The School of Odds

Bookmaker Calibration

This page measures how accurately each predictor forecasts real results. Every tracked bookmaker and each Odds.School estimator is scored by the same rule — none hidden for scoring poorly — so you can compare whether aggregating the market predicts better or worse than any single book. Any predictor here, including a single sharp bookmaker, can be adopted as your model elsewhere on the site.

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.

Over the last 14 days the site’s own estimator scores above 76 of 79 tracked bookmakers on two-way markets at the closing line, measured on 656 settled games against the leading bookmaker’s 215.

Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.

Last tick before commence (closing line)

1549 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 NetBet (FR) 215 7.01% 0.3338 0.5000 0.3323 49.8% / 50.2%
2 PMU (FR) 233 7.44% 0.3468 0.5000 0.3063 49.8% / 50.2%
3 Sky Bet 225 5.65% 0.3471 0.5000 0.3058 50.2% / 49.8%
4 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 656 — 0.3628 0.4893 0.2585 57.3% / 42.7%
5 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 656 — 0.3629 0.4893 0.2584 57.3% / 42.7%
6 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 656 — 0.3629 0.4893 0.2584 57.3% / 42.7%
7 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 656 — 0.3630 0.4893 0.2580 57.3% / 42.7%
8 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 656 — 0.3634 0.4893 0.2573 57.3% / 42.7%
9 BoyleSports 333 5.33% 0.3799 0.4992 0.2390 52.0% / 48.0%
10 LeoVegas 412 6.33% 0.3805 0.4970 0.2344 53.9% / 46.1%
11 betfred_uk 342 5.62% 0.3862 0.4998 0.2273 50.9% / 49.1%
12 theScore Bet 494 4.70% 0.3857 0.4986 0.2264 52.6% / 47.4%
13 Svenska Spel 428 4.78% 0.3884 0.4989 0.2215 52.3% / 47.7%
14 betano_uk 423 6.09% 0.3886 0.4980 0.2196 53.2% / 46.8%
15 Neds 476 5.27% 0.3897 0.4974 0.2166 53.6% / 46.4%
16 Unibet (SE) 463 5.00% 0.3908 0.4985 0.2160 52.7% / 47.3%
17 Unibet (NL) 445 5.03% 0.3927 0.4991 0.2131 52.1% / 47.9%
18 LowVig.ag 434 3.22% 0.3932 0.4991 0.2122 52.1% / 47.9%
19 Smarkets 369 2.50% 0.3936 0.4997 0.2122 51.2% / 48.8%
20 MyBookie.ag 423 4.66% 0.3941 0.4988 0.2098 52.5% / 47.5%
21 LeoVegas (SE) 457 5.47% 0.3959 0.4991 0.2069 52.1% / 47.9%
22 Unibet (UK) 451 4.60% 0.3957 0.4985 0.2062 52.8% / 47.2%
23 TAB 401 5.27% 0.3969 0.4995 0.2054 51.6% / 48.4%
24 Hard Rock Bet 503 4.51% 0.3963 0.4986 0.2052 52.7% / 47.3%
25 BetMGM 505 5.11% 0.3963 0.4986 0.2051 52.7% / 47.3%
26 betPARX 498 5.06% 0.3971 0.4990 0.2043 52.2% / 47.8%
27 Winamax (DE) 387 4.61% 0.3981 0.4999 0.2037 50.6% / 49.4%
28 Pinnacle 496 2.92% 0.3976 0.4990 0.2032 52.2% / 47.8%
29 William Hill 393 5.58% 0.3982 0.4996 0.2030 51.4% / 48.6%
30 Casumo 404 5.14% 0.3989 0.4998 0.2019 51.0% / 49.0%
31 Caesars 501 4.74% 0.3983 0.4989 0.2017 52.3% / 47.7%
