The School of Odds

Bookmaker Calibration

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.

Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.

Last tick before commence (closing line)

437 settled games scored, 83 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

#	Bookmaker	Games	Margin	Brier	Base-rate Brier	BSS	Base rate
1	Dabble (AU)	217	5.46%	0.4748	0.4969	0.0444	53.9% / 46.1%
2	Grosvenor	228	6.61%	0.4696	0.4913	0.0443	56.6% / 43.4%
3	Odds.School (IQM)	274	—	0.4706	0.4914	0.0423	56.6% / 43.4%
4	Odds.School (Margin-weighted)	274	—	0.4707	0.4914	0.0420	56.6% / 43.4%
5	Odds.School (Mean)	274	—	0.4707	0.4914	0.0420	56.6% / 43.4%
6	Odds.School (Median)	274	—	0.4708	0.4914	0.0418	56.6% / 43.4%
7	Ladbrokes (AU)	272	4.96%	0.4722	0.4922	0.0405	56.3% / 43.8%
8	Unibet	272	5.10%	0.4717	0.4912	0.0399	56.6% / 43.4%
9	Neds	271	4.96%	0.4734	0.4926	0.0390	56.1% / 43.9%
10	Casumo	209	4.98%	0.4777	0.4959	0.0366	54.5% / 45.5%
11	Ladbrokes (UK)	198	4.74%	0.4805	0.4982	0.0354	53.0% / 47.0%
12	Unibet (NL)	254	4.61%	0.4774	0.4948	0.0351	55.1% / 44.9%
13	BetOnline.ag	265	2.87%	0.4751	0.4922	0.0347	56.2% / 43.8%
14	Coral	197	4.74%	0.4823	0.4984	0.0324	52.8% / 47.2%
15	Everygame	187	2.75%	0.4808	0.4968	0.0321	54.0% / 46.0%
16	SportsBet	259	5.28%	0.4763	0.4919	0.0316	56.4% / 43.6%
17	PlayUp	223	5.14%	0.4802	0.4956	0.0310	54.7% / 45.3%
18	LeoVegas	258	5.29%	0.4780	0.4932	0.0308	55.8% / 44.2%
19	Pinnacle	267	2.65%	0.4782	0.4933	0.0306	55.8% / 44.2%
20	BetOpenly	147	1.93%	0.4850	0.5000	0.0300	49.7% / 50.3%
21	TABtouch	259	5.42%	0.4771	0.4909	0.0280	56.8% / 43.2%
22	Marathon Bet	193	5.45%	0.4838	0.4970	0.0265	53.9% / 46.1%
23	TAB	246	4.56%	0.4797	0.4926	0.0261	56.1% / 43.9%
24	DraftKings	253	4.81%	0.4824	0.4951	0.0257	54.9% / 45.1%
25	Tipico (DE)	193	6.56%	0.4850	0.4977	0.0255	53.4% / 46.6%
26	Paddy Power	246	6.96%	0.4820	0.4944	0.0250	55.3% / 44.7%
27	Fliff	204	5.56%	0.4837	0.4961	0.0250	54.4% / 45.6%
28	BetRivers	244	5.60%	0.4837	0.4959	0.0247	54.5% / 45.5%
29	Unibet (FR)	193	6.35%	0.4840	0.4961	0.0244	54.4% / 45.6%
30	Betfair Exchange (AU)	259	0.95%	0.4817	0.4937	0.0243	55.6% / 44.4%
31	PointsBet (AU)	220	4.69%	0.4835	0.4950	0.0233	55.0% / 45.0%
32	888sport (SE)	221	5.60%	0.4856	0.4970	0.0230	53.8% / 46.2%
33	Unibet (SE)	240	4.57%	0.4853	0.4965	0.0226	54.2% / 45.8%
34	BetUS	248	3.00%	0.4825	0.4936	0.0225	55.6% / 44.4%
35	Mr Green (SE)	221	5.60%	0.4859	0.4970	0.0225	53.8% / 46.2%
36	LeoVegas (SE)	239	5.33%	0.4858	0.4968	0.0223	54.0% / 46.0%
37	Betsson	249	5.75%	0.4832	0.4941	0.0222	55.4% / 44.6%
