The School of Odds

Bookmaker Calibration

This page measures how accurately each predictor forecasts real results. Every tracked bookmaker and each Odds.School estimator is scored by the same rule — none hidden for scoring poorly — so you can compare whether aggregating the market predicts better or worse than any single book. Any predictor here, including a single sharp bookmaker, can be adopted as your model elsewhere on the site.

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.

Over the last 14 days the site’s own estimator scores above 42 of 80 tracked bookmakers on two-way markets at the closing line, measured on 599 settled games against the leading bookmaker’s 306.

Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.

Last tick before commence (closing line)

968 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 LeoVegas 306 6.33% 0.3877 0.4915 0.2110 56.5% / 43.5%
2 Dabble (AU) 186 5.35% 0.3899 0.4902 0.2047 57.0% / 43.0%
3 Novig 251 1.02% 0.3862 0.4853 0.2042 58.6% / 41.4%
4 Kalshi 233 1.51% 0.3851 0.4813 0.1999 59.7% / 40.3%
5 ProphetX 343 1.27% 0.3907 0.4881 0.1996 57.7% / 42.3%
6 Fliff 352 5.91% 0.3994 0.4929 0.1897 56.0% / 44.0%
7 MyBookie.ag 253 5.08% 0.3952 0.4869 0.1883 58.1% / 41.9%
8 Betfair Exchange (EU) 366 1.67% 0.3926 0.4817 0.1850 59.6% / 40.4%
9 Svenska Spel 335 4.97% 0.3986 0.4865 0.1807 58.2% / 41.8%
10 LeoVegas (SE) 324 5.53% 0.4030 0.4908 0.1790 56.8% / 43.2%
11 Ladbrokes (UK) 392 6.62% 0.4016 0.4883 0.1775 57.7% / 42.3%
12 Unibet (SE) 344 5.11% 0.4022 0.4886 0.1769 57.6% / 42.4%
13 Unibet (NL) 340 5.11% 0.4022 0.4883 0.1763 57.6% / 42.4%
14 Unibet (UK) 355 4.75% 0.4044 0.4880 0.1714 57.7% / 42.3%
15 BetAnything 327 4.12% 0.4091 0.4929 0.1700 56.0% / 44.0%
16 LowVig.ag 372 3.69% 0.4059 0.4887 0.1694 57.5% / 42.5%
17 GTbets 358 4.40% 0.4040 0.4860 0.1686 58.4% / 41.6%
18 Betway 355 5.45% 0.4074 0.4871 0.1637 58.0% / 42.0%
19 Bally Bet 438 5.04% 0.4140 0.4950 0.1636 55.0% / 45.0%
20 Neds 436 6.00% 0.4037 0.4823 0.1629 59.4% / 40.6%
21 Betr (AU) 383 5.82% 0.4042 0.4828 0.1627 59.3% / 40.7%
22 Betfair Exchange (UK) 420 2.23% 0.4035 0.4819 0.1626 59.5% / 40.5%
23 FanDuel 491 4.69% 0.4115 0.4912 0.1622 56.6% / 43.4%
24 Hard Rock Bet 474 5.16% 0.4125 0.4920 0.1615 56.3% / 43.7%
25 betano_uk 323 7.48% 0.4066 0.4844 0.1607 58.8% / 41.2%
26 Betfair Exchange (AU) 424 2.85% 0.4040 0.4813 0.1605 59.7% / 40.3%
27 Betsson 406 5.56% 0.4095 0.4876 0.1602 57.9% / 42.1%
28 ATG (SE) 342 5.04% 0.4088 0.4866 0.1600 58.2% / 41.8%
29 BetMGM 475 4.73% 0.4128 0.4906 0.1586 56.8% / 43.2%
30 theScore Bet 491 5.08% 0.4131 0.4907 0.1581 56.8% / 43.2%
31 SportsBet 395 5.95% 0.4092 0.4856 0.1573 58.5% / 41.5%
32 Bet Victor 315 7.47% 0.4083 0.4836 0.1558 59.0% / 41.0%
