The School of Odds

Bookmaker Calibration

This page measures how accurately each predictor forecasts real results. Every tracked bookmaker and each Odds.School estimator is scored by the same rule — none hidden for scoring poorly — so you can compare whether aggregating the market predicts better or worse than any single book. Any predictor here, including a single sharp bookmaker, can be adopted as your model elsewhere on the site.

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.

Over the last 14 days the site’s own estimator scores above 78 of 79 tracked bookmakers on two-way markets at the closing line, measured on 473 settled games against the leading bookmaker’s 49.

Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.

Last tick before commence (closing line)

1383 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Sky Bet 49 6.72% 0.3446 0.4998 0.3105 49.0% / 51.0%
2 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 473 — 0.3086 0.4463 0.3085 66.4% / 33.6%
3 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 473 — 0.3087 0.4463 0.3083 66.4% / 33.6%
4 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 473 — 0.3088 0.4463 0.3081 66.4% / 33.6%
5 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 473 — 0.3091 0.4463 0.3074 66.4% / 33.6%
6 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 473 — 0.3093 0.4463 0.3071 66.4% / 33.6%
7 PMU (FR) 67 9.91% 0.3530 0.4990 0.2926 52.2% / 47.8%
8 LeoVegas 235 6.21% 0.3361 0.4746 0.2917 61.3% / 38.7%
9 NetBet (FR) 62 8.41% 0.3603 0.4995 0.2787 51.6% / 48.4%
10 DraftKings 316 4.85% 0.3449 0.4768 0.2767 60.8% / 39.2%
11 Betr (AU) 292 5.70% 0.3353 0.4625 0.2751 63.7% / 36.3%
12 BetMGM 313 4.52% 0.3482 0.4771 0.2702 60.7% / 39.3%
13 Fliff 250 5.84% 0.3517 0.4816 0.2698 59.6% / 40.4%
14 Hard Rock Bet 310 4.91% 0.3491 0.4759 0.2664 61.0% / 39.0%
15 FanDuel 313 4.37% 0.3490 0.4757 0.2663 61.0% / 39.0%
16 theScore Bet 307 4.57% 0.3537 0.4803 0.2635 59.9% / 40.1%
17 ProphetX 269 1.25% 0.3514 0.4743 0.2592 61.3% / 38.7%
18 BetRivers 291 5.08% 0.3607 0.4834 0.2539 59.1% / 40.9%
19 Neds 286 5.12% 0.3536 0.4734 0.2530 61.5% / 38.5%
20 Ladbrokes (AU) 286 5.12% 0.3537 0.4734 0.2527 61.5% / 38.5%
21 Betsson 249 5.79% 0.3528 0.4719 0.2525 61.8% / 38.2%
22 betPARX 295 4.89% 0.3631 0.4839 0.2496 59.0% / 41.0%
23 Bally Bet 295 5.07% 0.3626 0.4826 0.2488 59.3% / 40.7%
24 Unibet (UK) 276 4.38% 0.3593 0.4764 0.2458 60.9% / 39.1%
25 Caesars 279 4.51% 0.3603 0.4776 0.2457 60.6% / 39.4%
26 GTbets 258 3.47% 0.3646 0.4812 0.2423 59.7% / 40.3%
27 Pinnacle 278 2.90% 0.3688 0.4851 0.2397 58.6% / 41.4%
28 Betfair Exchange (EU) 290 5.12% 0.3593 0.4709 0.2370 62.1% / 37.9%
29 Fanatics 266 4.67% 0.3683 0.4809 0.2340 59.8% / 40.2%
30 Novig 239 1.13% 0.3696 0.4823 0.2337 59.4% / 40.6%
31 Betfair Exchange (AU) 295 5.77% 0.3602 0.4677 0.2298 62.7% / 37.3%