38	GTbets	223	2.65%	0.4871	0.4977	0.0215	53.4% / 46.6%
39	Fanatics	222	4.62%	0.4877	0.4980	0.0207	53.2% / 46.8%
40	Betfair Exchange (EU)	247	0.87%	0.4847	0.4949	0.0207	55.1% / 44.9%
41	Betfair Exchange (UK)	248	1.24%	0.4853	0.4953	0.0203	54.8% / 45.2%
42	Bally Bet	245	5.09%	0.4857	0.4956	0.0199	54.7% / 45.3%
43	Svenska Spel	222	3.78%	0.4876	0.4974	0.0197	53.6% / 46.4%
44	theScore Bet	228	4.10%	0.4884	0.4981	0.0196	53.1% / 46.9%
45	FanDuel	245	4.25%	0.4859	0.4956	0.0195	54.7% / 45.3%
46	NordicBet	248	5.73%	0.4849	0.4945	0.0195	55.2% / 44.8%
47	ReBet	221	4.34%	0.4880	0.4977	0.0195	53.4% / 46.6%
48	LowVig.ag	229	2.70%	0.4889	0.4984	0.0190	52.8% / 47.2%
49	MyBookie.ag	223	4.20%	0.4885	0.4977	0.0185	53.4% / 46.6%
50	Smarkets	183	2.34%	0.4916	0.4993	0.0154	51.9% / 48.1%
51	BetMGM	234	4.72%	0.4905	0.4982	0.0154	53.0% / 47.0%
52	William Hill	180	5.33%	0.4919	0.4994	0.0150	51.7% / 48.3%
53	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	120	4.49%	0.4817	0.4888	0.0144	57.5% / 42.5%
54	BoyleSports	121	6.13%	0.4916	0.4983	0.0135	52.9% / 47.1%
55	888sport	231	5.62%	0.4884	0.4950	0.0134	55.0% / 45.0%
56	Caesars	239	4.36%	0.4897	0.4961	0.0129	54.4% / 45.6%
57	Bovada	237	4.48%	0.4905	0.4968	0.0127	54.0% / 46.0%
58	Novig	230	1.27%	0.4893	0.4954	0.0123	54.8% / 45.2%
59	1xBet	177	2.17%	0.4914	0.4973	0.0119	53.7% / 46.3%
60	BetAnything	240	2.96%	0.4908	0.4965	0.0116	54.2% / 45.8%
61	Betclic (FR)	183	8.00%	0.4939	0.4988	0.0098	52.5% / 47.5%
62	ATG (SE)	231	4.94%	0.4911	0.4959	0.0096	54.5% / 45.5%
63	Winamax (DE)	182	5.76%	0.4944	0.4990	0.0093	52.2% / 47.8%
64	betPARX	239	4.94%	0.4924	0.4968	0.0090	54.0% / 46.0%
65	Winamax (FR)	188	7.27%	0.4942	0.4986	0.0088	52.7% / 47.3%
66	Polymarket	230	1.10%	0.4918	0.4954	0.0074	54.8% / 45.2%
67	Kalshi	222	1.36%	0.4938	0.4974	0.0072	53.6% / 46.4%
68	Unibet (UK)	236	4.37%	0.4929	0.4964	0.0070	54.2% / 45.8%
69	Hard Rock Bet	231	4.74%	0.4941	0.4973	0.0064	53.7% / 46.3%
70	Betway	238	5.39%	0.4926	0.4957	0.0063	54.6% / 45.4%
71	Virgin Bet	194	5.45%	0.4945	0.4974	0.0058	53.6% / 46.4%
72	LiveScore Bet	194	5.45%	0.4945	0.4974	0.0058	53.6% / 46.4%
73	Betr (AU)	251	5.41%	0.4911	0.4933	0.0046	55.8% / 44.2%
74	Bet Right	243	4.87%	0.4908	0.4929	0.0042	56.0% / 44.0%
75	PMU (FR)	43	10.46%	0.4780	0.4781	0.0001	60.5% / 39.5%
76	Bet Victor	179	5.78%	0.4934	0.4931	-0.0006	55.9% / 44.1%
77	Coolbet	240	5.07%	0.4956	0.4950	-0.0012	55.0% / 45.0%
78	ProphetX	220	1.32%	0.4992	0.4980	-0.0025	53.2% / 46.8%
79	Matchbook	223	2.21%	0.5045	0.4956	-0.0181	54.7% / 45.3%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