33 PlayUp 339 5.48% 0.4155 0.4912 0.1541 56.6% / 43.4%
34 Everygame 160 3.77% 0.4130 0.4868 0.1517 58.1% / 41.9%
35 DraftKings 525 4.70% 0.4156 0.4892 0.1505 57.3% / 42.7%
36 Coral 410 6.76% 0.4133 0.4862 0.1501 58.3% / 41.7%
37 betPARX 462 5.01% 0.4205 0.4927 0.1465 56.1% / 43.9%
38 PointsBet (AU) 339 5.48% 0.4188 0.4896 0.1445 57.2% / 42.8%
39 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 599 — 0.4181 0.4885 0.1441 57.6% / 42.4%
40 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 599 — 0.4182 0.4885 0.1439 57.6% / 42.4%
41 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 599 — 0.4182 0.4885 0.1439 57.6% / 42.4%
42 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 599 — 0.4182 0.4885 0.1439 57.6% / 42.4%
43 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 599 — 0.4183 0.4885 0.1437 57.6% / 42.4%
44 Ladbrokes (AU) 450 5.99% 0.4149 0.4842 0.1431 58.9% / 41.1%
45 Bovada 404 4.45% 0.4210 0.4911 0.1427 56.7% / 43.3%
46 BetUS 284 4.02% 0.4185 0.4880 0.1424 57.7% / 42.3%
47 Coolbet 345 4.95% 0.4180 0.4864 0.1404 58.3% / 41.7%
48 Pinnacle 475 3.51% 0.4186 0.4869 0.1402 58.1% / 41.9%
49 Marathon Bet 308 5.73% 0.4211 0.4888 0.1386 57.5% / 42.5%
50 BetRivers 483 5.27% 0.4260 0.4935 0.1367 55.7% / 44.3%
51 Fanatics 352 4.98% 0.4226 0.4891 0.1360 57.4% / 42.6%
52 Matchbook 362 1.39% 0.4206 0.4844 0.1317 58.8% / 41.2%
53 William Hill 249 5.70% 0.4220 0.4851 0.1301 58.6% / 41.4%
54 Sky Bet 124 6.44% 0.4269 0.4895 0.1278 57.3% / 42.7%
55 BetOnline.ag 411 3.71% 0.4320 0.4935 0.1246 55.7% / 44.3%
56 Bet Right 356 5.08% 0.4252 0.4848 0.1230 58.7% / 41.3%
57 NordicBet 393 5.63% 0.4267 0.4855 0.1211 58.5% / 41.5%
58 Caesars 298 5.22% 0.4367 0.4942 0.1164 55.4% / 44.6%
59 1xBet 154 4.09% 0.4356 0.4898 0.1106 57.1% / 42.9%
60 Unibet 369 5.51% 0.4360 0.4881 0.1066 57.7% / 42.3%
61 Casumo 168 5.23% 0.4363 0.4880 0.1060 57.7% / 42.3%
62 TAB 365 5.93% 0.4315 0.4821 0.1050 59.5% / 40.5%
63 Smarkets 272 3.91% 0.4377 0.4881 0.1033 57.7% / 42.3%
64 BoyleSports 193 5.38% 0.4331 0.4774 0.0928 60.6% / 39.4%
65 ReBet 307 4.99% 0.4432 0.4883 0.0924 57.7% / 42.3%
66 Betclic (FR) 200 8.17% 0.4413 0.4856 0.0912 58.5% / 41.5%
67 Unibet (FR) 155 11.02% 0.4429 0.4848 0.0866 58.7% / 41.3%
68 BetOpenly 155 2.20% 0.4434 0.4848 0.0854 58.7% / 41.3%
69 Winamax (FR) 180 7.13% 0.4461 0.4861 0.0824 58.3% / 41.7%
70 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 241 5.53% 0.4481 0.4855 0.0770 58.5% / 41.5%
71 888sport (SE) 246 5.62% 0.4339 0.4682 0.0733 62.6% / 37.4%
72 Mr Green (SE) 246 5.61% 0.4341 0.4682 0.0730 62.6% / 37.4%
73 Paddy Power 269 6.41% 0.4459 0.4806 0.0723 59.9% / 40.1%
74 Tipico (DE) 184 7.48% 0.4422 0.4764 0.0717 60.9% / 39.1%
75 PMU (FR) 185 11.05% 0.4395 0.4730 0.0708 61.6% / 38.4%