32 Bally Bet 496 5.16% 0.3988 0.4992 0.2011 52.0% / 48.0%
33 FanDuel 505 4.00% 0.3983 0.4984 0.2008 52.9% / 47.1%
34 DraftKings 510 4.57% 0.3984 0.4983 0.2004 52.9% / 47.1%
35 888sport (SE) 400 5.73% 0.3998 0.4999 0.2003 50.7% / 49.3%
36 Mr Green (SE) 400 5.71% 0.3999 0.4999 0.2000 50.7% / 49.3%
37 Betr (AU) 487 5.81% 0.3990 0.4977 0.1984 53.4% / 46.6%
38 Ladbrokes (UK) 391 5.77% 0.4008 0.4998 0.1981 50.9% / 49.1%
39 Ladbrokes (AU) 488 5.27% 0.3993 0.4979 0.1980 53.3% / 46.7%
40 BetRivers 505 4.98% 0.4007 0.4991 0.1972 52.1% / 47.9%
41 ATG (SE) 439 5.13% 0.4007 0.4991 0.1971 52.2% / 47.8%
42 Coral 388 5.76% 0.4013 0.4998 0.1970 51.0% / 49.0%
43 Fanatics 441 5.24% 0.4010 0.4993 0.1969 51.9% / 48.1%
44 GTbets 422 3.73% 0.4006 0.4986 0.1966 52.6% / 47.4%
45 ProphetX 466 1.22% 0.4004 0.4982 0.1963 53.0% / 47.0%
46 Betway 448 5.30% 0.4009 0.4986 0.1959 52.7% / 47.3%
47 BetOnline.ag 460 3.26% 0.4013 0.4989 0.1956 52.4% / 47.6%
48 1xBet 384 3.35% 0.4030 0.4999 0.1938 50.8% / 49.2%
49 PlayUp 435 5.35% 0.4028 0.4997 0.1938 51.3% / 48.7%
50 Novig 463 1.21% 0.4023 0.4990 0.1938 52.3% / 47.7%
51 Unibet 459 5.13% 0.4023 0.4990 0.1938 52.3% / 47.7%
52 Kalshi 372 1.24% 0.4022 0.4986 0.1932 52.7% / 47.3%
53 Betsson 442 5.90% 0.4031 0.4993 0.1927 51.8% / 48.2%
54 888sport 412 5.72% 0.4041 0.4999 0.1916 50.7% / 49.3%
55 SportsBet 473 5.29% 0.4034 0.4988 0.1912 52.4% / 47.6%
56 Betfair Exchange (AU) 498 2.84% 0.4022 0.4971 0.1909 53.8% / 46.2%
57 Winamax (FR) 392 5.93% 0.4054 0.4999 0.1890 50.8% / 49.2%
58 Betfair Exchange (EU) 483 2.72% 0.4040 0.4977 0.1882 53.4% / 46.6%
59 Betfair Exchange (UK) 481 2.70% 0.4054 0.4979 0.1859 53.2% / 46.8%
60 PointsBet (AU) 439 5.42% 0.4069 0.4993 0.1849 51.9% / 48.1%
61 Tipico (DE) 362 6.47% 0.4083 0.4999 0.1834 50.6% / 49.4%
62 BetAnything 439 4.23% 0.4085 0.4998 0.1827 51.0% / 49.0%
63 Coolbet 409 4.24% 0.4075 0.4984 0.1825 52.8% / 47.2%
64 Betclic (FR) 386 6.63% 0.4089 0.5000 0.1822 50.0% / 50.0%
65 Bovada 456 4.58% 0.4084 0.4992 0.1820 52.0% / 48.0%
66 Matchbook 458 1.13% 0.4095 0.4999 0.1810 50.7% / 49.3%
67 Grosvenor 416 6.85% 0.4102 0.4999 0.1794 50.7% / 49.3%
68 NordicBet 433 5.88% 0.4103 0.4998 0.1791 51.0% / 49.0%
69 TABtouch 423 5.40% 0.4109 0.4999 0.1779 50.8% / 49.2%
70 LiveScore Bet 404 5.82% 0.4113 0.5000 0.1774 50.5% / 49.5%
71 Paddy Power 438 6.55% 0.4113 0.5000 0.1773 50.5% / 49.5%
72 Virgin Bet 404 5.81% 0.4117 0.5000 0.1765 50.5% / 49.5%
73 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 325 5.30% 0.4134 0.5000 0.1732 50.2% / 49.8%
74 Fliff 388 6.08% 0.4127 0.4978 0.1709 53.4% / 46.6%
75 Unibet (FR) 355 5.65% 0.4153 0.4998 0.1692 51.0% / 49.0%
76 ReBet 432 4.77% 0.4160 0.4999 0.1678 50.7% / 49.3%
77 Marathon Bet 374 5.52% 0.4155 0.4988 0.1670 52.4% / 47.6%
78 Bet Right 360 5.01% 0.4188 0.4990 0.1607 52.2% / 47.8%
79 BetUS 355 3.72% 0.4252 0.4995 0.1487 51.5% / 48.5%