32 Bovada 266 4.53% 0.3728 0.4837 0.2294 59.0% / 41.0%
33 ATG (SE) 258 4.83% 0.3734 0.4841 0.2287 58.9% / 41.1%
34 Unibet (SE) 269 4.83% 0.3707 0.4806 0.2286 59.9% / 40.1%
35 Svenska Spel 258 4.62% 0.3736 0.4841 0.2283 58.9% / 41.1%
36 Betway 267 5.45% 0.3730 0.4832 0.2280 59.2% / 40.8%
37 Betfair Exchange (UK) 289 5.85% 0.3640 0.4715 0.2279 61.9% / 38.1%
38 SportsBet 261 5.74% 0.3729 0.4824 0.2270 59.4% / 40.6%
39 betano_uk 240 7.07% 0.3753 0.4847 0.2257 58.8% / 41.3%
40 LeoVegas (SE) 261 5.57% 0.3750 0.4838 0.2249 59.0% / 41.0%
41 Unibet 262 5.11% 0.3778 0.4846 0.2204 58.8% / 41.2%
42 Bet Victor 212 7.16% 0.3788 0.4804 0.2114 59.9% / 40.1%
43 MyBookie.ag 225 4.61% 0.3768 0.4763 0.2088 60.9% / 39.1%
44 Bet Right 230 4.99% 0.3878 0.4878 0.2049 57.8% / 42.2%
45 Matchbook 238 1.54% 0.3915 0.4910 0.2025 56.7% / 43.3%
46 NordicBet 233 5.70% 0.3900 0.4887 0.2020 57.5% / 42.5%
47 Kalshi 188 1.12% 0.3730 0.4674 0.2019 62.8% / 37.2%
48 BetOnline.ag 251 3.14% 0.3877 0.4853 0.2012 58.6% / 41.4%
49 LowVig.ag 245 3.13% 0.3894 0.4873 0.2010 58.0% / 42.0%
50 Unibet (NL) 252 4.86% 0.3909 0.4874 0.1980 57.9% / 42.1%
51 BetAnything 220 3.70% 0.3907 0.4866 0.1971 58.2% / 41.8%
52 PointsBet (AU) 247 5.23% 0.3957 0.4862 0.1862 58.3% / 41.7%
53 Marathon Bet 232 5.62% 0.3987 0.4893 0.1852 57.3% / 42.7%
54 TAB 236 5.01% 0.4035 0.4919 0.1797 56.4% / 43.6%
55 Coolbet 232 4.72% 0.3972 0.4836 0.1788 59.1% / 40.9%
56 BetUS 220 3.39% 0.4018 0.4851 0.1716 58.6% / 41.4%
57 BoyleSports 132 5.81% 0.4081 0.4927 0.1715 56.1% / 43.9%
58 PlayUp 239 5.24% 0.4079 0.4905 0.1683 56.9% / 43.1%
59 ReBet 208 5.08% 0.4114 0.4944 0.1679 55.3% / 44.7%
60 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 153 4.87% 0.4118 0.4938 0.1662 55.6% / 44.4%
61 Dabble (AU) 193 5.48% 0.4088 0.4871 0.1608 58.0% / 42.0%
62 Paddy Power 200 6.79% 0.4170 0.4950 0.1575 55.0% / 45.0%
63 betfred_uk 198 5.32% 0.4158 0.4914 0.1538 56.6% / 43.4%
64 William Hill 200 5.55% 0.4187 0.4939 0.1524 55.5% / 44.5%
65 Everygame 171 3.07% 0.4019 0.4740 0.1522 61.4% / 38.6%
66 888sport 192 5.66% 0.4214 0.4956 0.1498 54.7% / 45.3%
67 Mr Green (SE) 185 5.67% 0.4266 0.4967 0.1412 54.1% / 45.9%
68 888sport (SE) 185 5.66% 0.4267 0.4967 0.1410 54.1% / 45.9%
69 Coral 188 5.68% 0.4277 0.4964 0.1384 54.3% / 45.7%
70 TABtouch 175 5.36% 0.4278 0.4963 0.1381 54.3% / 45.7%
71 Smarkets 186 2.41% 0.4278 0.4963 0.1381 54.3% / 45.7%
72 Grosvenor 176 7.54% 0.4275 0.4959 0.1379 54.5% / 45.5%
73 Ladbrokes (UK) 188 5.67% 0.4280 0.4964 0.1378 54.3% / 45.7%
74 Casumo 176 5.03% 0.4277 0.4959 0.1375 54.5% / 45.5%
75 LiveScore Bet 173 6.12% 0.4299 0.4972 0.1353 53.8% / 46.2%
76 Virgin Bet 173 6.11% 0.4300 0.4972 0.1351 53.8% / 46.2%
77 Winamax (DE) 173 5.25% 0.4315 0.4972 0.1322 53.8% / 46.2%
78 Winamax (FR) 173 6.97% 0.4317 0.4972 0.1316 53.8% / 46.2%
79 Betclic (FR) 188 7.79% 0.4314 0.4954 0.1291 54.8% / 45.2%
