 405 | 0.85% | 0.4315 | 0.4989 | 0.1352 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 39 | theScore Bet | 379 | 4.18% | 0.4316 | 0.4990 | 0.1350 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 40 | PlayUp | 371 | 5.40% | 0.4325 | 0.4996 | 0.1343 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 41 | ATG (SE) | 359 | 5.08% | 0.4319 | 0.4989 | 0.1343 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 42 | Winamax (FR) | 318 | 6.11% | 0.4309 | 0.4976 | 0.1340 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 43 | Fanatics | 375 | 4.94% | 0.4326 | 0.4994 | 0.1338 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 44 | Marathon Bet | 313 | 5.47% | 0.4315 | 0.4982 | 0.1337 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 45 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 421 | 1.09% | 0.4336 | 0.4995 | 0.1320 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 46 | DraftKings | 401 | 3.60% | 0.4337 | 0.4993 | 0.1314 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 47 | Unibet (UK) | 360 | 4.45% | 0.4325 | 0.4974 | 0.1304 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 48 | Unibet (FR) | 304 | 6.01% | 0.4339 | 0.4989 | 0.1303 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 49 | Paddy Power | 400 | 7.08% | 0.4344 | 0.4994 | 0.1301 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 50 | Unibet (SE) | 392 | 4.88% | 0.4349 | 0.4998 | 0.1299 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 51 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 428 | 5.56% | 0.4351 | 0.4996 | 0.1292 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 52 | Betr (AU) | 412 | 5.70% | 0.4356 | 0.4997 | 0.1284 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 53 | ReBet | 378 | 4.98% | 0.4352 | 0.4980 | 0.1260 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 54 | PointsBet (AU) | 355 | 5.22% | 0.4360 | 0.4989 | 0.1259 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 55 | Bally Bet | 390 | 5.20% | 0.4361 | 0.4987 | 0.1255 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 56 | FanDuel | 401 | 3.43% | 0.4357 | 0.4981 | 0.1253 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 57 | SportsBet | 412 | 5.76% | 0.4373 | 0.4999 | 0.1252 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 58 | BetUS | 354 | 3.73% | 0.4360 | 0.4973 | 0.1233 | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| 59 | betPARX | 387 | 5.09% | 0.4382 | 0.4988 | 0.1216 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 60 | BetMGM | 385 | 5.13% | 0.4384 | 0.4988 | 0.1211 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 61 | NetBet (FR) | 35 | 10.89% | 0.4105 | 0.4669 | 0.1209 | 37.1% / 62.9% |
| 62 | BetAnything | 377 | 3.92% | 0.4385 | 0.4987 | 0.1209 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 63 | LiveScore Bet | 323 | 6.02% | 0.4375 | 0.4975 | 0.1206 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 64 | ProphetX | 382 | 1.03% | 0.4388 | 0.4986 | 0.1199 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 65 | NordicBet | 396 | 5.72% | 0.4387 | 0.4985 | 0.1199 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 66 | Novig | 383 | 1.24% | 0.4392 | 0.4990 | 0.1198 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 67 | Fliff | 320 | 6.35% | 0.4391 | 0.4988 | 0.1196 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 68 | Virgin Bet | 323 | 6.02% | 0.4382 | 0.4975 | 0.1191 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 69 | Caesars | 388 | 4.23% | 0.4391 | 0.4984 | 0.1191 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 70 | BetRivers | 403 | 4.64% | 0.4403 | 0.4995 | 0.1186 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 71 