The School of OddsAccuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.
Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.
455 settled games scored, 85 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everygame | 146 | 2.87% | 0.4552 | 0.5000 | 0.0897 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 2 | Bet Right | 212 | 4.97% | 0.4568 | 0.5000 | 0.0865 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 3 | PlayUp | 184 | 5.12% | 0.4572 | 0.4991 | 0.0838 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 4 | PointsBet (AU) | 184 | 4.73% | 0.4579 | 0.4985 | 0.0816 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 5 | Unibet | 221 | 5.07% | 0.4603 | 0.5000 | 0.0794 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 6 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 212 | 1.04% | 0.4630 | 0.4996 | 0.0732 | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| 7 | TABtouch | 213 | 5.41% | 0.4631 | 0.4995 | 0.0728 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 8 | Grosvenor | 178 | 6.79% | 0.4641 | 0.5000 | 0.0718 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 9 | Betr (AU) | 298 | 5.85% | 0.4653 | 0.4998 | 0.0690 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 10 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 212 | 1.53% | 0.4655 | 0.4996 | 0.0683 | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| 11 | Unibet (NL) | 206 | 4.65% | 0.4664 | 0.4996 | 0.0664 | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| 12 | Paddy Power | 206 | 6.93% | 0.4659 | 0.4988 | 0.0661 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| 13 | betano_uk | 41 | 5.56% | 0.4647 | 0.4973 | 0.0657 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| 14 | Pinnacle | 295 | 3.28% | 0.4681 | 0.5000 | 0.0637 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 15 | Coolbet | 186 | 5.18% | 0.4682 | 0.4998 | 0.0631 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 16 | TAB | 203 | 4.58% | 0.4674 | 0.4985 | 0.0625 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| 17 | Casumo | 164 | 4.99% | 0.4699 | 0.4997 | 0.0596 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 18 | Odds.School (Recency-weighted) | 311 | — | 0.4706 | 0.5000 | 0.0589 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 19 | Betsson | 202 | 5.64% | 0.4691 | 0.4982 | 0.0585 | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| 20 | Odds.School (Mean) | 311 | — | 0.4708 | 0.5000 | 0.0584 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 21 | Odds.School (Median) | 311 | — | 0.4709 | 0.5000 | 0.0581 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 22 | Odds.School (Margin-weighted) | 311 | — | 0.4710 | 0.5000 | 0.0581 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 23 | Odds.School (IQM) | 311 | — | 0.4710 | 0.5000 | 0.0579 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 24 | SportsBet | 295 | 5.23% | 0.4710 | 0.4999 | 0.0577 | 49.2% / 50.8% |
| 25 | NordicBet | 202 | 5.60% | 0.4714 | 0.4992 | 0.0558 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 26 | Neds | 287 | 5.20% | 0.4727 | 0.5000 | 0.0547 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 27 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 299 | 5.19% | 0.4732 | 0.5000 | 0.0537 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 28 | Tipico (DE) | 153 | 6.63% | 0.4733 | 0.4995 | 0.0524 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 29 | Coral | 154 | 4.72% | 0.4726 | 0.4987 | 0.0523 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 30 | BetOnline.ag | 251 | 3.03% | 0.4737 | 0.4996 | 0.0519 | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| 31 | DraftKings | 292 | 4.66% | 0.4752 | 0.5000 | 0.0496 | 49.7% / 50.3% |