80 Tipico (DE) 183 6.66% 0.4323 0.4957 0.1279 54.6% / 45.4%
81 1xBet 171 2.78% 0.4342 0.4971 0.1266 53.8% / 46.2%
82 Unibet (FR) 166 7.67% 0.4370 0.4982 0.1228 53.0% / 47.0%
83 BetOpenly 130 1.65% 0.4323 0.4882 0.1144 57.7% / 42.3%
84 Polymarket 141 1.03% 0.4492 0.4927 0.0883 56.0% / 44.0%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Everygame 58 5.56% 0.5423 0.6635 0.1826 31.0% / 37.9% / 31.0%
2 Fliff 79 9.93% 0.5314 0.6355 0.1638 41.8% / 39.2% / 19.0%
3 Marathon Bet 438 6.59% 0.5649 0.6487 0.1292 42.7% / 33.6% / 23.7%
4 Codere (IT) 353 7.09% 0.5637 0.6470 0.1288 43.1% / 33.7% / 23.2%
5 Unibet (UK) 417 6.77% 0.5663 0.6485 0.1267 43.4% / 32.1% / 24.5%
6 TAB 140 7.48% 0.5761 0.6593 0.1262 37.9% / 35.7% / 26.4%
7 Bet Victor 387 8.21% 0.5704 0.6503 0.1229 42.4% / 33.3% / 24.3%
8 Bally Bet 136 6.33% 0.5792 0.6604 0.1229 38.2% / 34.6% / 27.2%
9 NetBet (FR) 275 12.08% 0.5706 0.6501 0.1223 42.2% / 33.8% / 24.0%
10 LeoVegas 309 8.33% 0.5744 0.6523 0.1193 41.1% / 34.6% / 24.3%
11 PointsBet (AU) 376 7.15% 0.5735 0.6498 0.1174 42.3% / 33.8% / 23.9%
12 ATG (SE) 467 5.88% 0.5731 0.6493 0.1173 42.8% / 33.0% / 24.2%
13 Matchbook 381 0.82% 0.5723 0.6483 0.1172 42.8% / 33.6% / 23.6%
14 Svenska Spel 467 5.89% 0.5732 0.6493 0.1172 42.8% / 33.0% / 24.2%
15 betano_uk 379 8.27% 0.5763 0.6520 0.1160 42.0% / 33.2% / 24.8%
16 Virgin Bet 504 11.04% 0.5732 0.6480 0.1155 43.5% / 32.3% / 24.2%
17 NordicBet 468 7.56% 0.5756 0.6504 0.1151 42.7% / 32.5% / 24.8%
18 Winamax (FR) 402 11.04% 0.5724 0.6467 0.1149 43.8% / 32.3% / 23.9%
19 Winamax (DE) 435 9.14% 0.5723 0.6466 0.1149 43.7% / 32.6% / 23.7%
20 Unibet 505 8.02% 0.5740 0.6484 0.1148 43.4% / 32.3% / 24.4%
21 LiveScore Bet 505 11.01% 0.5740 0.6484 0.1148 43.4% / 32.3% / 24.4%
22 Unibet (NL) 454 7.00% 0.5764 0.6509 0.1145 42.7% / 32.2% / 25.1%
23 betPARX 395 7.53% 0.5756 0.6496 0.1140 42.5% / 33.4% / 24.1%
24 Coolbet 417 4.89% 0.5768 0.6509 0.1139 42.2% / 33.3% / 24.5%
25 Grosvenor 478 7.96% 0.5743 0.6481 0.1138 43.1% / 33.1% / 23.8%
26 Casumo 446 7.64% 0.5768 0.6502 0.1129 42.4% / 33.4% / 24.2%
27 theScore Bet 240 7.36% 0.5823 0.6550 0.1109 40.0% / 35.0% / 25.0%
28 1xBet 491 5.22% 0.5783 0.6503 0.1108 43.0% / 32.0% / 25.1%
29 Betsson 437 7.60% 0.5798 0.6518 0.1106 42.3% / 32.5% / 25.2%
30 Tipico (DE) 426 8.18% 0.5803 0.6520 0.1100 41.8% / 33.6% / 24.6%
31 William Hill 400 9.38% 0.5799 0.6516 0.1100 42.5% / 32.3% / 25.3%
32 Unibet (SE) 483 6.94% 0.5792 0.6504 0.1094 42.7% / 32.7% / 24.6%
33 BetRivers 410 9.44% 0.5798 0.6507 0.1089 42.7% / 32.4% / 24.9%
34 Paddy Power 481 10.13% 0.5798 0.6505 0.1087 42.8% / 32.2% / 24.9%
35 Bet Right 331 8.55% 0.5836 0.6542 0.1079 42.0% / 31.4% / 26.6%
36 LeoVegas (SE) 494 10.10% 0.5795 0.6495 0.1077 43.1% / 32.2% / 24.7%
37 Betway 422 7.48% 0.5847 0.6548 0.1070 41.2% / 32.9% / 25.8%
38 Smarkets 407 1.98% 0.5790 0.6482 0.1068 43.7% / 31.4% / 24.8%