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 275 | 5.18% | 0.4383 | 0.4971 | 0.1183 | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| 72 | Bovada | 387 | 4.44% | 0.4396 | 0.4985 | 0.1182 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 73 | Betclic (FR) | 312 | 7.58% | 0.4395 | 0.4983 | 0.1181 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 74 | Hard Rock Bet | 384 | 3.77% | 0.4397 | 0.4984 | 0.1178 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 75 | Betsson | 395 | 5.72% | 0.4402 | 0.4983 | 0.1166 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 76 | Matchbook | 387 | 1.38% | 0.4419 | 0.4996 | 0.1155 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 77 | GTbets | 355 | 3.49% | 0.4429 | 0.4995 | 0.1133 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 78 | Bet Right | 273 | 4.90% | 0.4547 | 0.5000 | 0.0906 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 79 | Kalshi | 209 | 1.24% | 0.4539 | 0.4991 | 0.0906 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 80 | Polymarket | 210 | 1.04% | 0.4546 | 0.4989 | 0.0888 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 81 | Dabble (AU) | 202 | 5.51% | 0.4583 | 0.4969 | 0.0776 | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| 82 | MyBookie.ag | 237 | 4.30% | 0.4618 | 0.4989 | 0.0744 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 83 | Everygame | 113 | 2.51% | 0.4676 | 0.4934 | 0.0522 | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| 84 | BetOpenly | 136 | 1.57% | 0.4835 | 0.4983 | 0.0297 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
3-way markets (home / away / draw)
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everygame | 39 | 5.55% | 0.5134 | 0.6259 | 0.1798 | 46.2% / 35.9% / 17.9% |
| 2 | NetBet (FR) | 309 | 12.56% | 0.5626 | 0.6474 | 0.1310 | 39.2% / 38.8% / 22.0% |
| 3 | Suprabets | 78 | 8.10% | 0.5715 | 0.6460 | 0.1153 | 41.0% / 37.2% / 21.8% |
| 4 | Winamax (DE) | 499 | 9.48% | 0.5793 | 0.6527 | 0.1125 | 39.7% / 36.5% / 23.8% |
| 5 | Unibet (UK) | 532 | 6.74% | 0.5837 | 0.6573 | 0.1119 | 38.5% / 35.9% / 25.6% |
| 6 | Winamax (FR) | 471 | 11.48% | 0.5795 | 0.6522 | 0.1115 | 39.1% / 37.4% / 23.6% |
| 7 | Betclic (FR) | 408 | 10.50% | 0.5808 | 0.6527 | 0.1103 | 41.4% / 33.8% / 24.8% |
| 8 | Svenska Spel | 577 | 6.21% | 0.5823 | 0.6542 | 0.1099 | 40.4% / 34.8% / 24.8% |
| 9 | ATG (SE) | 577 | 6.26% | 0.5823 | 0.6542 | 0.1098 | 40.4% / 34.8% / 24.8% |
| 10 | PMU (FR) | 433 | 11.90% | 0.5813 | 0.6500 | 0.1057 | 42.3% / 33.7% / 24.0% |
| 11 | Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 730 | — | 0.5878 | 0.6569 | 0.1052 | 38.9% / 35.6% / 25.5% |
| 12 | Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) | 730 | — | 0.5879 | 0.6569 | 0.1050 | 38.9% / 35.6% / 25.5% |
| 13 | Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 730 | — | 0.5879 | 0.6569 | 0.1050 | 38.9% / 35.6% / 25.5% |
| 14 | Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) | 730 | — | 0.5880 | 0.6569 | 0.1049 | 38.9% / 35.6% / 25.5% |
| 15 | Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) | 730 | — | 0.5880 | 0.6569 | 0.1049 | 38.9% / 35.6% / 25.5% |
| 16 | Unibet (NL) | 583 | 7.69% | 0.5891 | 0.6564 | 0.1025 | 40.0% / 34.3% / 25.7% |
| 17 | Grosvenor | 602 | 8.79% | 0.5892 | 0.6562 | 0.1021 | 39.2% / 35.5% / 25.2% |
| 18 | 888sport | 527 | 9.80% | 0.5902 | 0.6572 | 0.1020 | 38.0% / 36.6% / 25.4% |
| 19 | Unibet | 640 | 8.19% | 0.5912 | 0.6576 | 0.1010 | 39.1% / 35.0% / 25.9% |
| 20 | 888sport (SE) | 522 | 9.79% | 0.5924 | 0.6573 | 0.0987 | 37.9% / 36.6% / 25.5% |
| 21 | LiveScore Bet | 638 | 12.21% | 0.5929 | 0.6577 | 0.0985 | 39.2% / 34.8% / 26.0% |