80 Bet Victor 226 6.82% 0.4566 0.4961 0.0797 54.4% / 45.6%
81 Everygame 179 2.65% 0.4684 0.4992 0.0617 52.0% / 48.0%
82 BetOpenly 156 1.67% 0.4777 0.5000 0.0446 50.0% / 50.0%
83 Polymarket 189 1.11% 0.4773 0.4989 0.0433 52.4% / 47.6%
84 Dabble (AU) 211 5.54% 0.4776 0.4975 0.0399 53.6% / 46.4%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Fliff 70 10.24% 0.5548 0.6527 0.1499 42.9% / 30.0% / 27.1%
2 Everygame 72 5.57% 0.5504 0.6354 0.1338 45.8% / 33.3% / 20.8%
3 NetBet (FR) 360 12.58% 0.5666 0.6536 0.1330 39.4% / 36.4% / 24.2%
4 Marathon Bet 580 6.74% 0.5758 0.6493 0.1133 42.8% / 33.1% / 24.1%
5 PMU (FR) 499 11.85% 0.5805 0.6525 0.1103 40.9% / 34.9% / 24.2%
6 Winamax (FR) 521 11.36% 0.5789 0.6505 0.1101 41.7% / 34.5% / 23.8%
7 Tipico (DE) 637 8.32% 0.5776 0.6480 0.1087 42.9% / 33.6% / 23.5%
8 Winamax (DE) 539 9.26% 0.5823 0.6508 0.1052 41.4% / 34.9% / 23.7%
9 Unibet (UK) 587 6.78% 0.5852 0.6521 0.1027 41.7% / 33.6% / 24.7%
10 Svenska Spel 605 6.24% 0.5841 0.6504 0.1020 42.3% / 33.4% / 24.3%
11 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 893 — 0.5881 0.6547 0.1018 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.8%
12 Betclic (FR) 467 10.45% 0.5890 0.6557 0.1017 40.5% / 33.8% / 25.7%
13 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 893 — 0.5882 0.6547 0.1017 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.8%
14 Bally Bet 142 6.74% 0.5842 0.6503 0.1016 43.7% / 29.6% / 26.8%
15 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 893 — 0.5882 0.6547 0.1016 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.8%
16 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 893 — 0.5882 0.6547 0.1016 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.8%
17 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 893 — 0.5882 0.6547 0.1016 41.2% / 33.0% / 25.8%
18 Casumo 568 7.67% 0.5830 0.6489 0.1016 42.6% / 33.6% / 23.8%
19 NordicBet 616 8.08% 0.5819 0.6476 0.1015 43.3% / 32.8% / 23.9%
20 Codere (IT) 444 7.52% 0.5824 0.6475 0.1005 43.0% / 33.6% / 23.4%
21 Coolbet 588 5.19% 0.5819 0.6469 0.1004 43.4% / 33.2% / 23.5%
22 ATG (SE) 604 6.26% 0.5852 0.6504 0.1003 42.4% / 33.3% / 24.3%
23 Unibet (NL) 607 7.32% 0.5861 0.6514 0.1003 42.2% / 33.1% / 24.7%
24 Unibet (FR) 501 11.83% 0.5858 0.6505 0.0995 42.1% / 33.7% / 24.2%
25 FanDuel 503 6.97% 0.5850 0.6495 0.0993 42.1% / 34.2% / 23.7%
26 Betsson 610 8.02% 0.5837 0.6476 0.0987 43.4% / 32.6% / 23.9%
27 888sport 561 9.87% 0.5865 0.6507 0.0986 41.9% / 34.0% / 24.1%
28 Grosvenor 630 8.26% 0.5850 0.6488 0.0984 42.9% / 33.2% / 24.0%
29 Mr Green (SE) 603 9.70% 0.5862 0.6500 0.0982 42.5% / 33.3% / 24.2%
30 Unibet 653 8.12% 0.5868 0.6500 0.0972 42.7% / 32.8% / 24.5%
31 theScore Bet 324 8.02% 0.5856 0.6482 0.0966 43.8% / 31.2% / 25.0%
32 Bet Victor 502 7.91% 0.5875 0.6502 0.0963 42.0% / 34.1% / 23.9%
33 betano_uk 502 7.93% 0.5876 0.6502 0.0963 42.0% / 34.1% / 23.9%