| 32 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 299 | 3.31% | 0.4754 | 0.5000 | 0.0492 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 33 | PMU (FR) | 40 | 9.54% | 0.4709 | 0.4950 | 0.0486 | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| 34 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 153 | 4.70% | 0.4741 | 0.4983 | 0.0485 | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| 35 | Unibet (FR) | 153 | 6.52% | 0.4757 | 0.4998 | 0.0482 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 36 | BetUS | 214 | 3.05% | 0.4747 | 0.4979 | 0.0465 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 37 | Marathon Bet | 230 | 6.10% | 0.4786 | 0.5000 | 0.0427 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 38 | Caesars | 221 | 4.36% | 0.4774 | 0.4983 | 0.0418 | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| 39 | BetMGM | 218 | 4.61% | 0.4775 | 0.4979 | 0.0410 | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| 40 | Novig | 210 | 1.10% | 0.4768 | 0.4971 | 0.0408 | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| 41 | Bet Victor | 151 | 5.84% | 0.4783 | 0.4982 | 0.0400 | 47.0% / 53.0% |
| 42 | ProphetX | 214 | 1.48% | 0.4784 | 0.4979 | 0.0390 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 43 | LeoVegas | 148 | 6.85% | 0.4763 | 0.4955 | 0.0389 | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| 44 | Bally Bet | 197 | 5.07% | 0.4798 | 0.4990 | 0.0383 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 45 | betPARX | 197 | 4.94% | 0.4799 | 0.4990 | 0.0382 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 46 | Unibet (UK) | 196 | 4.35% | 0.4802 | 0.4987 | 0.0370 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 47 | 888sport | 182 | 5.64% | 0.4801 | 0.4985 | 0.0369 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| 48 | LeoVegas (SE) | 193 | 5.28% | 0.4807 | 0.4989 | 0.0366 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 49 | Dabble (AU) | 159 | 5.29% | 0.4816 | 0.4998 | 0.0365 | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| 50 | Unibet (SE) | 193 | 4.61% | 0.4808 | 0.4989 | 0.0363 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 51 | MyBookie.ag | 198 | 4.56% | 0.4810 | 0.4987 | 0.0356 | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| 52 | Matchbook | 188 | 1.83% | 0.4800 | 0.4972 | 0.0347 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| 53 | FanDuel | 277 | 4.49% | 0.4832 | 0.4997 | 0.0329 | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| 54 | LowVig.ag | 204 | 2.82% | 0.4811 | 0.4969 | 0.0318 | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| 55 | ATG (SE) | 190 | 4.95% | 0.4818 | 0.4973 | 0.0312 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| 56 | Hard Rock Bet | 276 | 4.89% | 0.4844 | 0.4999 | 0.0310 | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| 57 | Bovada | 275 | 4.33% | 0.4845 | 0.4997 | 0.0304 | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| 58 | BetAnything | 197 | 3.19% | 0.4831 | 0.4978 | 0.0295 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 59 | BoyleSports | 104 | 6.24% | 0.4861 | 0.5000 | 0.0279 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 60 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 85 | 4.53% | 0.4814 | 0.4944 | 0.0264 | 44.7% / 55.3% |
| 61 | Betway | 182 | 5.74% | 0.4850 | 0.4978 | 0.0258 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 62 | ReBet | 250 | 4.68% | 0.4872 | 0.5000 | 0.0255 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 63 | LiveScore Bet | 155 | 5.41% | 0.4876 | 0.4990 | 0.0228 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 64 | Virgin Bet | 155 | 5.43% | 0.4876 | 0.4990 | 0.0228 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 65 | theScore Bet | 263 | 5.06% | 0.4887 | 0.4991 | 0.0209 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 66 | Mr Green (SE) | 172 | 5.59% | 0.4864 | 0.4967 | 0.0207 | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| 67 | 888sport (SE) | 172 | 5.64% | 0.4864 | 0.4967 | 0.0207 | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| 68 | Polymarket | 183 | 1.05% | 0.4865 | 0.4966 | 0.0204 | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| 69 | Kalshi | 166 | 1.32% | 0.4881 | 0.4974 | 0.0187 | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| 70 | BetRivers | 288 | 5.73% | 0.4908 | 0.4999 | 0.0183 | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| 71 | BetOpenly | 119 | 1.72% | 0.4920 | 0.5000 | 0.0159 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 72 | Svenska Spel | 176 | 3.70% | 0.4887 | 0.4948 | 0.0123 | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| 73 | GTbets | 177 | 2.78% | 0.4885 | 0.4942 | 0.0117 | 44.6% / 55.4% |
| 74 | Winamax (DE) | 140 | 5.73% | 0.4924 | 0.4974 | 0.0101 | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| 75 | Betclic (FR) | 143 | 8.02% | 0.4956 | 0.4994 | 0.0075 | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| 76 | Fanatics | 256 | 4.44% | 0.4947 | 0.4975 | 0.0058 | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| 77 | Winamax (FR) | 145 | 7.19% | 0.4960 | 0.4988 | 0.0057 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| 78 | Fliff | 238 | 6.28% | 0.4966 | 0.4991 | 0.0050 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 79 | Smarkets | 138 | 2.45% | 0.4964 | 0.4983 | 0.0038 | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| 80 | William Hill | 138 | 5.39% | 0.4974 | 0.4991 | 0.0032 | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| 81 | 1xBet | 145 | 2.20% | 0.4976 | 0.4988 | 0.0025 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betr (AU) | 71 | 8.29% | 0.4872 | 0.6134 | 0.2056 | 50.7% / 31.0% / 18.3% |
| 2 | Unibet (FR) | 98 | 11.91% | 0.4917 | 0.5979 | 0.1777 | 54.1% / 27.6% / 18.4% |
| 3 | Betclic (FR) | 49 | 10.77% | 0.5107 | 0.6197 | 0.1760 | 49.0% / 32.7% / 18.4% |
| 4 | Winamax (FR) | 76 | 12.28% | 0.5263 | 0.6354 | 0.1717 | 46.1% / 32.9% / 21.1% |
| 5 | NetBet (FR) | 37 | 12.21% | 0.5037 | 0.6063 | 0.1691 | 40.5% / 45.9% / 13.5% |
| 6 | Winamax (DE) | 78 | 9.29% | 0.5291 | 0.6368 | 0.1691 | 46.2% / 32.1% / 21.8% |
| 7 | theScore Bet | 35 | 6.81% | 0.5356 | 0.6433 | 0.1674 | 45.7% / 28.6% / 25.7% |
| 8 | LeoVegas | 129 | 8.26% | 0.5066 | 0.6079 | 0.1667 | 52.7% / 27.1% / 20.2% |
| 9 | Fanatics | 43 | 6.86% | 0.5429 | 0.6512 | 0.1662 | 37.2% / 39.5% / 23.3% |
| 10 | NordicBet | 129 | 7.36% | 0.5169 | 0.6146 | 0.1590 | 51.9% / 24.8% / 23.3% |
| 11 | BetAnything | 55 | 5.35% | 0.5050 | 0.6003 | 0.1588 | 50.9% / 34.5% / 14.5% |
| 12 | Smarkets | 77 | 1.54% | 0.5490 | 0.6524 | 0.1585 | 41.6% / 33.8% / 24.7% |
| 13 | Bovada | 113 | 6.93% | 0.5243 | 0.6226 | 0.1579 | 50.4% / 23.9% / 25.7% |
| 14 | BoyleSports | 100 | 12.69% | 0.5129 | 0.6086 | 0.1573 | 53.0% / 24.0% / 23.0% |
| 15 | PMU (FR) | 84 | 12.96% | 0.5248 | 0.6222 | 0.1565 | 48.8% / 32.1% / 19.0% |
| 16 | Svenska Spel | 110 | 5.82% | 0.5230 | 0.6197 | 0.1559 | 50.9% / 26.4% / 22.7% |
| 17 | ATG (SE) | 109 | 6.10% | 0.5261 | 0.6220 | 0.1542 | 50.5% / 26.6% / 22.9% |
| 18 | Coolbet | 100 | 5.18% | 0.5413 | 0.6386 | 0.1523 | 47.0% / 27.0% / 26.0% |
| 19 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 76 | 10.56% | 0.5322 | 0.6271 | 0.1513 | 48.7% / 30.3% / 21.1% |
| 20 | Coral | 76 | 10.48% | 0.5323 | 0.6271 | 0.1511 | 48.7% / 30.3% / 21.1% |
| 21 | Bet Right | 87 | 8.93% | 0.5131 | 0.6040 | 0.1506 | 52.9% / 28.7% / 18.4% |
| 22 | Odds.School (Margin-weighted) | 144 | — | 0.5302 | 0.6241 | 0.1505 | 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9% |
| 23 | Odds.School (Recency-weighted) | 144 | — | 0.5302 | 0.6241 | 0.1505 | 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9% |