39 BetMGM 400 7.01% 0.5831 0.6526 0.1065 41.5% / 33.8% / 24.8%
40 PMU (FR) 393 11.87% 0.5779 0.6467 0.1063 44.3% / 31.0% / 24.7%
41 Pinnacle 498 3.79% 0.5833 0.6525 0.1060 42.4% / 31.9% / 25.7%
42 BoyleSports 454 12.00% 0.5836 0.6526 0.1057 42.1% / 32.6% / 25.3%
43 Bovada 464 7.40% 0.5826 0.6514 0.1057 42.2% / 33.0% / 24.8%
44 PlayUp 425 9.04% 0.5851 0.6542 0.1056 40.9% / 33.9% / 25.2%
45 Betr (AU) 378 7.76% 0.5836 0.6523 0.1054 41.8% / 33.3% / 24.9%
46 TABtouch 441 9.60% 0.5827 0.6506 0.1045 42.2% / 33.6% / 24.3%
47 GTbets 210 5.44% 0.5760 0.6429 0.1042 45.7% / 29.0% / 25.2%
48 FanDuel 410 6.99% 0.5817 0.6490 0.1037 42.9% / 32.9% / 24.1%
49 Sky Bet 448 10.86% 0.5845 0.6521 0.1036 42.4% / 32.1% / 25.4%
50 LowVig.ag 452 4.97% 0.5843 0.6517 0.1035 42.3% / 32.7% / 25.0%
51 BetAnything 218 5.29% 0.5811 0.6481 0.1034 43.1% / 33.0% / 23.9%
52 betfred_uk 454 8.78% 0.5842 0.6515 0.1034 42.7% / 31.7% / 25.6%
53 Mr Green (SE) 448 9.58% 0.5862 0.6534 0.1028 41.5% / 33.3% / 25.2%
54 BetUS 352 5.93% 0.5876 0.6549 0.1028 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.9%
55 Betclic (FR) 365 11.23% 0.5832 0.6500 0.1028 43.6% / 30.4% / 26.0%
56 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 910 — 0.5832 0.6497 0.1024 43.3% / 31.5% / 25.2%
57 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 408 10.66% 0.5860 0.6527 0.1023 41.9% / 32.8% / 25.2%
58 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 910 — 0.5833 0.6497 0.1023 43.3% / 31.5% / 25.2%
59 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 910 — 0.5833 0.6497 0.1022 43.3% / 31.5% / 25.2%
60 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 910 — 0.5834 0.6497 0.1022 43.3% / 31.5% / 25.2%
61 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 910 — 0.5835 0.6497 0.1020 43.3% / 31.5% / 25.2%
62 BetOnline.ag 470 5.01% 0.5874 0.6538 0.1016 41.7% / 32.6% / 25.7%
63 DraftKings 420 5.95% 0.5874 0.6533 0.1008 42.1% / 31.9% / 26.0%
64 SportsBet 473 7.92% 0.5856 0.6511 0.1005 42.7% / 32.1% / 25.2%
65 Betfair Exchange (AU) 474 0.95% 0.5867 0.6515 0.0993 42.6% / 32.1% / 25.3%
66 Coral 431 9.00% 0.5893 0.6542 0.0993 41.1% / 33.6% / 25.3%
67 Betfair Exchange (UK) 474 0.92% 0.5868 0.6515 0.0992 42.6% / 32.1% / 25.3%
68 Betfair Exchange (EU) 474 0.91% 0.5868 0.6515 0.0992 42.6% / 32.1% / 25.3%
69 Fanatics 371 6.79% 0.5887 0.6521 0.0972 42.3% / 32.3% / 25.3%
70 Ladbrokes (UK) 446 9.12% 0.5913 0.6543 0.0964 41.0% / 33.6% / 25.3%
71 888sport 406 9.74% 0.5881 0.6505 0.0958 42.6% / 32.8% / 24.6%
72 Caesars 91 6.95% 0.5907 0.6531 0.0955 41.8% / 33.0% / 25.3%
73 888sport (SE) 404 9.70% 0.5900 0.6512 0.0939 42.3% / 32.9% / 24.8%
74 ReBet 68 4.76% 0.5851 0.6453 0.0933 44.1% / 32.4% / 23.5%
75 Ladbrokes (AU) 365 9.53% 0.5942 0.6537 0.0911 40.5% / 34.8% / 24.7%
76 Suprabets 107 7.49% 0.5869 0.6456 0.0909 39.3% / 39.3% / 21.5%