#	Bookmaker	Games	Margin	Brier	Base-rate Brier	BSS	Base rate
1	NetBet (FR)	71	7.71%	0.4436	0.6280	0.2937	49.3% / 26.8% / 23.9%
2	ReBet	57	4.32%	0.4598	0.6439	0.2859	45.6% / 26.3% / 28.1%
3	Betclic (FR)	61	5.16%	0.4706	0.6536	0.2799	42.6% / 29.5% / 27.9%
4	MyBookie.ag	60	6.00%	0.4669	0.6461	0.2774	45.0% / 26.7% / 28.3%
5	Bally Bet	53	5.11%	0.4659	0.6436	0.2761	45.3% / 24.5% / 30.2%
6	Caesars	57	7.11%	0.4657	0.6427	0.2753	45.6% / 24.6% / 29.8%
7	Fliff	50	7.83%	0.4728	0.6488	0.2712	44.0% / 26.0% / 30.0%
8	Hard Rock Bet	53	4.93%	0.4715	0.6451	0.2691	45.3% / 26.4% / 28.3%
9	Fanatics	57	6.05%	0.4668	0.6347	0.2645	47.4% / 22.8% / 29.8%
10	TAB	55	5.67%	0.4763	0.6420	0.2581	45.5% / 23.6% / 30.9%
11	Kalshi	62	2.10%	0.4774	0.6394	0.2534	46.8% / 25.8% / 27.4%
12	Dabble (AU)	56	6.24%	0.4869	0.6460	0.2463	44.6% / 25.0% / 30.4%
13	GTbets	82	5.19%	0.4898	0.6496	0.2461	43.9% / 26.8% / 29.3%
14	Bet Right	87	7.80%	0.4986	0.6466	0.2288	44.8% / 28.7% / 26.4%
15	PMU (FR)	78	7.30%	0.5124	0.6578	0.2210	41.0% / 29.5% / 29.5%
16	theScore Bet	72	5.56%	0.5053	0.6478	0.2199	44.4% / 26.4% / 29.2%
17	Winamax (DE)	90	6.90%	0.4870	0.6235	0.2189	50.0% / 27.8% / 22.2%
18	Unibet (FR)	102	7.54%	0.5074	0.6488	0.2179	44.1% / 29.4% / 26.5%
19	Smarkets	74	1.26%	0.5137	0.6516	0.2115	43.2% / 27.0% / 29.7%
20	Codere (IT)	82	6.43%	0.5110	0.6410	0.2028	46.3% / 28.0% / 25.6%
21	Winamax (FR)	89	8.36%	0.4998	0.6262	0.2018	49.4% / 28.1% / 22.5%
22	Betr (AU)	89	8.38%	0.5251	0.6575	0.2014	40.4% / 27.0% / 32.6%
23	BetAnything	93	5.21%	0.5209	0.6521	0.2011	43.0% / 26.9% / 30.1%
24	888sport (SE)	120	9.49%	0.5247	0.6538	0.1974	42.5% / 30.0% / 27.5%
25	Everygame	115	7.50%	0.5268	0.6536	0.1940	42.6% / 29.6% / 27.8%
26	NordicBet	135	6.05%	0.5224	0.6468	0.1923	44.4% / 30.4% / 25.2%
27	BoyleSports	112	10.56%	0.5244	0.6473	0.1899	44.6% / 26.8% / 28.6%
28	Ladbrokes (AU)	106	8.96%	0.5270	0.6485	0.1873	44.3% / 27.4% / 28.3%
29	Mr Green (SE)	122	9.50%	0.5330	0.6556	0.1870	41.8% / 30.3% / 27.9%
30	Odds.School (IQM)	163	—	0.5231	0.6423	0.1856	46.0% / 28.2% / 25.8%
31	Odds.School (Median)	163	—	0.5231	0.6423	0.1855	46.0% / 28.2% / 25.8%
32	Odds.School (Mean)	163	—	0.5233	0.6423	0.1852	46.0% / 28.2% / 25.8%
33	Odds.School (Margin-weighted)	163	—	0.5233	0.6423	0.1852	46.0% / 28.2% / 25.8%
34	Tipico (DE)	133	8.08%	0.5206	0.6379	0.1839	46.6% / 30.1% / 23.3%
35	Sky Bet	100	9.29%	0.5354	0.6552	0.1829	42.0% / 28.0% / 30.0%
36	Bet Victor	119	7.90%	0.5361	0.6553	0.1820	42.0% / 29.4% / 28.6%
37	Matchbook	116	0.73%	0.5361	0.6544	0.1808	42.2% / 30.2% / 27.6%
38	Betsson	134	6.02%	0.5143	0.6276	0.1806	49.3% / 27.6% / 23.1%
39	888sport	126	9.48%	0.5336	0.6507	0.1799	43.7% / 27.8% / 28.6%
40	Neds	104	8.99%	0.5346	0.6518	0.1798	43.3% / 27.9% / 28.8%