| 24 | Odds.School (Mean) | 144 | — | 0.5304 | 0.6241 | 0.1501 | 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9% |
| 25 | Odds.School (IQM) | 144 | — | 0.5310 | 0.6241 | 0.1493 | 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9% |
| 26 | Odds.School (Median) | 144 | — | 0.5312 | 0.6241 | 0.1490 | 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9% |
| 27 | Tipico (DE) | 120 | 9.14% | 0.5243 | 0.6157 | 0.1485 | 51.7% / 25.8% / 22.5% |
| 28 | Casumo | 108 | 7.64% | 0.5280 | 0.6199 | 0.1482 | 50.9% / 25.9% / 23.1% |
| 29 | BetMGM | 76 | 7.63% | 0.5279 | 0.6195 | 0.1477 | 50.0% / 30.3% / 19.7% |
| 30 | Marathon Bet | 113 | 7.31% | 0.5193 | 0.6077 | 0.1455 | 53.1% / 22.1% / 24.8% |
| 31 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 118 | 0.91% | 0.5353 | 0.6250 | 0.1435 | 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4% |
| 32 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 118 | 0.88% | 0.5354 | 0.6250 | 0.1433 | 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4% |
| 33 | Betsson | 129 | 7.36% | 0.5189 | 0.6056 | 0.1433 | 53.5% / 24.0% / 22.5% |
| 34 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 118 | 0.88% | 0.5357 | 0.6250 | 0.1429 | 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4% |
| 35 | FanDuel | 112 | 7.24% | 0.5137 | 0.5993 | 0.1429 | 54.5% / 24.1% / 21.4% |
| 36 | Mr Green (SE) | 101 | 9.62% | 0.5334 | 0.6223 | 0.1428 | 50.5% / 25.7% / 23.8% |
| 37 | BetOnline.ag | 118 | 5.75% | 0.5403 | 0.6290 | 0.1410 | 49.2% / 24.6% / 26.3% |
| 38 | Paddy Power | 119 | 10.67% | 0.5352 | 0.6228 | 0.1407 | 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2% |
| 39 | SportsBet | 119 | 7.81% | 0.5355 | 0.6228 | 0.1402 | 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2% |
| 40 | Sky Bet | 69 | 11.27% | 0.5361 | 0.6234 | 0.1400 | 46.4% / 36.2% / 17.4% |
| 41 | Unibet (SE) | 119 | 6.48% | 0.5324 | 0.6185 | 0.1391 | 51.3% / 24.4% / 24.4% |
| 42 | Unibet | 118 | 7.74% | 0.5383 | 0.6250 | 0.1387 | 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4% |
| 43 | Everygame | 68 | 8.05% | 0.5369 | 0.6233 | 0.1386 | 48.5% / 32.4% / 19.1% |
| 44 | LeoVegas (SE) | 119 | 8.83% | 0.5332 | 0.6185 | 0.1378 | 51.3% / 24.4% / 24.4% |
| 45 | Unibet (UK) | 94 | 6.77% | 0.5515 | 0.6394 | 0.1375 | 46.8% / 26.6% / 26.6% |
| 46 | DraftKings | 119 | 5.86% | 0.5376 | 0.6228 | 0.1368 | 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2% |
| 47 | betPARX | 120 | 7.60% | 0.5396 | 0.6249 | 0.1364 | 50.0% / 24.2% / 25.8% |
| 48 | Grosvenor | 120 | 8.40% | 0.5398 | 0.6249 | 0.1362 | 50.0% / 24.2% / 25.8% |
| 49 | Unibet (NL) | 119 | 7.48% | 0.5382 | 0.6228 | 0.1358 | 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2% |
| 50 | 1xBet | 120 | 5.79% | 0.5316 | 0.6150 | 0.1355 | 51.7% / 26.7% / 21.7% |
| 51 | LiveScore Bet | 121 | 11.09% | 0.5390 | 0.6228 | 0.1345 | 50.4% / 24.0% / 25.6% |
| 52 | Virgin Bet | 119 | 11.18% | 0.5427 | 0.6269 | 0.1343 | 49.6% / 24.4% / 26.1% |
| 53 | PlayUp | 117 | 9.63% | 0.5430 | 0.6271 | 0.1341 | 49.6% / 24.8% / 25.6% |
| 54 | GTbets | 64 | 5.64% | 0.5262 | 0.6069 | 0.1330 | 51.6% / 31.3% / 17.2% |
| 55 | BetUS | 108 | 6.52% | 0.5289 | 0.6099 | 0.1328 | 52.8% / 24.1% / 23.1% |
| 56 | TABtouch | 119 | 9.65% | 0.5406 | 0.6228 | 0.1321 | 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2% |
| 57 | 888sport (SE) | 91 | 9.62% | 0.5176 | 0.5951 | 0.1302 | 54.9% / 25.3% / 19.8% |
| 58 | Matchbook | 100 | 0.89% | 0.5559 | 0.6386 | 0.1295 | 47.0% / 27.0% / 26.0% |
| 59 | 888sport | 94 | 9.64% | 0.5171 | 0.5933 | 0.1283 | 55.3% / 24.5% / 20.2% |
| 60 | BetRivers | 97 | 8.96% | 0.5435 | 0.6222 | 0.1265 | 50.5% / 25.8% / 23.7% |
| 61 | Pinnacle | 105 | 3.86% | 0.5525 | 0.6318 | 0.1256 | 48.6% / 25.7% / 25.7% |
| 62 | William Hill | 102 | 9.43% | 0.5517 | 0.6296 | 0.1236 | 49.0% / 26.5% / 24.5% |