34 LiveScore Bet 652 11.71% 0.5875 0.6499 0.0961 42.8% / 32.7% / 24.5%
35 Virgin Bet 652 11.72% 0.5875 0.6499 0.0960 42.8% / 32.7% / 24.5%
36 William Hill 536 9.44% 0.5927 0.6551 0.0953 41.4% / 32.3% / 26.3%
37 Paddy Power 637 10.00% 0.5897 0.6517 0.0951 42.2% / 32.8% / 25.0%
38 888sport (SE) 552 9.83% 0.5887 0.6505 0.0950 42.0% / 33.9% / 24.1%
39 betPARX 524 7.66% 0.5908 0.6522 0.0941 42.0% / 33.0% / 25.0%
40 Smarkets 549 2.35% 0.5889 0.6498 0.0937 43.2% / 31.9% / 25.0%
41 Betr (AU) 505 7.64% 0.5896 0.6504 0.0936 42.4% / 33.3% / 24.4%
42 Matchbook 516 0.88% 0.5916 0.6524 0.0933 42.1% / 32.8% / 25.2%
43 Kalshi 373 1.67% 0.5965 0.6573 0.0925 40.2% / 33.2% / 26.5%
44 BetRivers 545 9.66% 0.5909 0.6510 0.0923 42.6% / 32.5% / 25.0%
45 LowVig.ag 587 5.19% 0.5910 0.6503 0.0911 42.8% / 32.5% / 24.7%
46 Betway 537 7.49% 0.5939 0.6533 0.0910 42.1% / 32.0% / 25.9%
47 BetOnline.ag 611 5.34% 0.5917 0.6504 0.0903 42.7% / 32.6% / 24.7%
48 TABtouch 571 9.54% 0.5901 0.6484 0.0899 42.9% / 33.3% / 23.8%
49 Unibet (SE) 629 7.17% 0.5926 0.6507 0.0893 42.6% / 32.6% / 24.8%
50 PlayUp 556 9.07% 0.5942 0.6520 0.0887 42.1% / 32.9% / 25.0%
51 BoyleSports 602 11.75% 0.5956 0.6536 0.0887 41.7% / 32.7% / 25.6%
52 BetMGM 534 7.22% 0.5940 0.6518 0.0887 41.9% / 33.3% / 24.7%
53 Ladbrokes (AU) 491 9.35% 0.5921 0.6495 0.0884 42.6% / 33.4% / 24.0%
54 Pinnacle 657 3.95% 0.5934 0.6509 0.0883 42.8% / 32.1% / 25.1%
55 LeoVegas (SE) 631 10.14% 0.5935 0.6508 0.0881 42.6% / 32.5% / 24.9%
56 Ladbrokes (UK) 580 9.08% 0.5962 0.6535 0.0877 41.4% / 33.4% / 25.2%
57 Neds 511 9.52% 0.5931 0.6501 0.0877 42.7% / 32.9% / 24.5%
58 Betfair Exchange (UK) 622 0.97% 0.5946 0.6515 0.0873 42.4% / 32.5% / 25.1%
59 Betfair Exchange (AU) 622 0.98% 0.5946 0.6515 0.0873 42.4% / 32.5% / 25.1%
60 Betfair Exchange (EU) 622 0.96% 0.5947 0.6515 0.0872 42.4% / 32.5% / 25.1%
61 Coral 557 8.84% 0.5963 0.6530 0.0869 41.5% / 33.6% / 25.0%
62 SportsBet 623 7.94% 0.5952 0.6518 0.0868 42.4% / 32.4% / 25.2%
63 Bovada 588 7.61% 0.5937 0.6494 0.0857 43.0% / 32.5% / 24.5%
64 PointsBet (AU) 396 7.50% 0.5976 0.6535 0.0854 41.9% / 32.3% / 25.8%
65 BetUS 444 6.28% 0.5998 0.6542 0.0833 41.9% / 31.8% / 26.4%
66 TAB 162 7.67% 0.5871 0.6399 0.0825 46.3% / 29.6% / 24.1%
67 LeoVegas 396 8.24% 0.5950 0.6475 0.0810 43.7% / 32.1% / 24.2%
68 1xBet 626 4.95% 0.5975 0.6500 0.0807 42.8% / 32.6% / 24.6%
69 Fanatics 488 7.05% 0.5996 0.6523 0.0807 42.6% / 31.4% / 26.0%
70 betfred_uk 559 8.40% 0.6019 0.6546 0.0805 41.7% / 32.0% / 26.3%
71 Sky Bet 578 10.67% 0.6028 0.6553 0.0801 41.0% / 33.0% / 26.0%
72 Bet Right 442 8.55% 0.6025 0.6544 0.0794 41.9% / 31.7% / 26.5%
73 DraftKings 552 5.94% 0.6005 0.6513 0.0780 42.9% / 31.3% / 25.7%
74 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 543 10.45% 0.6005 0.6505 0.0769 42.9% / 32.0% / 25.0%
75 Caesars 83 6.47% 0.6029 0.6515 0.0745 43.4% / 28.9% / 27.7%