41	Ladbrokes (UK)	110	8.89%	0.5363	0.6534	0.1792	42.7% / 29.1% / 28.2%
42	betPARX	127	6.79%	0.5344	0.6490	0.1766	44.1% / 29.1% / 26.8%
43	BetMGM	107	7.51%	0.5390	0.6546	0.1765	42.1% / 30.8% / 27.1%
44	Svenska Spel	115	5.15%	0.5412	0.6560	0.1751	41.7% / 29.6% / 28.7%
45	Betfair Exchange (UK)	118	0.80%	0.5395	0.6517	0.1722	43.2% / 29.7% / 27.1%
46	Betfair Exchange (AU)	117	0.79%	0.5408	0.6531	0.1719	42.7% / 29.9% / 27.4%
47	PlayUp	128	8.92%	0.5428	0.6549	0.1711	42.2% / 28.9% / 28.9%
48	Coral	111	8.62%	0.5430	0.6543	0.1702	42.3% / 29.7% / 27.9%
49	ATG (SE)	114	5.06%	0.5487	0.6610	0.1698	39.5% / 30.7% / 29.8%
50	Unibet (SE)	124	5.34%	0.5458	0.6573	0.1696	41.1% / 30.6% / 28.2%
51	Pinnacle	141	3.43%	0.5434	0.6539	0.1690	42.6% / 29.1% / 28.4%
52	Bovada	138	7.08%	0.5465	0.6571	0.1684	41.3% / 29.0% / 29.7%
53	betfred_uk	140	8.68%	0.5451	0.6550	0.1678	42.1% / 29.3% / 28.6%
54	1xBet	143	5.38%	0.5364	0.6445	0.1678	45.5% / 28.0% / 26.6%
55	Unibet	126	6.94%	0.5420	0.6507	0.1671	43.7% / 28.6% / 27.8%
56	Betfair Exchange (EU)	117	0.78%	0.5441	0.6531	0.1669	42.7% / 29.9% / 27.4%
57	Coolbet	134	4.13%	0.5464	0.6558	0.1668	41.8% / 29.9% / 28.4%
58	LeoVegas (SE)	126	7.59%	0.5421	0.6504	0.1665	43.7% / 29.4% / 27.0%
59	BetUS	129	6.15%	0.5471	0.6557	0.1656	41.9% / 29.5% / 28.7%
60	TABtouch	125	8.58%	0.5443	0.6520	0.1652	43.2% / 28.8% / 28.0%
61	Grosvenor	126	8.09%	0.5469	0.6550	0.1650	42.1% / 30.2% / 27.8%
62	LiveScore Bet	128	9.64%	0.5397	0.6450	0.1632	45.3% / 28.1% / 26.6%
63	William Hill	125	8.96%	0.5471	0.6538	0.1632	42.4% / 30.4% / 27.2%
64	BetOnline.ag	123	4.88%	0.5460	0.6523	0.1629	43.1% / 29.3% / 27.6%
65	LowVig.ag	128	4.88%	0.5486	0.6548	0.1622	42.2% / 28.1% / 29.7%
66	DraftKings	126	5.26%	0.5461	0.6504	0.1604	43.7% / 29.4% / 27.0%
67	LeoVegas	123	8.04%	0.5518	0.6562	0.1592	41.5% / 30.9% / 27.6%
68	Betway	126	7.51%	0.5517	0.6552	0.1580	42.1% / 29.4% / 28.6%
69	SportsBet	127	8.56%	0.5509	0.6540	0.1577	42.5% / 28.3% / 29.1%
70	Paddy Power	127	9.48%	0.5509	0.6540	0.1576	42.5% / 29.1% / 28.3%
71	FanDuel	131	6.51%	0.5509	0.6533	0.1568	42.7% / 29.0% / 28.2%
72	Virgin Bet	128	9.43%	0.5523	0.6549	0.1566	42.2% / 28.9% / 28.9%
73	Unibet (UK)	124	6.19%	0.5547	0.6575	0.1564	41.1% / 29.0% / 29.8%
74	PointsBet (AU)	135	7.57%	0.5528	0.6548	0.1558	42.2% / 28.9% / 28.9%
75	Unibet (NL)	124	5.60%	0.5562	0.6588	0.1558	40.3% / 31.5% / 28.2%
76	BetRivers	129	7.49%	0.5541	0.6555	0.1547	41.9% / 27.9% / 30.2%
77	Casumo	117	6.64%	0.5583	0.6597	0.1536	40.2% / 29.9% / 29.9%
78	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	109	16.45%	0.5522	0.6516	0.1526	43.1% / 30.3% / 26.6%
79	Marathon Bet	91	7.69%	0.5575	0.6371	0.1250	46.2% / 31.9% / 22.0%