| 22 | Virgin Bet | 638 | 12.22% | 0.5931 | 0.6577 | 0.0982 | 39.2% / 34.8% / 26.0% |
| 23 | Tipico (DE) | 600 | 8.42% | 0.5916 | 0.6548 | 0.0965 | 38.7% / 36.8% / 24.5% |
| 24 | BetMGM | 503 | 7.30% | 0.5924 | 0.6551 | 0.0958 | 40.0% / 35.0% / 25.0% |
| 25 | Mr Green (SE) | 580 | 9.66% | 0.5938 | 0.6566 | 0.0957 | 39.3% / 35.2% / 25.5% |
| 26 | LeoVegas (SE) | 632 | 10.38% | 0.5957 | 0.6578 | 0.0943 | 38.9% / 35.1% / 25.9% |
| 27 | Unibet (SE) | 615 | 7.54% | 0.5955 | 0.6569 | 0.0935 | 39.0% / 35.4% / 25.5% |
| 28 | William Hill | 507 | 9.64% | 0.5964 | 0.6556 | 0.0903 | 40.2% / 34.3% / 25.4% |
| 29 | Coral | 504 | 9.02% | 0.5969 | 0.6558 | 0.0898 | 40.3% / 34.1% / 25.6% |
| 30 | Pinnacle | 632 | 3.98% | 0.5994 | 0.6580 | 0.0891 | 39.9% / 33.4% / 26.7% |
| 31 | Bally Bet | 124 | 6.74% | 0.5898 | 0.6463 | 0.0875 | 43.5% / 33.1% / 23.4% |
| 32 | Unibet (FR) | 464 | 11.17% | 0.5983 | 0.6547 | 0.0861 | 39.2% / 36.2% / 24.6% |
| 33 | Casumo | 518 | 7.90% | 0.5974 | 0.6532 | 0.0854 | 41.7% / 33.0% / 25.3% |
| 34 | LeoVegas | 431 | 8.29% | 0.6011 | 0.6571 | 0.0852 | 35.7% / 38.7% / 25.5% |
| 35 | NordicBet | 587 | 8.02% | 0.6003 | 0.6558 | 0.0847 | 40.2% / 34.2% / 25.6% |
| 36 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 528 | 9.15% | 0.6014 | 0.6568 | 0.0843 | 40.2% / 33.7% / 26.1% |
| 37 | Marathon Bet | 552 | 6.87% | 0.6012 | 0.6561 | 0.0837 | 40.2% / 34.1% / 25.7% |
| 38 | Codere (IT) | 398 | 7.55% | 0.6044 | 0.6593 | 0.0832 | 38.9% / 34.2% / 26.9% |
| 39 | Paddy Power | 603 | 10.10% | 0.6033 | 0.6576 | 0.0826 | 40.3% / 32.8% / 26.9% |
| 40 | Betsson | 581 | 7.97% | 0.6022 | 0.6556 | 0.0815 | 40.3% / 34.3% / 25.5% |
| 41 | Betway | 545 | 7.50% | 0.6047 | 0.6581 | 0.0812 | 38.7% / 35.2% / 26.1% |
| 42 | SportsBet | 604 | 7.97% | 0.6048 | 0.6579 | 0.0806 | 40.1% / 33.1% / 26.8% |
| 43 | BetOnline.ag | 573 | 5.31% | 0.6052 | 0.6579 | 0.0801 | 39.8% / 33.7% / 26.5% |
| 44 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 605 | 0.90% | 0.6056 | 0.6581 | 0.0798 | 39.8% / 33.4% / 26.8% |
| 45 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 605 | 0.90% | 0.6059 | 0.6581 | 0.0794 | 39.8% / 33.4% / 26.8% |
| 46 | Betr (AU) | 458 | 7.53% | 0.6027 | 0.6546 | 0.0793 | 41.3% / 33.0% / 25.8% |
| 47 | Sky Bet | 535 | 10.71% | 0.6048 | 0.6568 | 0.0793 | 40.4% / 33.3% / 26.4% |
| 48 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 605 | 0.96% | 0.6061 | 0.6581 | 0.0790 | 39.8% / 33.4% / 26.8% |
| 49 | Coolbet | 542 | 5.23% | 0.6044 | 0.6558 | 0.0784 | 40.6% / 33.6% / 25.8% |
| 50 | betano_uk | 450 | 7.95% | 0.6050 | 0.6564 | 0.0783 | 40.0% / 34.2% / 25.8% |
| 51 | Bet Victor | 450 | 7.95% | 0.6056 | 0.6564 | 0.0775 | 40.0% / 34.2% / 25.8% |
| 52 | 1xBet | 590 | 5.04% | 0.6078 | 0.6584 | 0.0768 | 39.7% / 33.6% / 26.8% |
| 53 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 531 | 10.51% | 0.6076 | 0.6581 | 0.0768 | 40.3% / 32.4% / 27.3% |
| 54 | BoyleSports | 547 | 11.79% | 0.6074 | 0.6575 | 0.0762 | 40.0% / 33.5% / 26.5% |
| 55 | Bovada | 560 | 7.57% | 0.6086 | 0.6584 | 0.0756 | 39.6% / 33.6% / 26.8% |
| 56 | Kalshi | 324 | 1.68% | 0.6093 | 0.6590 | 0.0755 | 39.5% / 33.3% / 27.2% |
| 57 | BetRivers | 514 | 9.70% | 0.6087 | 0.6583 | 0.0754 | 38.9% / 34.8% / 26.3% |
| 58 | Smarkets | 484 | 1.75% | 0.6070 | 0.6561 | 0.0747 | 41.3% / 31.6% / 27.1% |
| 59 | FanDuel | 469 | 6.98% | 0.6072 | 0.6558 | 0.0740 | 40.3% / 34.1% / 25.6% |
| 60 | betfred_uk | 553 | 8.60% | 0.6113 | 0.6599 | 0.0737 | 38.7% / 34.2% / 27.1% |
| 61 | PlayUp | 533 | 9.15% | 0.6099 | 0.6576 | 0.0725 | 39.4% / 34.5% / 26.1% |
| 62 | betPARX | 492 | 7.89% | 0.6086 | 0.6559 | 0.0722 | 40.4% / 33.7% / 25.8% |
| 63 | LowVig.ag | 556 | 5.23% | 0.6106 | 0.6576 | 0.0715 | 39.9% / 33.6% / 26.4% |