76 GTbets 242 5.59% 0.6087 0.6520 0.0664 42.6% / 31.8% / 25.6%
77 BetAnything 246 5.16% 0.6136 0.6565 0.0654 40.7% / 32.9% / 26.4%
78 MyBookie.ag 53 6.53% 0.6204 0.6636 0.0650 37.7% / 30.2% / 32.1%
79 Suprabets 108 7.75% 0.5974 0.6377 0.0632 40.7% / 39.8% / 19.4%
80 ReBet 67 5.11% 0.6258 0.6532 0.0419 41.8% / 25.4% / 32.8%
81 Hard Rock Bet 55 6.28% 0.6243 0.6387 0.0225 45.5% / 21.8% / 32.7%

24 hours before commence (early-bird line)

1433 settled games scored, 86 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 PMU (FR) 223 7.37% 0.3297 0.5000 0.3405 50.2% / 49.8%
2 NetBet (FR) 217 7.33% 0.3332 0.4991 0.3324 52.1% / 47.9%
3 LeoVegas 298 7.74% 0.3327 0.4962 0.3294 54.4% / 45.6%
4 Svenska Spel 296 5.17% 0.3379 0.4972 0.3204 53.7% / 46.3%
5 BoyleSports 253 5.13% 0.3437 0.4994 0.3117 51.8% / 48.2%
6 Tipico (DE) 221 6.26% 0.3465 0.4992 0.3058 52.0% / 48.0%
7 Betway 283 4.92% 0.3490 0.4977 0.2988 53.4% / 46.6%
8 Unibet (SE) 333 5.20% 0.3497 0.4972 0.2967 53.8% / 46.2%
9 ProphetX 311 1.68% 0.3486 0.4957 0.2966 54.7% / 45.3%
10 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 552 — 0.3416 0.4855 0.2963 58.5% / 41.5%
11 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 552 — 0.3416 0.4855 0.2963 58.5% / 41.5%
12 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 552 — 0.3417 0.4855 0.2962 58.5% / 41.5%
13 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 552 — 0.3418 0.4855 0.2960 58.5% / 41.5%
14 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 552 — 0.3420 0.4855 0.2957 58.5% / 41.5%
15 Unibet (NL) 316 5.22% 0.3523 0.4980 0.2926 53.2% / 46.8%
16 LeoVegas (SE) 327 5.30% 0.3533 0.4983 0.2910 52.9% / 47.1%
17 Casumo 273 5.29% 0.3543 0.4995 0.2907 51.6% / 48.4%
18 Sky Bet 206 5.62% 0.3555 0.4998 0.2888 51.0% / 49.0%
19 Matchbook 275 1.56% 0.3552 0.4992 0.2884 52.0% / 48.0%
20 MyBookie.ag 283 5.10% 0.3552 0.4989 0.2882 52.3% / 47.7%
21 ATG (SE) 307 5.24% 0.3558 0.4977 0.2850 53.4% / 46.6%
22 Bally Bet 357 5.17% 0.3566 0.4971 0.2827 53.8% / 46.2%
23 betPARX 357 5.17% 0.3566 0.4971 0.2827 53.8% / 46.2%
24 BetRivers 371 5.20% 0.3575 0.4974 0.2812 53.6% / 46.4%
25 Marathon Bet 253 5.69% 0.3576 0.4959 0.2789 54.5% / 45.5%
26 Coolbet 294 3.65% 0.3596 0.4967 0.2759 54.1% / 45.9%
27 betfred_uk 286 5.77% 0.3635 0.5000 0.2729 50.3% / 49.7%
28 theScore Bet 414 5.40% 0.3636 0.4980 0.2699 53.1% / 46.9%
29 Unibet 330 5.33% 0.3638 0.4978 0.2692 53.3% / 46.7%
30 Hard Rock Bet 432 4.48% 0.3651 0.4965 0.2647 54.2% / 45.8%
31 Betfair Exchange (EU) 289 2.63% 0.3664 0.4974 0.2633 53.6% / 46.4%
32 BetAnything 224 4.95% 0.3688 0.4998 0.2621 50.9% / 49.1%
33 TAB 296 6.12% 0.3687 0.4989 0.2609 52.4% / 47.6%
34 Betfair Exchange (AU) 305 4.16% 0.3675 0.4972 0.2609 53.8% / 46.2%
35 Betfair Exchange (UK) 289 2.98% 0.3677 0.4974 0.2606 53.6% / 46.4%
36 Grosvenor 286 6.09% 0.3710 0.4996 0.2574 51.4% / 48.6%
37 LiveScore Bet 270 5.46% 0.3717 0.4998 0.2563 51.1% / 48.9%