| 63 | PointsBet (AU) | 99 | 7.77% | 0.5505 | 0.6273 | 0.1225 | 49.5% / 24.2% / 26.3% |
| 64 | Betway | 97 | 7.43% | 0.5580 | 0.6315 | 0.1165 | 48.5% / 27.8% / 23.7% |
| 65 | Codere (IT) | 57 | 8.21% | 0.5346 | 0.6033 | 0.1138 | 52.6% / 17.5% / 29.8% |
| 66 | LowVig.ag | 112 | 5.98% | 0.5443 | 0.6142 | 0.1137 | 51.8% / 21.4% / 26.8% |
| 67 | betfred_uk | 104 | 9.42% | 0.5596 | 0.6296 | 0.1112 | 49.0% / 25.0% / 26.0% |
| 68 | Neds | 94 | 10.66% | 0.5375 | 0.6005 | 0.1049 | 54.3% / 21.3% / 24.5% |
| 69 | Bet Victor | 82 | 8.93% | 0.5344 | 0.5964 | 0.1039 | 54.9% / 24.4% / 20.7% |
| 70 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 75 | 11.42% | 0.5624 | 0.6130 | 0.0826 | 52.0% / 21.3% / 26.7% |
| 71 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 71 | 10.68% | 0.5300 | 0.5709 | 0.0716 | 57.7% / 15.5% / 26.8% |
| 72 | betano_uk | 38 | 9.02% | 0.5668 | 0.5637 | -0.0054 | 57.9% / 13.2% / 28.9% |
| 73 | Kalshi | 31 | 1.99% | 0.6563 | 0.6493 | -0.0107 | 38.7% / 22.6% / 38.7% |
316 settled games scored, 85 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 49 | 4.68% | 0.4046 | 0.4981 | 0.1877 | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| 2 | Grosvenor | 60 | 6.29% | 0.4169 | 0.4994 | 0.1652 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 3 | Casumo | 50 | 5.12% | 0.4189 | 0.5000 | 0.1622 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 4 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 50 | 4.85% | 0.4209 | 0.4968 | 0.1528 | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| 5 | Pinnacle | 77 | 3.79% | 0.4288 | 0.4999 | 0.1422 | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| 6 | TABtouch | 79 | 5.33% | 0.4281 | 0.4980 | 0.1404 | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| 7 | Coolbet | 54 | 5.09% | 0.4088 | 0.4753 | 0.1400 | 38.9% / 61.1% |
| 8 | TAB | 74 | 4.86% | 0.4326 | 0.4967 | 0.1291 | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| 9 | Unibet | 81 | 5.33% | 0.4359 | 0.4981 | 0.1249 | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| 10 | Unibet (NL) | 71 | 4.88% | 0.4387 | 0.4951 | 0.1139 | 45.1% / 54.9% |
| 11 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 122 | 5.07% | 0.4525 | 0.4995 | 0.0940 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 12 | Coral | 75 | 4.99% | 0.4523 | 0.4992 | 0.0939 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 13 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 75 | 4.99% | 0.4523 | 0.4992 | 0.0939 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 14 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 114 | 34.45% | 0.4545 | 0.4998 | 0.0908 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 15 | Bet Right | 144 | 4.93% | 0.4544 | 0.4991 | 0.0895 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 16 | PlayUp | 125 | 5.17% | 0.4556 | 0.5000 | 0.0887 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 17 | Neds | 112 | 5.07% | 0.4564 | 0.4986 | 0.0845 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| 18 | PointsBet (AU) | 125 | 4.69% | 0.4582 | 0.4997 | 0.0830 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 19 | Betr (AU) | 145 | 5.34% | 0.4590 | 0.4988 | 0.0799 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| 20 | Betsson | 91 | 5.92% | 0.4579 | 0.4898 | 0.0651 | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| 21 | NordicBet | 91 | 5.92% | 0.4579 | 0.4898 | 0.0651 | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| 22 | Marathon Bet | 69 | 5.84% | 0.4628 | 0.4949 | 0.0648 | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| 23 | Dabble (AU) | 33 | 5.26% | 0.4480 | 0.4775 | 0.0617 | 39.4% / 60.6% |
| 24 | Paddy Power | 136 | 6.02% | 0.4680 | 0.4973 | 0.0588 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| 25 | Novig | 116 | 2.74% | 0.4698 | 0.4946 | 0.0502 | 44.8% / 55.2% |