77 Neds 374 9.72% 0.5944 0.6538 0.0909 41.2% / 33.7% / 25.1%
78 Unibet (FR) 397 12.29% 0.5909 0.6490 0.0895 43.8% / 30.5% / 25.7%
79 Kalshi 303 1.77% 0.5970 0.6546 0.0879 41.9% / 31.4% / 26.7%
80 Hard Rock Bet 79 6.40% 0.5869 0.6403 0.0834 41.8% / 38.0% / 20.3%
81 MyBookie.ag 48 6.38% 0.6332 0.6563 0.0351 41.7% / 29.2% / 29.2%

24 hours before commence (early-bird line)

1270 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Betway 128 4.71% 0.2908 0.4688 0.3796 62.5% / 37.5%
2 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 380 — 0.2730 0.4360 0.3737 67.9% / 32.1%
3 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 380 — 0.2732 0.4360 0.3734 67.9% / 32.1%
4 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 380 — 0.2733 0.4360 0.3732 67.9% / 32.1%
5 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 380 — 0.2733 0.4360 0.3732 67.9% / 32.1%
6 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 380 — 0.2733 0.4360 0.3731 67.9% / 32.1%
7 ProphetX 153 1.70% 0.2806 0.4400 0.3623 67.3% / 32.7%
8 LeoVegas 142 7.43% 0.3037 0.4746 0.3601 61.3% / 38.7%
9 Hard Rock Bet 239 4.68% 0.3082 0.4790 0.3565 60.3% / 39.7%
10 Svenska Spel 152 4.72% 0.3107 0.4778 0.3499 60.5% / 39.5%
11 ATG (SE) 152 4.79% 0.3111 0.4778 0.3488 60.5% / 39.5%
12 Bally Bet 159 4.96% 0.3123 0.4758 0.3435 61.0% / 39.0%
13 betPARX 159 4.98% 0.3123 0.4758 0.3435 61.0% / 39.0%
14 BetRivers 164 5.16% 0.3145 0.4759 0.3391 61.0% / 39.0%
15 Unibet (SE) 164 4.97% 0.3150 0.4759 0.3381 61.0% / 39.0%
16 Everygame 36 4.04% 0.2822 0.4244 0.3351 69.4% / 30.6%
17 FanDuel 257 4.53% 0.3206 0.4771 0.3280 60.7% / 39.3%
18 Betr (AU) 237 5.72% 0.3093 0.4600 0.3277 64.1% / 35.9%
19 PMU (FR) 57 10.30% 0.3350 0.4962 0.3248 54.4% / 45.6%
20 Novig 166 2.02% 0.3284 0.4837 0.3210 59.0% / 41.0%
21 Betfair Exchange (AU) 114 5.78% 0.3195 0.4698 0.3199 62.3% / 37.7%
22 LeoVegas (SE) 158 5.38% 0.3267 0.4795 0.3187 60.1% / 39.9%
23 Matchbook 102 2.61% 0.3283 0.4808 0.3172 59.8% / 40.2%
24 Betfair Exchange (UK) 108 5.64% 0.3222 0.4710 0.3159 62.0% / 38.0%
25 Betfair Exchange (EU) 108 5.41% 0.3228 0.4710 0.3146 62.0% / 38.0%
26 Unibet 159 5.44% 0.3290 0.4758 0.3085 61.0% / 39.0%
27 Sky Bet 37 6.10% 0.3461 0.4996 0.3074 51.4% / 48.6%
28 theScore Bet 233 4.82% 0.3337 0.4813 0.3066 59.7% / 40.3%
29 BoyleSports 56 5.38% 0.3474 0.4994 0.3044 48.2% / 51.8%
30 Unibet (UK) 218 5.35% 0.3304 0.4737 0.3025 61.5% / 38.5%
31 Kalshi 143 1.24% 0.3259 0.4665 0.3015 62.9% / 37.1%
32 Coolbet 145 4.58% 0.3391 0.4827 0.2974 59.3% / 40.7%
33 Unibet (NL) 153 4.96% 0.3400 0.4820 0.2946 59.5% / 40.5%
34 Fanatics 193 4.39% 0.3480 0.4887 0.2879 57.5% / 42.5%
35 Pinnacle 171 3.87% 0.3485 0.4893 0.2877 57.3% / 42.7%
36 NetBet (FR) 53 8.29% 0.3533 0.4956 0.2871 54.7% / 45.3%
37 SportsBet 212 6.06% 0.3450 0.4804 0.2818 59.9% / 40.1%
38 DraftKings 198 4.51% 0.3500 0.4869 0.2813 58.1% / 41.9%