| 64 | TABtouch | 528 | 9.98% | 0.6091 | 0.6559 | 0.0714 | 40.2% / 34.3% / 25.6% |
| 65 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 439 | 9.69% | 0.6088 | 0.6555 | 0.0712 | 39.6% / 35.3% / 25.1% |
| 66 | Caesars | 65 | 6.55% | 0.5914 | 0.6357 | 0.0697 | 44.6% / 35.4% / 20.0% |
| 67 | BetAnything | 241 | 5.08% | 0.6083 | 0.6536 | 0.0692 | 41.5% / 33.2% / 25.3% |
| 68 | Fliff | 97 | 10.08% | 0.6066 | 0.6513 | 0.0687 | 43.3% / 29.9% / 26.8% |
| 69 | Neds | 462 | 9.76% | 0.6116 | 0.6560 | 0.0677 | 39.6% / 35.1% / 25.3% |
| 70 | BetUS | 408 | 5.93% | 0.6159 | 0.6606 | 0.0676 | 38.7% / 33.6% / 27.7% |
| 71 | theScore Bet | 312 | 8.15% | 0.6127 | 0.6568 | 0.0671 | 39.4% / 34.9% / 25.6% |
| 72 | Matchbook | 477 | 0.89% | 0.6136 | 0.6572 | 0.0664 | 39.6% / 34.4% / 26.0% |
| 73 | Bet Right | 392 | 8.63% | 0.6159 | 0.6549 | 0.0596 | 41.1% / 33.2% / 25.8% |
| 74 | DraftKings | 522 | 5.83% | 0.6192 | 0.6573 | 0.0580 | 40.6% / 32.4% / 27.0% |
| 75 | PointsBet (AU) | 373 | 7.68% | 0.6223 | 0.6584 | 0.0549 | 38.9% / 34.9% / 26.3% |
| 76 | Fanatics | 402 | 7.03% | 0.6185 | 0.6537 | 0.0539 | 42.0% / 31.8% / 26.1% |
| 77 | GTbets | 227 | 5.57% | 0.6260 | 0.6549 | 0.0442 | 39.2% / 36.1% / 24.7% |
| 78 | TAB | 145 | 7.80% | 0.6413 | 0.6626 | 0.0322 | 37.9% / 33.1% / 29.0% |
| 79 | Hard Rock Bet | 53 | 6.65% | 0.6226 | 0.6408 | 0.0283 | 45.3% / 32.1% / 22.6% |
| 80 | ReBet | 70 | 4.62% | 0.6386 | 0.6527 | 0.0216 | 42.9% / 30.0% / 27.1% |
| 81 | MyBookie.ag | 66 | 7.04% | 0.6509 | 0.6524 | 0.0024 | 42.4% / 31.8% / 25.8% |
24 hours before commence (early-bird line)
1069 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.
2-way markets (no draw slot)
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | betfred_uk | 100 | 5.88% | 0.3762 | 0.4982 | 0.2449 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 2 | William Hill | 103 | 5.46% | 0.3847 | 0.4996 | 0.2299 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 3 | Sky Bet | 98 | 6.56% | 0.3833 | 0.4925 | 0.2218 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 4 | Tipico (DE) | 121 | 7.95% | 0.3891 | 0.5000 | 0.2217 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 5 | PMU (FR) | 136 | 8.13% | 0.3917 | 0.5000 | 0.2165 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 6 | Coolbet | 199 | 4.16% | 0.3865 | 0.4933 | 0.2165 | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| 7 | Unibet (NL) | 220 | 5.12% | 0.4000 | 0.4996 | 0.1994 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 8 | TAB | 195 | 5.81% | 0.3995 | 0.4984 | 0.1984 | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| 9 | Casumo | 178 | 5.28% | 0.4004 | 0.4994 | 0.1983 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 10 | Marathon Bet | 164 | 5.57% | 0.3996 | 0.4973 | 0.1965 | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| 11 | Coral | 193 | 6.01% | 0.3995 | 0.4970 | 0.1961 | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| 12 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 193 | 6.01% | 0.3995 | 0.4970 | 0.1961 | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| 13 | Svenska Spel | 182 | 5.07% | 0.4012 | 0.4990 | 0.1961 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 14 | betano_uk | 198 | 7.60% | 0.4042 | 0.4998 | 0.1912 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 15 | Unibet | 242 | 5.41% | 0.4069 | 0.4983 | 0.1836 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 16 | Betway | 166 | 5.18% | 0.4069 | 0.4982 | 0.1832 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 17 | LeoVegas | 192 | 7.85% | 0.4083 | 0.4991 | 0.1820 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 18 | Grosvenor | 200 | 6.54% | 0.4083 | 