| 26 | Unibet (FR) | 112 | 9.98% | 0.4745 | 0.4994 | 0.0498 | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| 27 | SportsBet | 201 | 5.44% | 0.4771 | 0.5000 | 0.0457 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 28 | Odds.School (IQM) | 201 | — | 0.4775 | 0.4997 | 0.0444 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 29 | Odds.School (Mean) | 201 | — | 0.4776 | 0.4997 | 0.0443 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 30 | Odds.School (Median) | 201 | — | 0.4776 | 0.4997 | 0.0443 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 31 | Odds.School (Margin-weighted) | 201 | — | 0.4776 | 0.4997 | 0.0441 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 32 | Odds.School (Recency-weighted) | 201 | — | 0.4779 | 0.4997 | 0.0436 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 33 | DraftKings | 181 | 4.53% | 0.4786 | 0.4996 | 0.0420 | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| 34 | Caesars | 97 | 4.34% | 0.4799 | 0.4957 | 0.0318 | 45.4% / 54.6% |
| 35 | BetRivers | 80 | 5.42% | 0.4825 | 0.4972 | 0.0294 | 46.3% / 53.8% |
| 36 | BetOnline.ag | 107 | 3.10% | 0.4852 | 0.4989 | 0.0276 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 37 | 888sport | 117 | 5.52% | 0.4838 | 0.4938 | 0.0203 | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| 38 | Unibet (UK) | 126 | 5.00% | 0.4884 | 0.4955 | 0.0142 | 45.2% / 54.8% |
| 39 | Hard Rock Bet | 145 | 4.60% | 0.4896 | 0.4960 | 0.0128 | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| 40 | Polymarket | 123 | 1.27% | 0.4879 | 0.4926 | 0.0094 | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| 41 | Bet Victor | 89 | 6.65% | 0.4878 | 0.4924 | 0.0093 | 43.8% / 56.2% |
| 42 | GTbets | 97 | 2.61% | 0.4892 | 0.4910 | 0.0037 | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| 43 | Winamax (DE) | 89 | 5.83% | 0.4964 | 0.4969 | 0.0011 | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| 44 | Fliff | 140 | 5.91% | 0.4946 | 0.4950 | 0.0008 | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| 45 | LiveScore Bet | 38 | 5.20% | 0.4874 | 0.4875 | 0.0003 | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| 46 | Virgin Bet | 38 | 5.20% | 0.4874 | 0.4875 | 0.0003 | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| 47 | Mr Green (SE) | 111 | 5.51% | 0.4915 | 0.4909 | -0.0012 | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| 48 | 888sport (SE) | 111 | 5.51% | 0.4915 | 0.4909 | -0.0012 | 43.2% / 56.8% |
| 49 | Winamax (FR) | 92 | 10.60% | 0.4988 | 0.4979 | -0.0018 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 50 | Kalshi | 94 | 1.19% | 0.4985 | 0.4964 | -0.0043 | 45.7% / 54.3% |
| 51 | FanDuel | 181 | 4.47% | 0.5016 | 0.4988 | -0.0057 | 47.5% / 52.5% |
| 52 | Smarkets | 95 | 9.45% | 0.5006 | 0.4973 | -0.0066 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| 53 | LeoVegas (SE) | 57 | 4.99% | 0.4848 | 0.4814 | -0.0072 | 40.4% / 59.6% |
| 54 | Betclic (FR) | 95 | 6.01% | 0.5026 | 0.4986 | -0.0080 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 55 | Unibet (SE) | 57 | 4.71% | 0.4854 | 0.4814 | -0.0083 | 40.4% / 59.6% |
| 56 | theScore Bet | 145 | 5.19% | 0.5016 | 0.4960 | -0.0113 | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| 57 | ATG (SE) | 57 | 4.92% | 0.4800 | 0.4740 | -0.0126 | 38.6% / 61.4% |
| 58 | BetMGM | 85 | 4.64% | 0.4950 | 0.4883 | -0.0138 | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| 59 | ReBet | 172 | 7.29% | 0.5050 | 0.4976 | -0.0149 | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| 60 | 1xBet | 100 | 2.29% | 0.5027 | 0.4950 | -0.0156 | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| 61 | Fanatics | 164 | 4.36% | 0.5050 | 0.4964 | -0.0173 | 45.7% / 54.3% |
| 62 | Bally Bet | 59 | 4.91% | 0.4871 | 0.4757 | -0.0239 | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| 63 | betPARX | 59 | 4.91% | 0.4871 | 0.4757 | -0.0239 | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| 64 | BetUS | 50 | 3.14% | 0.4954 | 0.4800 | -0.0321 | 40.0% / 60.0% |