39 BetUS 124 3.85% 0.3478 0.4813 0.2773 59.7% / 40.3%
40 MyBookie.ag 118 5.27% 0.3295 0.4535 0.2733 65.3% / 34.7%
41 GTbets 176 3.60% 0.3572 0.4907 0.2720 56.8% / 43.2%
42 BetMGM 181 4.61% 0.3592 0.4919 0.2697 56.4% / 43.6%
43 BetAnything 102 4.16% 0.3473 0.4723 0.2647 61.8% / 38.2%
44 Bovada 173 4.51% 0.3631 0.4912 0.2607 56.6% / 43.4%
45 Ladbrokes (AU) 196 5.29% 0.3626 0.4898 0.2596 57.1% / 42.9%
46 Neds 196 5.29% 0.3626 0.4898 0.2596 57.1% / 42.9%
47 Dabble (AU) 71 6.05% 0.3471 0.4642 0.2523 63.4% / 36.6%
48 BetOnline.ag 173 3.42% 0.3680 0.4912 0.2507 56.6% / 43.4%
49 TAB 127 5.45% 0.3706 0.4930 0.2483 55.9% / 44.1%
50 Marathon Bet 128 5.88% 0.3555 0.4725 0.2477 61.7% / 38.3%
51 TABtouch 75 5.32% 0.3733 0.4956 0.2469 54.7% / 45.3%
52 Bet Right 180 5.02% 0.3702 0.4911 0.2462 56.7% / 43.3%
53 betano_uk 134 7.05% 0.3668 0.4865 0.2461 58.2% / 41.8%
54 LowVig.ag 165 3.32% 0.3720 0.4934 0.2459 55.8% / 44.2%
55 Caesars 169 4.33% 0.3706 0.4872 0.2394 58.0% / 42.0%
56 Casumo 73 5.07% 0.3797 0.4977 0.2371 53.4% / 46.6%
57 Grosvenor 73 6.69% 0.3806 0.4977 0.2351 53.4% / 46.6%
58 LiveScore Bet 67 5.77% 0.3835 0.4990 0.2314 52.2% / 47.8%
59 Virgin Bet 67 5.70% 0.3847 0.4990 0.2291 52.2% / 47.8%
60 ReBet 197 6.95% 0.3751 0.4860 0.2281 58.4% / 41.6%
61 PointsBet (AU) 194 4.91% 0.3757 0.4864 0.2275 58.2% / 41.8%
62 Tipico (DE) 72 6.49% 0.3864 0.5000 0.2272 50.0% / 50.0%
63 Fliff 130 5.64% 0.3758 0.4830 0.2218 59.2% / 40.8%
64 NordicBet 118 5.86% 0.3888 0.4908 0.2079 56.8% / 43.2%
65 PlayUp 172 5.28% 0.3927 0.4932 0.2037 55.8% / 44.2%
66 Bet Victor 136 7.02% 0.3945 0.4931 0.2000 55.9% / 44.1%
67 William Hill 93 5.68% 0.4002 0.4999 0.1996 50.5% / 49.5%
68 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 39 5.30% 0.4016 0.4997 0.1962 48.7% / 51.3%
69 Betsson 105 5.83% 0.3944 0.4898 0.1947 57.1% / 42.9%
70 888sport 130 5.57% 0.4062 0.4981 0.1846 53.1% / 46.9%
71 Mr Green (SE) 128 5.57% 0.4072 0.4989 0.1839 52.3% / 47.7%
72 888sport (SE) 128 5.57% 0.4072 0.4989 0.1839 52.3% / 47.7%
73 Paddy Power 139 6.12% 0.4067 0.4956 0.1795 54.7% / 45.3%
74 1xBet 111 2.87% 0.4164 0.5000 0.1672 50.5% / 49.5%
75 Betclic (FR) 126 6.25% 0.4173 0.4980 0.1621 53.2% / 46.8%
76 Winamax (DE) 107 5.25% 0.4192 0.5000 0.1614 50.5% / 49.5%
77 betfred_uk 123 5.44% 0.4195 0.4992 0.1597 52.0% / 48.0%
78 Smarkets 132 6.94% 0.4190 0.4982 0.1589 53.0% / 47.0%
79 Winamax (FR) 107 9.20% 0.4210 0.5000 0.1580 50.5% / 49.5%
80 Ladbrokes (UK) 121 6.04% 0.4245 0.4997 0.1505 51.2% / 48.8%
81 Unibet (FR) 113 9.68% 0.4248 0.5000 0.1503 50.4% / 49.6%
82 Coral 121 6.04% 0.4246 0.4997 0.1502 51.2% / 48.8%
83 Polymarket 96 1.08% 0.4349 0.4991 0.1286 52.1% / 47.9%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Fliff 59 9.90% 0.5038 0.6263 0.1956 42.4% / 40.7% / 16.9%
2 Everygame 74 9.11% 0.5605 0.6633 0.1549 32.4% / 37.8% / 29.7%