76 betfred_uk 83 4.95% 0.4569 0.4912 0.0700 56.6% / 43.4%
77 Winamax (DE) 156 4.58% 0.4399 0.4703 0.0648 62.2% / 37.8%
78 LiveScore Bet 199 5.57% 0.4602 0.4879 0.0566 57.8% / 42.2%
79 Polymarket 123 1.08% 0.4499 0.4759 0.0546 61.0% / 39.0%
80 NetBet (FR) 69 10.36% 0.4541 0.4764 0.0467 60.9% / 39.1%
81 Virgin Bet 187 5.58% 0.4641 0.4863 0.0457 58.3% / 41.7%
82 888sport 254 5.61% 0.4491 0.4702 0.0448 62.2% / 37.8%
83 TABtouch 225 5.50% 0.4659 0.4817 0.0330 59.6% / 40.4%
84 Grosvenor 188 6.73% 0.4876 0.4904 0.0058 56.9% / 43.1%
85 Codere (IT) 46 6.70% 0.4663 0.4537 -0.0278 65.2% / 34.8%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Suprabets 70 5.50% 0.5326 0.6661 0.2004 34.3% / 34.3% / 31.4%
2 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 81 10.63% 0.5230 0.6298 0.1695 46.9% / 33.3% / 19.8%
3 TAB 95 7.89% 0.5512 0.6630 0.1687 37.9% / 32.6% / 29.5%
4 Paddy Power 175 9.88% 0.5455 0.6519 0.1632 42.3% / 32.6% / 25.1%
5 888sport (SE) 143 9.92% 0.5323 0.6351 0.1619 47.6% / 28.7% / 23.8%
6 888sport 145 9.90% 0.5355 0.6353 0.1572 47.6% / 28.3% / 24.1%
7 FanDuel 108 7.30% 0.5501 0.6511 0.1551 38.9% / 38.0% / 23.1%
8 Betclic (FR) 184 11.16% 0.5388 0.6366 0.1536 45.1% / 34.2% / 20.7%
9 Bally Bet 65 6.63% 0.5450 0.6419 0.1510 46.2% / 26.2% / 27.7%
10 William Hill 174 10.11% 0.5599 0.6575 0.1485 40.8% / 31.6% / 27.6%
11 Virgin Bet 241 10.27% 0.5537 0.6476 0.1451 43.2% / 33.2% / 23.7%
12 LiveScore Bet 241 10.09% 0.5537 0.6476 0.1450 43.2% / 33.2% / 23.7%
13 LeoVegas 138 7.72% 0.5589 0.6536 0.1450 42.0% / 31.9% / 26.1%
14 Mr Green (SE) 163 9.77% 0.5479 0.6397 0.1435 46.6% / 28.2% / 25.2%
15 MyBookie.ag 60 7.38% 0.5355 0.6250 0.1432 50.0% / 25.0% / 25.0%
16 Betsson 212 8.30% 0.5569 0.6475 0.1399 43.9% / 31.6% / 24.5%
17 Ladbrokes (UK) 229 9.18% 0.5548 0.6426 0.1367 43.7% / 34.5% / 21.8%
18 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 359 — 0.5514 0.6384 0.1363 44.6% / 34.5% / 20.9%
19 BetRivers 148 8.52% 0.5672 0.6566 0.1362 40.5% / 33.1% / 26.4%
20 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 359 — 0.5516 0.6384 0.1361 44.6% / 34.5% / 20.9%
21 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 359 — 0.5517 0.6384 0.1359 44.6% / 34.5% / 20.9%
22 Betfair Exchange (AU) 180 0.91% 0.5687 0.6581 0.1359 40.6% / 31.7% / 27.8%
23 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 359 — 0.5517 0.6384 0.1358 44.6% / 34.5% / 20.9%
24 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 359 — 0.5517 0.6384 0.1358 44.6% / 34.5% / 20.9%
25 Betfair Exchange (UK) 180 0.88% 0.5690 0.6581 0.1354 40.6% / 31.7% / 27.8%
26 Betfair Exchange (EU) 180 0.87% 0.5690 0.6581 0.1353 40.6% / 31.7% / 27.8%
27 NordicBet 216 8.38% 0.5620 0.6496 0.1348 43.5% / 31.0% / 25.5%
28 Winamax (FR) 200 11.67% 0.5332 0.6154 0.1335 49.0% / 34.0% / 17.0%