0.4975 | 0.1795 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 19 | BoyleSports | 168 | 6.68% | 0.4111 | 0.5000 | 0.1779 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 20 | TABtouch | 225 | 5.37% | 0.4118 | 0.4998 | 0.1759 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 21 | ATG (SE) | 193 | 5.19% | 0.4143 | 0.4977 | 0.1676 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 22 | Mr Green (SE) | 266 | 5.52% | 0.4160 | 0.4995 | 0.1673 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 23 | 888sport (SE) | 266 | 5.52% | 0.4160 | 0.4995 | 0.1673 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 24 | Unibet (FR) | 249 | 9.46% | 0.4163 | 0.4986 | 0.1651 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 25 | 888sport | 276 | 5.51% | 0.4178 | 0.4993 | 0.1633 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 26 | LeoVegas (SE) | 220 | 5.13% | 0.4189 | 0.5000 | 0.1621 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 27 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 206 | 4.92% | 0.4211 | 0.5000 | 0.1577 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 28 | Bet Victor | 266 | 7.32% | 0.4213 | 0.4990 | 0.1557 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 29 | Smarkets | 192 | 7.41% | 0.4201 | 0.4965 | 0.1538 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 30 | BetAnything | 158 | 4.71% | 0.4222 | 0.4987 | 0.1535 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 31 | 1xBet | 253 | 2.58% | 0.4224 | 0.4987 | 0.1530 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 32 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 206 | 5.21% | 0.4235 | 0.5000 | 0.1529 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 33 | Winamax (DE) | 230 | 4.92% | 0.4224 | 0.4986 | 0.1529 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 34 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 222 | 6.36% | 0.4242 | 0.4998 | 0.1514 | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| 35 | theScore Bet | 283 | 5.15% | 0.4240 | 0.4986 | 0.1496 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 36 | NordicBet | 226 | 5.78% | 0.4248 | 0.4994 | 0.1494 | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| 37 | Matchbook | 151 | 2.86% | 0.4253 | 0.4995 | 0.1486 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 38 | Unibet (SE) | 231 | 5.06% | 0.4259 | 0.4999 | 0.1481 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 39 | ProphetX | 184 | 2.47% | 0.4258 | 0.4998 | 0.1480 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 40 | Pinnacle | 256 | 3.70% | 0.4253 | 0.4989 | 0.1476 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 41 | Fanatics | 241 | 4.76% | 0.4263 | 0.4998 | 0.1470 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 42 | LiveScore Bet | 157 | 5.60% | 0.4204 | 0.4927 | 0.1467 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 43 | Virgin Bet | 157 | 5.59% | 0.4204 | 0.4927 | 0.1467 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 44 | Betsson | 221 | 5.80% | 0.4260 | 0.4992 | 0.1466 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 45 | Neds | 279 | 5.69% | 0.4267 | 0.4995 | 0.1458 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 46 | Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 344 | — | 0.4265 | 0.4989 | 0.1452 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 47 | Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) | 344 | — | 0.4266 | 0.4989 | 0.1450 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 48 | Paddy Power | 300 | 6.60% | 0.4275 | 0.4999 | 0.1449 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 49 | Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) | 344 | — | 0.4267 | 0.4989 | 0.1448 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 50 | Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) | 344 | — | 0.4267 | 0.4989 | 0.1447 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 51 | Bally Bet | 237 | 5.23% | 0.4257 | 0.4974 | 0.1442 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 52 | Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 344 | — | 0.4272 | 0.4989 | 0.1438 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 53 | PointsBet (AU) | 286 | 5.13% | 0.4264 | 0.4980 | 0.1438 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 54 | Unibet (UK) | 285 | 5.69% | 0.4263 | 0.4978 | 0.1436 | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| 55 | DraftKings | 315 | 4.66% | 0.4287 | 0.4994 | 0.1415 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 56 | Winamax (FR) | 237 | 8.35% | 0.4282 | 0.4980 | 0.1402 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 57 | FanDuel | 299 | 4.34% | 0.4288 | 0.4980 | 0.1390 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 58 | PlayUp | 294 | 5.43% | 0.4307 | 0.4999 | 0.1384 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 59 | SportsBet | 313 | 5.86% | 0.4312 | 0.5000 | 0.1376 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 60 | GTbets | 276 | 3.77% | 0.4313 | 0.4999 | 0.1372 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 61 | Betclic (FR) | 239 | 6.63% | 0.4283 | 0.4961 | 0.1367 | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| 62 | betPARX | 226 | 5.14% | 0.4308 | 0.4981 | 0.1352 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 63 | LowVig.ag | 269 | 3.28% | 0.4323 | 0.4992 | 0.1339 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 64 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 300 | 5.66% | 0.4319 | 0.4986 | 0.1338 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 65 | Betr (AU) | 334 | 5.78% | 0.4340 | 0.4999 | 0.1318 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 66 | BetRivers | 242 | 5.16% | 0.4350 | 0.4995 | 0.1291 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 67 | Bovada | 291 | 4.39% | 0.4348 | 0.4987 | 0.1281 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 68 | Hard Rock Bet | 279 | 4.06% | 0.4371 | 0.4992 | 0.1245 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 69 | Novig | 298 | 2.40% | 0.4384 | 0.4996 | 0.1227 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 70 | Dabble (AU) | 46 | 5.70% | 0.4363 | 0.4962 | 0.1208 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 71 | BetMGM | 257 | 5.15% | 0.4363 | 0.4960 | 0.1204 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 72 | BetOnline.ag | 306 | 3.45% | 0.4397 | 0.4990 | 0.1187 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 73 | ReBet | 304 | 7.58% | 0.4401 | 0.4989 | 0.1180 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 74 | BetUS | 143 | 4.20% | 0.4398 | 0.4959 | 0.1131 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 75 | Caesars | 282 | 4.33% | 0.4417 | 0.4980 | 0.1131 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 76 | Kalshi | 156 | 1.06% | 0.4449 | 0.4999 | 0.1100 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 77 | Polymarket | 162 | 1.16% | 0.4470 | 0.4997 | 0.1054 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 78 | Bet Right | 214 | 4.97% | 0.4498 | 0.5000 | 0.1005 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 79 | Fliff | 213 | 5.83% | 0.4557 | 0.4999 | 0.0885 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 80 | MyBookie.ag | 78 | 4.53% | 0.4654 | 0.4882 | 0.0467 | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| 81 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 47 | 5.32% | 0.5064 | 0.4980 | -0.0169 | 46.8% / 53.2% |