3 NetBet (FR) 353 12.16% 0.5703 0.6522 0.1256 41.9% / 33.1% / 24.9%
4 Matchbook 328 2.02% 0.5704 0.6516 0.1247 43.0% / 30.8% / 26.2%
5 Unibet (UK) 552 6.82% 0.5696 0.6495 0.1230 43.7% / 30.6% / 25.7%
6 Marathon Bet 588 6.59% 0.5756 0.6533 0.1188 41.8% / 32.7% / 25.5%
7 Winamax (FR) 516 12.33% 0.5723 0.6485 0.1175 43.6% / 31.6% / 24.8%
8 Winamax (DE) 543 10.02% 0.5750 0.6511 0.1169 42.7% / 32.0% / 25.2%
9 Betr (AU) 345 6.23% 0.5787 0.6544 0.1156 41.2% / 33.3% / 25.5%
10 Codere (IT) 468 7.79% 0.5761 0.6511 0.1152 42.7% / 32.1% / 25.2%
11 Coolbet 573 5.10% 0.5755 0.6502 0.1149 43.3% / 31.2% / 25.5%
12 Bally Bet 190 6.42% 0.5827 0.6573 0.1135 40.0% / 33.7% / 26.3%
13 Tipico (DE) 566 8.22% 0.5795 0.6532 0.1128 41.7% / 33.0% / 25.3%
14 LeoVegas 431 8.46% 0.5793 0.6521 0.1117 42.5% / 32.0% / 25.5%
15 TAB 184 7.58% 0.5840 0.6572 0.1113 38.6% / 35.9% / 25.5%
16 PMU (FR) 504 11.73% 0.5780 0.6504 0.1113 43.3% / 31.2% / 25.6%
17 BetAnything 187 6.72% 0.5777 0.6497 0.1108 43.3% / 31.6% / 25.1%
18 Suprabets 131 9.48% 0.5735 0.6450 0.1108 42.7% / 35.1% / 22.1%
19 Unibet (NL) 612 7.03% 0.5799 0.6520 0.1106 42.6% / 31.5% / 25.8%
20 ATG (SE) 610 5.76% 0.5805 0.6525 0.1103 42.3% / 32.1% / 25.6%
21 Bet Victor 517 8.72% 0.5804 0.6523 0.1102 42.4% / 32.1% / 25.5%
22 Svenska Spel 610 5.77% 0.5806 0.6525 0.1102 42.3% / 32.1% / 25.6%
23 Casumo 582 7.69% 0.5822 0.6543 0.1102 41.6% / 32.5% / 25.9%
24 PointsBet (AU) 489 7.19% 0.5808 0.6527 0.1101 42.5% / 31.3% / 26.2%
25 Betsson 587 7.58% 0.5820 0.6540 0.1101 42.2% / 30.8% / 26.9%
26 NordicBet 609 7.59% 0.5809 0.6527 0.1100 42.7% / 30.7% / 26.6%
27 Betway 563 7.83% 0.5827 0.6546 0.1098 41.6% / 32.3% / 26.1%
28 Paddy Power 642 9.06% 0.5811 0.6527 0.1097 42.5% / 31.3% / 26.2%
29 Betclic (FR) 467 10.87% 0.5812 0.6526 0.1094 42.8% / 30.2% / 27.0%
30 LiveScore Bet 646 11.74% 0.5814 0.6526 0.1091 42.6% / 31.3% / 26.2%
31 Virgin Bet 646 11.74% 0.5814 0.6526 0.1090 42.6% / 31.3% / 26.2%
32 Unibet 653 7.94% 0.5810 0.6519 0.1088 42.7% / 31.4% / 25.9%
33 William Hill 542 9.30% 0.5813 0.6517 0.1080 42.8% / 31.4% / 25.8%
34 Grosvenor 625 8.00% 0.5820 0.6523 0.1078 42.4% / 32.0% / 25.6%
35 PlayUp 526 9.32% 0.5836 0.6538 0.1073 42.2% / 31.2% / 26.6%
36 LowVig.ag 586 6.34% 0.5840 0.6540 0.1069 42.0% / 31.7% / 26.3%
37 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 482 7.02% 0.5866 0.6566 0.1065 40.9% / 32.4% / 26.8%
38 betPARX 526 7.57% 0.5863 0.6546 0.1043 41.8% / 31.6% / 26.6%
39 Bet Right 411 8.24% 0.5879 0.6563 0.1042 41.4% / 31.1% / 27.5%
40 betano_uk 503 8.81% 0.5857 0.6535 0.1038 41.9% / 32.2% / 25.8%
41 Betfair Exchange (AU) 609 9.23% 0.5833 0.6505 0.1034 43.2% / 31.2% / 25.6%
42 Mr Green (SE) 595 9.50% 0.5865 0.6542 0.1034 41.8% / 31.9% / 26.2%
43 Betfair Exchange (UK) 609 8.65% 0.5835 0.6505 0.1030 43.2% / 31.2% / 25.6%
44 BetMGM 535 7.07% 0.5874 0.6548 0.1028 41.5% / 32.3% / 26.2%