38 Virgin Bet 270 5.43% 0.3718 0.4998 0.2561 51.1% / 48.9%
39 Ladbrokes (UK) 305 6.16% 0.3722 0.4991 0.2543 52.1% / 47.9%
40 GTbets 364 3.99% 0.3717 0.4985 0.2543 52.7% / 47.3%
41 Everygame 41 3.82% 0.3622 0.4854 0.2540 58.5% / 41.5%
42 LowVig.ag 355 3.43% 0.3724 0.4986 0.2530 52.7% / 47.3%
43 Coral 302 6.15% 0.3728 0.4989 0.2527 52.3% / 47.7%
44 TABtouch 301 5.37% 0.3735 0.4993 0.2520 51.8% / 48.2%
45 Neds 389 5.31% 0.3729 0.4960 0.2482 54.5% / 45.5%
46 Fanatics 349 4.85% 0.3766 0.4999 0.2466 50.7% / 49.3%
47 FanDuel 431 4.49% 0.3753 0.4971 0.2450 53.8% / 46.2%
48 Kalshi 320 1.18% 0.3772 0.4995 0.2449 51.6% / 48.4%
49 Winamax (DE) 325 4.41% 0.3775 0.4999 0.2448 50.8% / 49.2%
50 Bovada 376 4.49% 0.3772 0.4989 0.2438 52.4% / 47.6%
51 Smarkets 324 5.05% 0.3783 0.4998 0.2432 50.9% / 49.1%
52 Novig 400 2.26% 0.3765 0.4972 0.2428 53.8% / 46.3%
53 BetMGM 398 5.23% 0.3765 0.4968 0.2421 54.0% / 46.0%
54 Unibet (UK) 405 5.91% 0.3787 0.4967 0.2376 54.1% / 45.9%
55 Caesars 399 5.14% 0.3796 0.4977 0.2373 53.4% / 46.6%
56 DraftKings 426 5.10% 0.3794 0.4972 0.2368 53.8% / 46.2%
57 Pinnacle 373 3.46% 0.3793 0.4970 0.2368 53.9% / 46.1%
58 Betr (AU) 447 5.87% 0.3805 0.4962 0.2332 54.4% / 45.6%
59 Mr Green (SE) 337 5.51% 0.3833 0.4993 0.2322 51.9% / 48.1%
60 888sport (SE) 337 5.51% 0.3833 0.4993 0.2322 51.9% / 48.1%
61 BetOnline.ag 384 3.54% 0.3837 0.4984 0.2300 52.9% / 47.1%
62 Winamax (FR) 331 6.89% 0.3859 0.4998 0.2279 51.1% / 48.9%
63 Ladbrokes (AU) 401 5.30% 0.3847 0.4966 0.2255 54.1% / 45.9%
64 SportsBet 428 5.53% 0.3878 0.4982 0.2215 53.0% / 47.0%
65 Betclic (FR) 334 5.48% 0.3895 0.4997 0.2205 51.2% / 48.8%
66 888sport 354 5.51% 0.3905 0.4997 0.2186 51.1% / 48.9%
67 PointsBet (AU) 398 5.53% 0.3899 0.4987 0.2183 52.5% / 47.5%
68 PlayUp 388 5.55% 0.3907 0.4993 0.2177 51.8% / 48.2%
69 1xBet 314 2.62% 0.3915 0.4998 0.2167 51.0% / 49.0%
70 betano_uk 275 5.63% 0.3917 0.4998 0.2164 50.9% / 49.1%
71 Unibet (FR) 324 7.38% 0.3952 0.4997 0.2092 51.2% / 48.8%
72 ReBet 394 7.22% 0.3956 0.4995 0.2080 51.5% / 48.5%
73 BetUS 137 4.08% 0.3967 0.4987 0.2045 52.6% / 47.4%
74 William Hill 148 5.47% 0.3983 0.4992 0.2021 52.0% / 48.0%
75 Bet Right 305 5.04% 0.4000 0.4988 0.1980 52.5% / 47.5%
76 Fliff 268 5.83% 0.4005 0.4986 0.1968 52.6% / 47.4%
77 Paddy Power 355 6.11% 0.4062 0.4991 0.1861 52.1% / 47.9%
78 NordicBet 235 6.00% 0.4223 0.4993 0.1541 51.9% / 48.1%
79 Betsson 234 5.98% 0.4248 0.4991 0.1489 52.1% / 47.9%
80 Dabble (AU) 72 6.27% 0.4460 0.4811 0.0730 59.7% / 40.3%
81 Polymarket 134 1.11% 0.4704 0.4996 0.0584 51.5% / 48.5%
82 Bet Victor 150 6.80% 0.4787 0.4992 0.0412 52.0% / 48.0%
83 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 36 5.01% 0.5096 0.5000 -0.0191 50.0% / 50.0%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 NetBet (FR) 415 12.54% 0.5791 0.6580 0.1199 37.8% / 36.4% / 25.8%