29 Coral 196 8.72% 0.5667 0.6533 0.1326 41.3% / 33.7% / 25.0%
30 Pinnacle 137 4.20% 0.5612 0.6438 0.1284 43.1% / 35.0% / 21.9%
31 Unibet (UK) 239 7.03% 0.5279 0.6046 0.1268 50.2% / 34.7% / 15.1%
32 DraftKings 179 6.74% 0.5742 0.6576 0.1268 39.7% / 34.1% / 26.3%
33 Winamax (DE) 228 9.18% 0.5321 0.6089 0.1262 49.1% / 35.5% / 15.4%
34 Casumo 286 7.81% 0.5475 0.6266 0.1262 47.6% / 33.2% / 19.2%
35 ATG (SE) 311 6.10% 0.5401 0.6174 0.1252 47.9% / 35.4% / 16.7%
36 Ladbrokes (AU) 182 9.05% 0.5694 0.6502 0.1243 42.3% / 33.5% / 24.2%
37 Bovada 200 7.69% 0.5709 0.6520 0.1243 42.5% / 32.0% / 25.5%
38 Svenska Spel 308 6.22% 0.5410 0.6172 0.1235 47.7% / 35.7% / 16.6%
39 BoyleSports 205 10.38% 0.5741 0.6545 0.1229 41.0% / 33.7% / 25.4%
40 Unibet 326 7.55% 0.5455 0.6218 0.1227 47.2% / 35.3% / 17.5%
41 Neds 188 9.13% 0.5715 0.6502 0.1211 42.0% / 34.0% / 23.9%
42 PMU (FR) 148 12.78% 0.5308 0.6035 0.1203 49.3% / 36.5% / 14.2%
43 betfred_uk 207 9.40% 0.5735 0.6507 0.1185 42.0% / 33.8% / 24.2%
44 Bet Victor 186 8.73% 0.5697 0.6451 0.1168 44.6% / 31.2% / 24.2%
45 BetOnline.ag 122 5.52% 0.5700 0.6454 0.1168 44.3% / 32.0% / 23.8%
46 SportsBet 131 7.91% 0.5730 0.6484 0.1163 42.7% / 33.6% / 23.7%
47 betano_uk 180 8.81% 0.5683 0.6420 0.1148 45.6% / 30.6% / 23.9%
48 Marathon Bet 308 7.18% 0.5452 0.6159 0.1148 48.7% / 34.4% / 16.9%
49 BetMGM 186 7.59% 0.5756 0.6489 0.1130 43.0% / 32.8% / 24.2%
50 Smarkets 130 3.53% 0.5622 0.6328 0.1116 47.7% / 30.0% / 22.3%
51 1xBet 314 5.65% 0.5594 0.6230 0.1022 46.2% / 36.6% / 17.2%
52 Betway 277 7.65% 0.5587 0.6180 0.0960 48.0% / 35.0% / 17.0%
53 Sky Bet 87 9.96% 0.5867 0.6490 0.0959 43.7% / 31.0% / 25.3%
54 Unibet (SE) 276 6.48% 0.5542 0.6104 0.0921 48.9% / 35.5% / 15.6%
55 LeoVegas (SE) 276 8.39% 0.5548 0.6104 0.0911 48.9% / 35.5% / 15.6%
56 Matchbook 103 0.92% 0.5772 0.6346 0.0904 47.6% / 29.1% / 23.3%
57 NetBet (FR) 46 13.61% 0.6039 0.6626 0.0885 37.0% / 34.8% / 28.3%
58 BetUS 62 5.89% 0.5461 0.5968 0.0850 53.2% / 30.6% / 16.1%
59 TABtouch 261 9.79% 0.5603 0.6109 0.0828 49.4% / 34.5% / 16.1%
60 Tipico (DE) 149 8.55% 0.5620 0.6102 0.0791 49.7% / 34.2% / 16.1%
61 Unibet (NL) 205 7.25% 0.5422 0.5885 0.0787 52.7% / 34.1% / 13.2%
62 Grosvenor 246 8.91% 0.5486 0.5946 0.0774 51.2% / 35.4% / 13.4%
63 Coolbet 199 5.64% 0.5443 0.5878 0.0740 52.8% / 34.2% / 13.1%
64 betPARX 98 8.49% 0.5994 0.6464 0.0727 44.9% / 28.6% / 26.5%
65 LowVig.ag 97 5.45% 0.5937 0.6377 0.0690 46.4% / 30.9% / 22.7%
66 BetAnything 55 5.17% 0.5863 0.6268 0.0646 49.1% / 29.1% / 21.8%
67 Codere (IT) 183 8.93% 0.5593 0.5948 0.0597 49.7% / 37.7% / 12.6%
68 PlayUp 98 9.47% 0.5988 0.6356 0.0579 46.9% / 30.6% / 22.4%
69 PointsBet (AU) 114 7.40% 0.5974 0.6333 0.0566 47.4% / 30.7% / 21.9%