45 Betfair Exchange (EU) 609 8.62% 0.5837 0.6505 0.1028 43.2% / 31.2% / 25.6%
46 BetOnline.ag 606 6.39% 0.5885 0.6557 0.1025 41.4% / 31.7% / 26.9%
47 DraftKings 539 6.88% 0.5863 0.6531 0.1023 42.5% / 31.0% / 26.5%
48 Sky Bet 597 11.39% 0.5868 0.6533 0.1018 42.4% / 31.2% / 26.5%
49 FanDuel 525 7.46% 0.5851 0.6512 0.1015 42.9% / 31.6% / 25.5%
50 BoyleSports 600 11.86% 0.5876 0.6540 0.1015 42.0% / 31.7% / 26.3%
51 betfred_uk 594 8.45% 0.5875 0.6536 0.1011 42.4% / 30.6% / 26.9%
52 Caesars 112 6.90% 0.5887 0.6548 0.1010 40.2% / 34.8% / 25.0%
53 BetRivers 556 9.47% 0.5871 0.6530 0.1010 42.6% / 30.6% / 26.8%
54 SportsBet 632 7.76% 0.5871 0.6530 0.1008 42.6% / 30.9% / 26.6%
55 Coral 577 8.98% 0.5885 0.6544 0.1007 41.6% / 32.4% / 26.0%
56 1xBet 639 5.28% 0.5871 0.6525 0.1002 42.7% / 30.8% / 26.4%
57 theScore Bet 341 8.12% 0.5898 0.6554 0.1001 41.1% / 32.8% / 26.1%
58 Smarkets 546 5.27% 0.5852 0.6502 0.1000 43.6% / 30.0% / 26.4%
59 Ladbrokes (UK) 592 9.16% 0.5897 0.6550 0.0997 41.4% / 32.4% / 26.2%
60 Pinnacle 638 5.34% 0.5892 0.6544 0.0996 42.0% / 31.2% / 26.8%
61 Unibet (SE) 624 6.81% 0.5888 0.6533 0.0987 42.3% / 31.4% / 26.3%
62 LeoVegas (SE) 638 9.75% 0.5881 0.6522 0.0984 42.8% / 30.9% / 26.3%
63 TABtouch 583 9.68% 0.5897 0.6540 0.0983 41.9% / 32.1% / 26.1%
64 Bovada 584 7.53% 0.5908 0.6550 0.0980 41.6% / 31.8% / 26.5%
65 GTbets 280 5.43% 0.5840 0.6472 0.0977 44.6% / 28.9% / 26.4%
66 888sport (SE) 543 9.60% 0.5889 0.6524 0.0974 42.5% / 31.5% / 26.0%
67 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 890 — 0.5876 0.6508 0.0971 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5%
68 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 890 — 0.5877 0.6508 0.0970 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5%
69 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 890 — 0.5877 0.6508 0.0970 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5%
70 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 890 — 0.5877 0.6508 0.0969 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5%
71 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 890 — 0.5877 0.6508 0.0969 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5%
72 BetUS 473 6.65% 0.5936 0.6568 0.0963 41.0% / 31.7% / 27.3%
73 888sport 545 9.61% 0.5892 0.6518 0.0961 42.8% / 31.4% / 25.9%
74 Ladbrokes (AU) 513 9.47% 0.5931 0.6560 0.0958 40.7% / 33.1% / 26.1%
75 ReBet 107 9.06% 0.5898 0.6516 0.0949 43.0% / 30.8% / 26.2%
76 Unibet (FR) 516 12.28% 0.5894 0.6511 0.0946 43.4% / 29.7% / 26.9%
77 Neds 524 9.64% 0.5937 0.6557 0.0945 41.2% / 32.3% / 26.5%
78 Fanatics 492 6.82% 0.5945 0.6545 0.0917 42.1% / 30.9% / 27.0%
79 Kalshi 382 2.66% 0.5999 0.6555 0.0848 41.9% / 30.1% / 28.0%
80 Hard Rock Bet 100 6.31% 0.5988 0.6424 0.0679 44.0% / 34.0% / 22.0%
81 MyBookie.ag 69 7.97% 0.6415 0.6612 0.0298 39.1% / 29.0% / 31.9%