3-way markets (home / away / draw)
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everygame | 48 | 9.09% | 0.5411 | 0.6554 | 0.1743 | 39.6% / 35.4% / 25.0% |
| 2 | NetBet (FR) | 336 | 12.55% | 0.5701 | 0.6463 | 0.1180 | 38.4% / 39.9% / 21.7% |
| 3 | Suprabets | 90 | 10.48% | 0.5789 | 0.6560 | 0.1176 | 40.0% / 34.4% / 25.6% |
| 4 | Winamax (DE) | 547 | 10.33% | 0.5835 | 0.6540 | 0.1079 | 39.3% / 36.4% / 24.3% |
| 5 | Winamax (FR) | 517 | 12.89% | 0.5846 | 0.6540 | 0.1061 | 38.7% / 37.1% / 24.2% |
| 6 | Unibet (UK) | 568 | 6.76% | 0.5901 | 0.6585 | 0.1039 | 38.0% / 35.9% / 26.1% |
| 7 | Svenska Spel | 609 | 6.14% | 0.5898 | 0.6547 | 0.0991 | 40.2% / 34.8% / 25.0% |
| 8 | ATG (SE) | 609 | 6.18% | 0.5899 | 0.6547 | 0.0989 | 40.2% / 34.8% / 25.0% |
| 9 | Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 723 | — | 0.5933 | 0.6571 | 0.0971 | 38.9% / 35.5% / 25.6% |
| 10 | Unibet (NL) | 616 | 7.55% | 0.5922 | 0.6558 | 0.0970 | 40.1% / 34.4% / 25.5% |
| 11 | Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) | 723 | — | 0.5936 | 0.6571 | 0.0967 | 38.9% / 35.5% / 25.6% |
| 12 | Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) | 723 | — | 0.5936 | 0.6571 | 0.0966 | 38.9% / 35.5% / 25.6% |
| 13 | Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) | 723 | — | 0.5936 | 0.6571 | 0.0966 | 38.9% / 35.5% / 25.6% |
| 14 | Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) | 723 | — | 0.5936 | 0.6571 | 0.0966 | 38.9% / 35.5% / 25.6% |
| 15 | Betclic (FR) | 451 | 10.18% | 0.5932 | 0.6555 | 0.0951 | 40.4% / 34.1% / 25.5% |
| 16 | Grosvenor | 633 | 8.59% | 0.5942 | 0.6561 | 0.0944 | 39.3% / 35.4% / 25.3% |
| 17 | PMU (FR) | 471 | 11.90% | 0.5904 | 0.6515 | 0.0938 | 41.8% / 33.8% / 24.4% |
| 18 | LiveScore Bet | 672 | 12.45% | 0.5963 | 0.6578 | 0.0935 | 39.1% / 34.8% / 26.0% |
| 19 | Virgin Bet | 672 | 12.43% | 0.5964 | 0.6578 | 0.0933 | 39.1% / 34.8% / 26.0% |
| 20 | 888sport (SE) | 560 | 9.82% | 0.5960 | 0.6574 | 0.0933 | 38.2% / 36.3% / 25.5% |
| 21 | 888sport | 561 | 9.82% | 0.5960 | 0.6572 | 0.0931 | 38.3% / 36.2% / 25.5% |
| 22 | Unibet | 671 | 8.11% | 0.5974 | 0.6578 | 0.0918 | 39.2% / 34.7% / 26.1% |
| 23 | Mr Green (SE) | 621 | 9.69% | 0.5975 | 0.6568 | 0.0904 | 39.3% / 35.1% / 25.6% |
| 24 | Bally Bet | 142 | 6.80% | 0.5937 | 0.6523 | 0.0897 | 42.3% / 32.4% / 25.4% |
| 25 | LeoVegas | 446 | 8.22% | 0.5993 | 0.6584 | 0.0897 | 35.9% / 38.1% / 26.0% |
| 26 | LeoVegas (SE) | 666 | 10.25% | 0.5995 | 0.6578 | 0.0886 | 38.9% / 35.1% / 26.0% |
| 27 | Tipico (DE) | 644 | 8.34% | 0.5983 | 0.6557 | 0.0875 | 38.4% / 36.8% / 24.8% |
| 28 | Unibet (SE) | 648 | 7.43% | 0.6002 | 0.6571 | 0.0866 | 39.0% / 35.3% / 25.6% |
| 29 | BetMGM | 544 | 7.31% | 0.5999 | 0.6563 | 0.0859 | 39.3% / 35.3% / 25.4% |
| 30 | Betr (AU) | 342 | 6.21% | 0.6009 | 0.6571 | 0.0856 | 39.8% / 34.2% / 26.0% |
| 31 | Codere (IT) | 434 | 7.89% | 0.6041 | 0.6598 | 0.0844 | 38.5% / 34.6% / 27.0% |
| 32 | Unibet (FR) | 507 | 11.35% | 0.6013 | 0.6561 | 0.0836 | 38.7% / 36.3% / 25.0% |
| 33 | William Hill | 543 | 9.63% | 0.6015 | 0.6554 | 0.0823 | 40.3% / 34.3% / 25.4% |
| 34 | Coral | 540 | 8.96% | 0.6036 | 0.6567 | 0.0809 | 40.0% / 34.1% / 25.9% |
| 35 | Casumo | 550 | 7.86% | 0.6018 | 0.6536 | 0.0792 | 41.5% / 33.3% / 25.3% |
| 36 | Pinnacle | 671 | 5.46% | 0.6063 | 0.6579 | 0.0784 | 40.1% / 33.1% / 26.8% |
| 37 | Paddy Power | 652 | 9.15% | 0.6060 | 0.6576 | 0.0784 | 40.2% / 33.1% / 26.7% |
| 38 | Kalshi | 354 | 1.78% | 0.6076 | 0.6589 | 0.0778 | 39.8% / 32.8% / 27.4% |
| 39 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 570 | 9.09% | 0.6078 | 0.6577 | 0.0759 | 39.6% / 34.0% / 26.3% |