70 theScore Bet 92 8.17% 0.6025 0.6349 0.0511 47.8% / 27.2% / 25.0%
71 Bet Right 61 9.00% 0.6053 0.6342 0.0456 47.5% / 29.5% / 23.0%
72 Kalshi 54 1.87% 0.6084 0.6372 0.0451 46.3% / 31.5% / 22.2%
73 Fanatics 88 6.89% 0.6119 0.6402 0.0443 46.6% / 27.3% / 26.1%
74 Unibet (FR) 122 15.54% 0.5597 0.5825 0.0392 53.3% / 34.4% / 12.3%
75 Betr (AU) 74 6.76% 0.6280 0.6428 0.0230 45.9% / 27.0% / 27.0%

24 hours before commence (early-bird line)

859 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 BetOpenly 71 1.41% 0.3447 0.4713 0.2687 62.0% / 38.0%
2 Everygame 102 3.96% 0.3716 0.4983 0.2541 52.9% / 47.1%
3 LeoVegas 255 7.18% 0.3674 0.4906 0.2510 56.9% / 43.1%
4 MyBookie.ag 179 4.99% 0.3666 0.4886 0.2497 57.5% / 42.5%
5 Betfair Exchange (EU) 278 7.44% 0.3829 0.4863 0.2127 58.3% / 41.7%
6 Dabble (AU) 152 6.06% 0.3875 0.4913 0.2113 56.6% / 43.4%
7 Novig 222 1.22% 0.3804 0.4821 0.2110 59.5% / 40.5%
8 Kalshi 195 5.13% 0.3819 0.4839 0.2108 59.0% / 41.0%
9 Unibet (UK) 306 5.53% 0.3881 0.4906 0.2089 56.9% / 43.1%
10 Svenska Spel 281 4.99% 0.3902 0.4904 0.2043 56.9% / 43.1%
11 ProphetX 267 2.71% 0.3934 0.4914 0.1995 56.6% / 43.4%
12 LeoVegas (SE) 279 5.50% 0.3935 0.4912 0.1989 56.6% / 43.4%
13 Unibet (SE) 291 5.13% 0.3948 0.4928 0.1988 56.0% / 44.0%
14 Unibet (NL) 285 5.12% 0.3958 0.4925 0.1963 56.1% / 43.9%
15 Betr (AU) 341 5.87% 0.3923 0.4879 0.1960 57.8% / 42.2%
16 LowVig.ag 269 3.74% 0.3975 0.4934 0.1943 55.8% / 44.2%
17 GTbets 318 4.46% 0.3950 0.4895 0.1931 57.2% / 42.8%
18 Marathon Bet 259 5.85% 0.3991 0.4937 0.1916 55.6% / 44.4%
19 FanDuel 426 4.83% 0.3984 0.4920 0.1903 56.3% / 43.7%
20 SportsBet 345 6.05% 0.3961 0.4882 0.1886 57.7% / 42.3%
21 Betway 295 4.80% 0.3996 0.4921 0.1880 56.3% / 43.7%
22 BetAnything 238 4.22% 0.4008 0.4921 0.1854 56.3% / 43.7%
23 PointsBet (AU) 275 5.00% 0.4046 0.4965 0.1851 54.2% / 45.8%
24 theScore Bet 374 5.44% 0.3990 0.4888 0.1837 57.5% / 42.5%
25 Coolbet 302 4.96% 0.4024 0.4921 0.1822 56.3% / 43.7%
26 Matchbook 264 3.46% 0.4000 0.4885 0.1813 57.6% / 42.4%
27 Fliff 229 5.61% 0.4042 0.4930 0.1802 55.9% / 44.1%
28 Bally Bet 390 5.01% 0.4064 0.4953 0.1794 54.9% / 45.1%
29 Hard Rock Bet 412 4.87% 0.4058 0.4932 0.1771 55.8% / 44.2%
30 Ladbrokes (UK) 318 6.76% 0.4043 0.4913 0.1771 56.6% / 43.4%
31 Bet Victor 270 8.00% 0.4060 0.4930 0.1763 55.9% / 44.1%
32 BetMGM 316 4.81% 0.4040 0.4903 0.1761 57.0% / 43.0%
33 ATG (SE) 287 5.01% 0.4047 0.4908 0.1755 56.8% / 43.2%
34 betano_uk 263 8.05% 0.4064 0.4921 0.1742 56.3% / 43.7%
35 Pinnacle 345 4.07% 0.4020 0.4864 0.1735 58.3% / 41.7%
36 Sky Bet 95 6.28% 0.4103 0.4955 0.1721 54.7% / 45.3%
37 Betfair Exchange (AU) 333 11.93% 0.4019 0.4832 0.1682 59.2% / 40.8%
38 Betfair Exchange (UK) 327 11.53% 0.4014 0.4814 0.1662 59.6% / 40.4%