| 65 | Bovada | 82 | 4.26% | 0.4944 | 0.4759 | -0.0389 | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| 66 | LowVig.ag | 86 | 2.55% | 0.5155 | 0.4903 | -0.0514 | 43.0% / 57.0% |
| 67 | William Hill | 58 | 5.27% | 0.5154 | 0.4851 | -0.0623 | 41.4% / 58.6% |
| 68 | ProphetX | 67 | 6.98% | 0.5045 | 0.4678 | -0.0784 | 37.3% / 62.7% |
| 69 | LeoVegas | 30 | 7.92% | 0.4793 | 0.4444 | -0.0784 | 33.3% / 66.7% |
| 70 | Svenska Spel | 47 | 4.60% | 0.4953 | 0.4491 | -0.1030 | 34.0% / 66.0% |
| 71 | BoyleSports | 42 | 6.48% | 0.5021 | 0.4082 | -0.2302 | 28.6% / 71.4% |
| 72 | MyBookie.ag | 30 | 4.33% | 0.5540 | 0.3578 | -0.5486 | 23.3% / 76.7% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetAnything | 39 | 6.17% | 0.4771 | 0.5865 | 0.1864 | 46.2% / 43.6% / 10.3% |
| 2 | Betr (AU) | 35 | 6.35% | 0.4984 | 0.6106 | 0.1837 | 40.0% / 45.7% / 14.3% |
| 3 | Unibet (FR) | 88 | 13.11% | 0.5200 | 0.6294 | 0.1739 | 46.6% / 34.1% / 19.3% |
| 4 | Winamax (DE) | 72 | 11.13% | 0.5333 | 0.6420 | 0.1693 | 44.4% / 33.3% / 22.2% |
| 5 | Winamax (FR) | 71 | 15.06% | 0.5301 | 0.6380 | 0.1690 | 45.1% / 33.8% / 21.1% |
| 6 | LeoVegas | 111 | 8.27% | 0.5157 | 0.6178 | 0.1652 | 50.5% / 29.7% / 19.8% |
| 7 | Tipico (DE) | 104 | 9.08% | 0.5298 | 0.6274 | 0.1556 | 48.1% / 31.7% / 20.2% |
| 8 | Svenska Spel | 95 | 5.78% | 0.5432 | 0.6373 | 0.1478 | 45.3% / 33.7% / 21.1% |
| 9 | ATG (SE) | 95 | 6.08% | 0.5432 | 0.6373 | 0.1477 | 45.3% / 33.7% / 21.1% |
| 10 | Betclic (FR) | 52 | 10.76% | 0.5427 | 0.6361 | 0.1468 | 42.3% / 38.5% / 19.2% |
| 11 | Casumo | 94 | 7.83% | 0.5445 | 0.6367 | 0.1448 | 45.7% / 33.0% / 21.3% |
| 12 | Odds.School (Recency-weighted) | 115 | — | 0.5428 | 0.6327 | 0.1421 | 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6% |
| 13 | BetMGM | 64 | 7.38% | 0.5379 | 0.6270 | 0.1420 | 46.9% / 34.4% / 18.8% |
| 14 | Bovada | 98 | 6.93% | 0.5509 | 0.6416 | 0.1414 | 45.9% / 29.6% / 24.5% |
| 15 | Odds.School (IQM) | 115 | — | 0.5442 | 0.6327 | 0.1399 | 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6% |
| 16 | Odds.School (Mean) | 115 | — | 0.5443 | 0.6327 | 0.1398 | 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6% |
| 17 | Odds.School (Margin-weighted) | 115 | — | 0.5443 | 0.6327 | 0.1398 | 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6% |
| 18 | Coral | 63 | 10.82% | 0.5421 | 0.6299 | 0.1394 | 46.0% / 34.9% / 19.0% |
| 19 | Odds.School (Median) | 115 | — | 0.5446 | 0.6327 | 0.1393 | 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6% |
| 20 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 63 | 10.90% | 0.5424 | 0.6299 | 0.1389 | 46.0% / 34.9% / 19.0% |
| 21 | PMU (FR) | 78 | 13.05% | 0.5488 | 0.6368 | 0.1381 | 41.0% / 39.7% / 19.2% |
| 22 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 106 | 2.19% | 0.5552 | 0.6436 | 0.1375 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 23 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 106 | 2.18% | 0.5553 | 0.6436 | 0.1373 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 24 | BoyleSports | 94 | 12.79% | 0.5548 | 0.6431 | 0.1372 | 45.7% / 28.7% / 25.5% |
| 25 | Unibet (SE) | 105 | 6.59% | 0.5536 | 0.6415 | 0.1370 | 45.7% / 30.5% / 23.8% |
| 26 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 106 | 2.29% | 0.5555 | 0.6436 | 0.1370 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 27 | LeoVegas (SE) | 105 | 8.53% | 0.5541 | 0.6415 | 0.1361 | 45.7% / 30.5% / 23.8% |
| 28 | Fanatics | 39 | 7.10% | 0.5535 | 0.6391 | 0.1338 | 35.9% / 43.6% / 20.5% |
| 29 | Bet Right | 70 | 8.66% | 0.5381 | 0.6208 | 0.1333 | 47.1% / 35.7% / 17.1% |
| 30 | Marathon Bet | 95 | 7.31% | 0.5520 | 0.6369 | 0.1333 | 47.4% / 27.4% / 25.3% |