| 40 | Marathon Bet | 593 | 6.83% | 0.6067 | 0.6565 | 0.0759 | 40.0% / 34.2% / 25.8% |
| 41 | Sky Bet | 556 | 11.05% | 0.6073 | 0.6565 | 0.0751 | 40.6% / 32.9% / 26.4% |
| 42 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 525 | 7.03% | 0.6099 | 0.6590 | 0.0745 | 40.2% / 31.6% / 28.2% |
| 43 | Smarkets | 535 | 4.53% | 0.6076 | 0.6563 | 0.0742 | 41.1% / 32.0% / 26.9% |
| 44 | SportsBet | 657 | 7.80% | 0.6092 | 0.6579 | 0.0740 | 39.9% / 33.5% / 26.6% |
| 45 | Caesars | 81 | 6.46% | 0.5996 | 0.6472 | 0.0734 | 43.2% / 33.3% / 23.5% |
| 46 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 654 | 5.26% | 0.6101 | 0.6582 | 0.0731 | 39.8% / 33.5% / 26.8% |
| 47 | BoyleSports | 599 | 11.82% | 0.6097 | 0.6577 | 0.0730 | 40.1% / 33.2% / 26.7% |
| 48 | Coolbet | 583 | 5.23% | 0.6086 | 0.6563 | 0.0727 | 40.3% / 33.8% / 25.9% |
| 49 | Betway | 586 | 7.52% | 0.6107 | 0.6584 | 0.0725 | 38.4% / 35.5% / 26.1% |
| 50 | 1xBet | 632 | 5.35% | 0.6115 | 0.6589 | 0.0719 | 39.6% / 33.4% / 27.1% |
| 51 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 654 | 5.56% | 0.6109 | 0.6582 | 0.0719 | 39.8% / 33.5% / 26.8% |
| 52 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 654 | 6.77% | 0.6111 | 0.6582 | 0.0716 | 39.8% / 33.5% / 26.8% |
| 53 | NordicBet | 620 | 7.93% | 0.6102 | 0.6570 | 0.0712 | 40.0% / 33.9% / 26.1% |
| 54 | Bovada | 597 | 7.58% | 0.6117 | 0.6585 | 0.0710 | 39.4% / 34.0% / 26.6% |
| 55 | BetRivers | 558 | 9.65% | 0.6121 | 0.6585 | 0.0704 | 38.9% / 34.8% / 26.3% |
| 56 | BetOnline.ag | 617 | 6.48% | 0.6123 | 0.6586 | 0.0704 | 39.4% / 33.9% / 26.7% |
| 57 | betano_uk | 485 | 8.25% | 0.6101 | 0.6562 | 0.0703 | 40.2% / 34.0% / 25.8% |
| 58 | Bet Victor | 485 | 8.25% | 0.6102 | 0.6562 | 0.0701 | 40.2% / 34.0% / 25.8% |
| 59 | Betsson | 610 | 7.90% | 0.6105 | 0.6562 | 0.0696 | 40.2% / 34.1% / 25.7% |
| 60 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 470 | 9.58% | 0.6107 | 0.6562 | 0.0693 | 39.4% / 35.3% / 25.3% |
| 61 | betfred_uk | 598 | 8.56% | 0.6141 | 0.6597 | 0.0691 | 38.8% / 34.1% / 27.1% |
| 62 | TABtouch | 559 | 9.95% | 0.6104 | 0.6555 | 0.0688 | 40.3% / 34.3% / 25.4% |
| 63 | betPARX | 530 | 7.87% | 0.6111 | 0.6558 | 0.0682 | 40.4% / 34.0% / 25.7% |
| 64 | FanDuel | 513 | 7.43% | 0.6117 | 0.6561 | 0.0677 | 40.0% / 34.5% / 25.5% |
| 65 | LowVig.ag | 602 | 6.45% | 0.6141 | 0.6582 | 0.0669 | 39.4% / 34.2% / 26.4% |
| 66 | PlayUp | 558 | 9.51% | 0.6145 | 0.6582 | 0.0664 | 39.2% / 34.4% / 26.3% |
| 67 | Neds | 496 | 9.68% | 0.6152 | 0.6560 | 0.0622 | 39.3% / 35.5% / 25.2% |
| 68 | Bet Right | 411 | 8.46% | 0.6161 | 0.6559 | 0.0606 | 40.1% / 34.3% / 25.5% |
| 69 | BetAnything | 258 | 6.20% | 0.6159 | 0.6546 | 0.0592 | 41.1% / 33.3% / 25.6% |
| 70 | BetUS | 433 | 6.68% | 0.6236 | 0.6615 | 0.0573 | 38.6% / 33.0% / 28.4% |
| 71 | theScore Bet | 342 | 8.33% | 0.6206 | 0.6582 | 0.0572 | 39.2% / 34.5% / 26.3% |
| 72 | DraftKings | 560 | 6.94% | 0.6214 | 0.6579 | 0.0555 | 40.2% / 32.9% / 27.0% |
| 73 | Matchbook | 370 | 2.28% | 0.6201 | 0.6565 | 0.0555 | 39.2% / 35.4% / 25.4% |
| 74 | GTbets | 250 | 5.61% | 0.6209 | 0.6552 | 0.0525 | 39.2% / 36.0% / 24.8% |
| 75 | Fanatics | 442 | 6.93% | 0.6218 | 0.6551 | 0.0509 | 41.2% / 32.8% / 26.0% |
| 76 | PointsBet (AU) | 403 | 7.63% | 0.6249 | 0.6565 | 0.0481 | 39.0% / 35.7% / 25.3% |
| 77 | TAB | 155 | 8.08% | 0.6319 | 0.6626 | 0.0463 | 38.1% / 32.9% / 29.0% |
| 78 | Fliff | 83 | 9.95% | 0.6118 | 0.6384 | 0.0417 | 47.0% / 25.3% / 27.7% |
| 79 | MyBookie.ag | 69 | 7.10% | 0.6410 | 0.6427 | 0.0026 | 44.9% / 31.9% / 23.2% |
| 80 | ReBet | 81 | 7.07% | 0.6465 | 0.6462 | -0.0003 | 44.4% / 30.9% / 24.7% |
| 81 | Hard Rock Bet | 60 | 6.78% | 0.6312 | 0.6294 | -0.0029 | 48.3% / 30.0% / 21.7% |