39 Bovada 333 4.40% 0.4112 0.4931 0.1661 55.9% / 44.1%
40 PlayUp 276 5.34% 0.4134 0.4956 0.1658 54.7% / 45.3%
41 DraftKings 442 4.56% 0.4110 0.4914 0.1637 56.6% / 43.4%
42 Fanatics 287 4.75% 0.4134 0.4942 0.1634 55.4% / 44.6%
43 Bet Right 300 5.10% 0.4107 0.4892 0.1605 57.3% / 42.7%
44 betPARX 404 5.03% 0.4166 0.4951 0.1585 55.0% / 45.0%
45 Neds 357 6.10% 0.4105 0.4863 0.1560 58.3% / 41.7%
46 1xBet 127 4.49% 0.4147 0.4888 0.1516 57.5% / 42.5%
47 Coral 335 6.89% 0.4155 0.4893 0.1508 57.3% / 42.7%
48 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 533 — 0.4150 0.4885 0.1504 57.6% / 42.4%
49 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 533 — 0.4150 0.4885 0.1504 57.6% / 42.4%
50 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 533 — 0.4150 0.4885 0.1503 57.6% / 42.4%
51 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 533 — 0.4150 0.4885 0.1503 57.6% / 42.4%
52 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 533 — 0.4151 0.4885 0.1501 57.6% / 42.4%
53 BetRivers 434 5.18% 0.4213 0.4939 0.1471 55.5% / 44.5%
54 ReBet 403 6.15% 0.4226 0.4938 0.1442 55.6% / 44.4%
55 BetUS 214 3.93% 0.4223 0.4926 0.1427 56.1% / 43.9%
56 Betclic (FR) 144 7.44% 0.4190 0.4883 0.1420 57.6% / 42.4%
57 BoyleSports 140 6.21% 0.4194 0.4877 0.1401 57.9% / 42.1%
58 Ladbrokes (AU) 368 6.07% 0.4212 0.4876 0.1361 57.9% / 42.1%
59 William Hill 155 5.72% 0.4174 0.4825 0.1350 59.4% / 40.6%
60 Unibet (FR) 114 11.49% 0.4305 0.4945 0.1294 55.3% / 44.7%
61 Smarkets 236 6.89% 0.4259 0.4884 0.1279 57.6% / 42.4%
62 BetOnline.ag 297 3.76% 0.4326 0.4959 0.1276 54.5% / 45.5%
63 TAB 299 6.09% 0.4258 0.4876 0.1269 57.9% / 42.1%
64 Tipico (DE) 128 7.58% 0.4260 0.4878 0.1267 57.8% / 42.2%
65 Unibet 316 5.59% 0.4344 0.4935 0.1199 55.7% / 44.3%
66 Casumo 116 5.31% 0.4376 0.4963 0.1183 54.3% / 45.7%
67 Caesars 225 5.08% 0.4356 0.4905 0.1120 56.9% / 43.1%
68 Mr Green (SE) 201 5.54% 0.4256 0.4792 0.1118 60.2% / 39.8%
69 888sport (SE) 201 5.54% 0.4256 0.4792 0.1118 60.2% / 39.8%
70 Winamax (FR) 123 9.81% 0.4342 0.4881 0.1104 57.7% / 42.3%
71 Paddy Power 218 6.20% 0.4329 0.4848 0.1071 58.7% / 41.3%
72 NordicBet 289 5.44% 0.4371 0.4879 0.1042 57.8% / 42.2%
73 PMU (FR) 164 11.24% 0.4396 0.4854 0.0943 58.5% / 41.5%
74 betfred_uk 51 4.96% 0.4392 0.4844 0.0934 58.8% / 41.2%
75 888sport 213 5.53% 0.4439 0.4796 0.0744 60.1% / 39.9%
76 Winamax (DE) 100 4.98% 0.4414 0.4758 0.0723 61.0% / 39.0%
77 Betsson 271 5.50% 0.4466 0.4809 0.0712 59.8% / 40.2%
78 LiveScore Bet 145 5.38% 0.4615 0.4960 0.0694 54.5% / 45.5%
79 Virgin Bet 132 5.38% 0.4672 0.4959 0.0579 54.5% / 45.5%
80 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 89 5.80% 0.4323 0.4540 0.0479 65.2% / 34.8%
81 NetBet (FR) 51 10.18% 0.4697 0.4906 0.0426 56.9% / 43.1%
82 TABtouch 168 5.46% 0.4684 0.4880 0.0401 57.7% / 42.3%