| 31 | betPARX | 106 | 7.81% | 0.5580 | 0.6436 | 0.1330 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 32 | Unibet (NL) | 106 | 7.59% | 0.5581 | 0.6436 | 0.1329 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 33 | Grosvenor | 106 | 8.34% | 0.5582 | 0.6436 | 0.1328 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 34 | Smarkets | 71 | 3.20% | 0.5665 | 0.6530 | 0.1326 | 39.4% / 36.6% / 23.9% |
| 35 | Unibet | 106 | 7.82% | 0.5583 | 0.6436 | 0.1325 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 36 | TABtouch | 106 | 9.62% | 0.5585 | 0.6436 | 0.1324 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 37 | Paddy Power | 107 | 9.72% | 0.5569 | 0.6418 | 0.1323 | 45.8% / 29.9% / 24.3% |
| 38 | Virgin Bet | 106 | 11.14% | 0.5587 | 0.6436 | 0.1320 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 39 | LiveScore Bet | 106 | 11.08% | 0.5587 | 0.6436 | 0.1320 | 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5% |
| 40 | SportsBet | 107 | 7.67% | 0.5572 | 0.6418 | 0.1318 | 45.8% / 29.9% / 24.3% |
| 41 | FanDuel | 97 | 7.93% | 0.5426 | 0.6249 | 0.1317 | 49.5% / 28.9% / 21.6% |
| 42 | Betsson | 109 | 7.13% | 0.5439 | 0.6252 | 0.1301 | 49.5% / 28.4% / 22.0% |
| 43 | BetOnline.ag | 101 | 6.91% | 0.5621 | 0.6460 | 0.1299 | 44.6% / 30.7% / 24.8% |
| 44 | NordicBet | 109 | 7.13% | 0.5441 | 0.6252 | 0.1297 | 49.5% / 28.4% / 22.0% |
| 45 | 1xBet | 104 | 5.91% | 0.5533 | 0.6344 | 0.1279 | 47.1% / 30.8% / 22.1% |
| 46 | DraftKings | 102 | 7.10% | 0.5652 | 0.6469 | 0.1262 | 44.1% / 31.4% / 24.5% |
| 47 | 888sport | 79 | 9.59% | 0.5563 | 0.6364 | 0.1259 | 46.8% / 30.4% / 22.8% |
| 48 | PlayUp | 103 | 10.01% | 0.5599 | 0.6391 | 0.1239 | 46.6% / 29.1% / 24.3% |
| 49 | Sky Bet | 63 | 11.39% | 0.5528 | 0.6284 | 0.1203 | 42.9% / 39.7% / 17.5% |
| 50 | Coolbet | 74 | 5.22% | 0.5426 | 0.6165 | 0.1198 | 51.4% / 27.0% / 21.6% |
| 51 | Neds | 83 | 10.71% | 0.5480 | 0.6219 | 0.1188 | 50.6% / 25.3% / 24.1% |
| 52 | Mr Green (SE) | 87 | 9.58% | 0.5720 | 0.6490 | 0.1186 | 43.7% / 31.0% / 25.3% |
| 53 | PointsBet (AU) | 84 | 7.60% | 0.5659 | 0.6409 | 0.1170 | 46.4% / 27.4% / 26.2% |
| 54 | 888sport (SE) | 78 | 9.57% | 0.5594 | 0.6328 | 0.1160 | 47.4% / 30.8% / 21.8% |
| 55 | Unibet (UK) | 83 | 6.74% | 0.5685 | 0.6428 | 0.1156 | 45.8% / 28.9% / 25.3% |
| 56 | BetUS | 86 | 7.26% | 0.5502 | 0.6217 | 0.1149 | 50.0% / 29.1% / 20.9% |
| 57 | Everygame | 54 | 10.30% | 0.5523 | 0.6228 | 0.1131 | 48.1% / 33.3% / 18.5% |
| 58 | Pinnacle | 89 | 5.32% | 0.5701 | 0.6413 | 0.1111 | 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7% |
| 59 | William Hill | 87 | 9.50% | 0.5715 | 0.6421 | 0.1099 | 46.0% / 28.7% / 25.3% |
| 60 | Codere (IT) | 49 | 9.19% | 0.5592 | 0.6281 | 0.1097 | 49.0% / 22.4% / 28.6% |
| 61 | BetRivers | 89 | 8.99% | 0.5719 | 0.6413 | 0.1083 | 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7% |
| 62 | Matchbook | 65 | 1.78% | 0.5740 | 0.6433 | 0.1077 | 44.6% / 32.3% / 23.1% |
| 63 | Betway | 83 | 7.34% | 0.5717 | 0.6399 | 0.1065 | 45.8% / 31.3% / 22.9% |
| 64 | betfred_uk | 89 | 9.28% | 0.5731 | 0.6413 | 0.1063 | 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7% |
| 65 | LowVig.ag | 96 | 7.14% | 0.5696 | 0.6348 | 0.1026 | 47.9% / 26.0% / 26.0% |
| 66 | GTbets | 59 | 5.90% | 0.5578 | 0.6194 | 0.0993 | 47.5% / 35.6% / 16.9% |
| 67 | Bet Victor | 70 | 9.08% | 0.5578 | 0.6139 | 0.0914 | 51.4% / 28.6% / 20.0% |
| 68 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 64 | 11.61% | 0.5629 | 0.6157 | 0.0858 | 51.6% / 21.9% / 26.6% |
| 69 | NetBet (FR) | 31 | 12.47% | 0.5559 | 0.6035 | 0.0789 | 32.3% / 51.6% / 16.1% |
| 70 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 64 | 7.30% | 0.5828 | 0.6157 | 0.0534 | 51.6% / 21.9% / 26.6% |
| 71 | betano_uk | 30 | 8.87% | 0.5768 | 0.5978 | 0.0351 | 53.3% / 16.7% / 30.0% |