2 PMU (FR) 576 11.71% 0.5850 0.6566 0.1090 39.8% / 34.5% / 25.7%
3 Winamax (FR) 607 12.73% 0.5841 0.6554 0.1087 40.5% / 33.9% / 25.5%
4 Winamax (DE) 629 10.06% 0.5847 0.6558 0.1084 40.1% / 34.5% / 25.4%
5 Marathon Bet 697 6.73% 0.5856 0.6556 0.1068 41.2% / 32.4% / 26.4%
6 Betr (AU) 414 6.19% 0.5867 0.6565 0.1063 40.6% / 33.1% / 26.3%
7 Matchbook 439 2.48% 0.5854 0.6545 0.1057 42.1% / 30.5% / 27.3%
8 Everygame 92 9.12% 0.5750 0.6427 0.1053 43.5% / 34.8% / 21.7%
9 Tipico (DE) 759 8.27% 0.5854 0.6542 0.1051 41.2% / 33.3% / 25.4%
10 Svenska Spel 699 6.14% 0.5867 0.6552 0.1045 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
11 ATG (SE) 699 6.16% 0.5867 0.6552 0.1044 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
12 Unibet (NL) 711 7.25% 0.5874 0.6555 0.1038 41.1% / 32.8% / 26.2%
13 Casumo 668 7.67% 0.5865 0.6541 0.1033 41.5% / 32.9% / 25.6%
14 Kalshi 433 2.13% 0.5926 0.6600 0.1022 39.3% / 33.0% / 27.7%
15 Betclic (FR) 543 10.14% 0.5922 0.6593 0.1018 39.4% / 33.3% / 27.3%
16 Unibet (UK) 693 6.78% 0.5885 0.6547 0.1011 41.1% / 33.2% / 25.7%
17 Odds.School — Recency-weighted mean (Vetted List) 881 — 0.5889 0.6551 0.1011 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
18 Grosvenor 727 8.23% 0.5887 0.6548 0.1009 41.3% / 32.9% / 25.9%
19 Unibet (FR) 588 11.89% 0.5904 0.6567 0.1009 40.5% / 33.2% / 26.4%
20 Odds.School — Margin-weighted mean (Vetted List) 881 — 0.5893 0.6551 0.1005 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
21 Odds.School — Mean (Vetted List) 881 — 0.5893 0.6551 0.1004 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
22 Odds.School — Interquartile mean (Vetted List) 881 — 0.5893 0.6551 0.1004 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
23 Odds.School — Median (Vetted List) 881 — 0.5893 0.6551 0.1004 41.1% / 33.0% / 25.9%
24 Coolbet 710 5.29% 0.5884 0.6535 0.0995 41.8% / 32.5% / 25.6%
25 Unibet 753 8.08% 0.5907 0.6559 0.0994 41.0% / 32.5% / 26.4%
26 Virgin Bet 753 11.94% 0.5907 0.6559 0.0994 41.0% / 32.5% / 26.4%
27 LiveScore Bet 753 11.95% 0.5908 0.6559 0.0993 41.0% / 32.5% / 26.4%
28 Bally Bet 178 6.75% 0.5863 0.6496 0.0975 43.8% / 29.8% / 26.4%
29 Betsson 736 7.87% 0.5899 0.6530 0.0966 42.3% / 31.8% / 26.0%
30 Codere (IT) 537 7.97% 0.5896 0.6526 0.0965 41.9% / 33.0% / 25.1%
31 NordicBet 737 7.91% 0.5905 0.6533 0.0961 42.2% / 31.8% / 26.1%
32 Paddy Power 763 8.97% 0.5933 0.6561 0.0958 41.0% / 32.4% / 26.6%
33 William Hill 643 9.39% 0.5953 0.6582 0.0956 40.4% / 31.9% / 27.7%
34 Smarkets 654 5.24% 0.5923 0.6543 0.0948 42.0% / 31.2% / 26.8%
35 Mr Green (SE) 715 9.63% 0.5929 0.6546 0.0942 41.4% / 32.7% / 25.9%
36 888sport 658 9.75% 0.5935 0.6551 0.0940 40.9% / 33.4% / 25.7%
37 FanDuel 590 7.33% 0.5945 0.6553 0.0928 41.0% / 33.1% / 25.9%
38 888sport (SE) 655 9.74% 0.5946 0.6552 0.0925 40.9% / 33.3% / 25.8%
39 Bet Victor 606 8.54% 0.5955 0.6561 0.0924 40.6% / 33.3% / 26.1%