83 Polymarket 88 2.18% 0.4594 0.4628 0.0073 63.6% / 36.4%
84 Codere (IT) 46 7.41% 0.4526 0.4537 0.0023 65.2% / 34.8%
85 Grosvenor 141 6.58% 0.4985 0.4988 0.0005 52.5% / 47.5%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Paddy Power 170 9.12% 0.5484 0.6520 0.1588 42.4% / 32.4% / 25.3%
2 Suprabets 61 8.99% 0.5622 0.6665 0.1565 34.4% / 32.8% / 32.8%
3 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 56 7.32% 0.5342 0.6307 0.1531 46.4% / 33.9% / 19.6%
4 LiveScore Bet 202 9.85% 0.5546 0.6521 0.1495 42.6% / 31.7% / 25.7%
5 Virgin Bet 202 10.04% 0.5546 0.6521 0.1494 42.6% / 31.7% / 25.7%
6 TAB 87 8.01% 0.5678 0.6635 0.1443 37.9% / 31.0% / 31.0%
7 Betfair Exchange (AU) 171 1.97% 0.5639 0.6559 0.1403 40.9% / 32.7% / 26.3%
8 Betfair Exchange (UK) 171 1.87% 0.5639 0.6559 0.1403 40.9% / 32.7% / 26.3%
9 Betfair Exchange (EU) 171 1.89% 0.5640 0.6559 0.1401 40.9% / 32.7% / 26.3%
10 FanDuel 108 8.29% 0.5616 0.6511 0.1374 38.9% / 38.0% / 23.1%
11 Betclic (FR) 188 9.83% 0.5512 0.6380 0.1360 45.2% / 33.5% / 21.3%
12 Ladbrokes (UK) 190 8.65% 0.5602 0.6475 0.1348 43.7% / 32.1% / 24.2%
13 William Hill 171 10.09% 0.5694 0.6576 0.1341 40.9% / 31.0% / 28.1%
14 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 323 — 0.5546 0.6404 0.1340 44.6% / 33.7% / 21.7%
15 NordicBet 193 7.97% 0.5629 0.6500 0.1340 43.5% / 30.6% / 25.9%
16 Bally Bet 58 6.60% 0.5416 0.6249 0.1332 50.0% / 24.1% / 25.9%
17 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 323 — 0.5551 0.6404 0.1332 44.6% / 33.7% / 21.7%
18 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 323 — 0.5553 0.6404 0.1329 44.6% / 33.7% / 21.7%
19 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 323 — 0.5554 0.6404 0.1327 44.6% / 33.7% / 21.7%
20 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 323 — 0.5556 0.6404 0.1325 44.6% / 33.7% / 21.7%
21 BoyleSports 180 10.01% 0.5704 0.6566 0.1312 41.1% / 31.7% / 27.2%
22 Bovada 169 7.87% 0.5720 0.6576 0.1302 40.8% / 31.4% / 27.8%
23 ATG (SE) 269 5.46% 0.5388 0.6190 0.1296 48.3% / 34.2% / 17.5%
24 Casumo 247 7.25% 0.5460 0.6272 0.1294 48.2% / 31.6% / 20.2%
25 Betsson 190 7.97% 0.5675 0.6513 0.1287 43.2% / 30.5% / 26.3%
26 Coral 160 7.98% 0.5731 0.6566 0.1272 41.3% / 31.3% / 27.5%
27 Winamax (DE) 194 9.63% 0.5313 0.6087 0.1271 50.0% / 34.0% / 16.0%
28 Unibet 284 6.99% 0.5446 0.6239 0.1270 47.5% / 34.2% / 18.3%
29 LeoVegas 137 7.76% 0.5703 0.6532 0.1269 42.3% / 31.4% / 26.3%
30 BetRivers 148 8.50% 0.5737 0.6566 0.1263 40.5% / 33.1% / 26.4%
31 Svenska Spel 266 5.43% 0.5408 0.6189 0.1263 48.1% / 34.6% / 17.3%
32 Ladbrokes (AU) 149 8.43% 0.5728 0.6538 0.1240 42.3% / 30.9% / 26.8%
33 Pinnacle 137 5.63% 0.5684 0.6456 0.1196 43.1% / 34.3% / 22.6%
34 PMU (FR) 160 12.85% 0.5408 0.6138 0.1190 49.4% / 33.8% / 16.9%
35 Winamax (FR) 200 13.84% 0.5446 0.6170 0.1174 49.0% / 33.5% / 17.5%
36 betfred_uk 172 8.49% 0.5789 0.6558 0.1174 41.3% / 32.0% / 26.7%
37 DraftKings 172 7.53% 0.5811 0.6584 0.1173 40.1% / 32.6% / 27.3%
38 Neds 155 8.57% 0.5778 0.6542 0.1169 41.9% / 31.6% / 26.5%
39 888sport 131 9.87% 0.5546 0.6268 0.1151 49.6% / 26.0% / 24.4%
40 Bet Victor 140 9.18% 0.5695 0.6433 0.1146 45.7% / 28.6% / 25.7%
41 BetMGM 143 7.92% 0.5730 0.6465 0.1137 44.8% / 29.4% / 25.9%
42 Marathon Bet 268 6.53% 0.5497 0.6175 0.1098 48.9% / 33.6% / 17.5%
43 888sport (SE) 126 9.84% 0.5532 0.6208 0.1090 50.8% / 25.4% / 23.8%
44 SportsBet 131 7.86% 0.5783 0.6484 0.1082 42.7% / 33.6% / 23.7%
45 Smarkets 126 5.77% 0.5703 0.6378 0.1059 46.8% / 29.4% / 23.8%
46 BetOnline.ag 122 7.09% 0.5792 0.6443 0.1010 45.1% / 30.3% / 24.6%
47 Mr Green (SE) 146 9.72% 0.5652 0.6284 0.1006 49.3% / 25.3% / 25.3%
48 Unibet (UK) 204 6.74% 0.5342 0.5936 0.1000 52.5% / 33.3% / 14.2%
49 1xBet 262 5.02% 0.5632 0.6228 0.0956 46.9% / 35.5% / 17.6%
50 betano_uk 131 9.15% 0.5831 0.6403 0.0893 46.6% / 27.5% / 26.0%
51 Unibet (SE) 229 5.68% 0.5532 0.6054 0.0862 50.2% / 34.5% / 15.3%
52 LeoVegas (SE) 229 7.82% 0.5537 0.6054 0.0855 50.2% / 34.5% / 15.3%
53 Coolbet 165 5.89% 0.5521 0.6003 0.0804 52.1% / 32.1% / 15.8%
54 Betway 226 7.60% 0.5641 0.6130 0.0797 50.0% / 32.7% / 17.3%
55 Tipico (DE) 134 8.80% 0.5718 0.6198 0.0776 48.5% / 33.6% / 17.9%
56 Grosvenor 205 8.42% 0.5472 0.5923 0.0761 52.2% / 34.1% / 13.7%
57 Unibet (NL) 200 7.24% 0.5447 0.5886 0.0747 53.0% / 33.5% / 13.5%
58 TABtouch 215 9.51% 0.5596 0.6042 0.0738 51.2% / 33.0% / 15.8%
59 NetBet (FR) 46 13.64% 0.6157 0.6626 0.0707 37.0% / 34.8% / 28.3%
60 betPARX 98 8.49% 0.6031 0.6464 0.0670 44.9% / 28.6% / 26.5%
61 Sky Bet 56 11.52% 0.5889 0.6256 0.0587 48.2% / 32.1% / 19.6%
62 LowVig.ag 99 7.12% 0.6021 0.6383 0.0568 46.5% / 30.3% / 23.2%
63 Matchbook 98 1.75% 0.5941 0.6297 0.0566 49.0% / 26.5% / 24.5%
64 PlayUp 98 9.84% 0.6017 0.6356 0.0534 46.9% / 30.6% / 22.4%
65 PointsBet (AU) 83 8.11% 0.6047 0.6384 0.0528 47.0% / 27.7% / 25.3%
66 Codere (IT) 144 9.76% 0.5619 0.5899 0.0474 51.4% / 36.1% / 12.5%
67 BetUS 65 6.86% 0.5855 0.6135 0.0456 50.8% / 30.8% / 18.5%
68 MyBookie.ag 50 8.67% 0.5798 0.6024 0.0376 54.0% / 22.0% / 24.0%
69 Kalshi 55 1.77% 0.6225 0.6420 0.0303 45.5% / 30.9% / 23.6%
70 Unibet (FR) 123 16.11% 0.5703 0.5872 0.0288 52.8% / 34.1% / 13.0%
71 Bet Right 61 8.94% 0.6183 0.6342 0.0252 47.5% / 29.5% / 23.0%
72 Fanatics 81 6.87% 0.6286 0.6435 0.0231 45.7% / 28.4% / 25.9%
73 theScore Bet 57 8.02% 0.5942 0.6070 0.0210 52.6% / 28.1% / 19.3%
74 BetAnything 44 6.36% 0.6326 0.6353 0.0043 47.7% / 27.3% / 25.0%
75 Betr (AU) 62 5.99% 0.6315 0.6322 0.0010 48.4% / 24.2% / 27.4%