40 betano_uk 606 8.53% 0.5956 0.6561 0.0923 40.6% / 33.3% / 26.1%
41 Unibet (SE) 729 7.04% 0.5961 0.6565 0.0920 40.9% / 32.4% / 26.7%
42 Betway 641 7.61% 0.5957 0.6558 0.0916 41.5% / 31.4% / 27.1%
43 TABtouch 673 9.60% 0.5950 0.6546 0.0912 41.5% / 32.5% / 26.0%
44 theScore Bet 410 8.45% 0.5940 0.6530 0.0904 42.4% / 31.2% / 26.3%
45 LeoVegas (SE) 730 10.01% 0.5972 0.6565 0.0904 41.0% / 32.2% / 26.8%
46 BoyleSports 720 11.75% 0.5975 0.6569 0.0904 40.7% / 32.5% / 26.8%
47 PlayUp 643 9.44% 0.5977 0.6570 0.0902 40.9% / 31.9% / 27.2%
48 betPARX 634 7.69% 0.5972 0.6564 0.0901 41.2% / 31.7% / 27.1%
49 LowVig.ag 698 6.51% 0.5982 0.6565 0.0887 41.1% / 31.8% / 27.1%
50 Pinnacle 772 5.46% 0.5978 0.6559 0.0886 41.2% / 32.1% / 26.7%
51 SportsBet 749 7.82% 0.5984 0.6562 0.0881 41.1% / 32.0% / 26.8%
52 Ladbrokes (AU) 602 9.34% 0.5976 0.6551 0.0878 41.4% / 32.4% / 26.2%
53 BetRivers 657 9.68% 0.5992 0.6564 0.0870 41.2% / 31.5% / 27.2%
54 Fliff 51 9.86% 0.5750 0.6298 0.0870 49.0% / 25.5% / 25.5%
55 Ladbrokes (UK) 695 9.04% 0.6006 0.6573 0.0862 40.4% / 32.8% / 26.8%
56 BetMGM 638 7.29% 0.6001 0.6566 0.0860 40.9% / 32.3% / 26.8%
57 BetOnline.ag 713 6.54% 0.6004 0.6569 0.0859 41.0% / 31.8% / 27.2%
58 Coral 669 8.80% 0.6002 0.6566 0.0858 40.7% / 32.9% / 26.5%
59 PointsBet (AU) 477 7.51% 0.6028 0.6588 0.0850 40.5% / 30.8% / 28.7%
60 Caesars 105 6.47% 0.6024 0.6578 0.0842 41.0% / 30.5% / 28.6%
61 Neds 622 9.50% 0.5999 0.6549 0.0840 41.6% / 31.8% / 26.5%
62 Bovada 694 7.66% 0.6001 0.6550 0.0839 41.6% / 31.7% / 26.7%
63 betfred_uk 678 8.16% 0.6030 0.6582 0.0839 40.6% / 31.6% / 27.9%
64 Betfair Exchange (EU) 743 4.82% 0.6012 0.6559 0.0834 41.2% / 32.2% / 26.6%
65 Betfair Exchange (UK) 743 4.90% 0.6015 0.6559 0.0829 41.2% / 32.2% / 26.6%
66 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 589 6.88% 0.6030 0.6575 0.0828 40.6% / 32.3% / 27.2%
67 Sky Bet 664 10.95% 0.6046 0.6587 0.0822 40.1% / 32.4% / 27.6%
68 Betfair Exchange (AU) 743 5.74% 0.6024 0.6559 0.0816 41.2% / 32.2% / 26.6%
69 LeoVegas 489 8.23% 0.5980 0.6511 0.0814 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.6%
70 Fanatics 592 7.07% 0.6038 0.6571 0.0811 41.0% / 31.3% / 27.7%
71 1xBet 738 5.47% 0.6041 0.6562 0.0793 41.1% / 32.2% / 26.7%
72 Bet Right 493 8.29% 0.6043 0.6564 0.0792 41.4% / 31.0% / 27.6%
73 DraftKings 656 6.84% 0.6033 0.6552 0.0792 41.9% / 30.5% / 27.6%
74 TAB 205 7.88% 0.5973 0.6479 0.0781 43.9% / 31.2% / 24.9%
75 BetUS 536 6.86% 0.6071 0.6580 0.0774 40.7% / 31.3% / 28.0%
76 GTbets 290 5.62% 0.6066 0.6548 0.0735 41.7% / 31.7% / 26.6%
77 BetAnything 275 6.30% 0.6145 0.6628 0.0729 37.8% / 33.1% / 29.1%
78 Hard Rock Bet 72 6.14% 0.6010 0.6478 0.0722 43.1% / 23.6% / 33.3%
79 ReBet 87 8.22% 0.6111 0.6537 0.0652 41.4% / 25.3% / 33.3%
80 MyBookie.ag 63 7.58% 0.6250 0.6631 0.0575 34.9% / 28.6% / 36.5%
81 Suprabets 130 10.03% 0.6119 0.6484 0.0562 38.5% / 39.2% / 22.3%