24 hours before commence (early-bird line)

300 settled games scored, 83 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

#	Bookmaker	Games	Margin	Brier	Base-rate Brier	BSS	Base rate
1	Grosvenor	87	6.32%	0.4313	0.4762	0.0942	60.9% / 39.1%
2	Casumo	66	4.93%	0.4512	0.4927	0.0842	56.1% / 43.9%
3	Marathon Bet	66	5.70%	0.4451	0.4775	0.0678	60.6% / 39.4%
4	Coral	103	4.81%	0.4690	0.4962	0.0548	54.4% / 45.6%
5	Ladbrokes (UK)	103	4.81%	0.4690	0.4962	0.0548	54.4% / 45.6%
6	PlayUp	161	5.16%	0.4697	0.4930	0.0473	55.9% / 44.1%
7	William Hill	83	5.40%	0.4753	0.4964	0.0426	54.2% / 45.8%
8	Unibet	101	5.33%	0.4580	0.4784	0.0425	60.4% / 39.6%
9	BetOnline.ag	155	2.92%	0.4686	0.4890	0.0417	57.4% / 42.6%
10	Unibet (FR)	141	10.00%	0.4740	0.4943	0.0412	55.3% / 44.7%
11	Bet Victor	97	6.75%	0.4779	0.4974	0.0392	53.6% / 46.4%
12	Ladbrokes (AU)	142	5.01%	0.4699	0.4880	0.0371	57.7% / 42.3%
13	Neds	143	5.01%	0.4691	0.4871	0.0369	58.0% / 42.0%
14	Bet Right	174	4.88%	0.4729	0.4905	0.0359	56.9% / 43.1%
15	Odds.School (IQM)	182	—	0.4706	0.4882	0.0359	57.7% / 42.3%
16	Odds.School (Mean)	182	—	0.4706	0.4882	0.0359	57.7% / 42.3%
17	Odds.School (Median)	182	—	0.4706	0.4882	0.0359	57.7% / 42.3%
18	Odds.School (Margin-weighted)	182	—	0.4708	0.4882	0.0356	57.7% / 42.3%
19	PointsBet (AU)	162	4.57%	0.4737	0.4908	0.0348	56.8% / 43.2%
20	Unibet (NL)	81	4.68%	0.4797	0.4938	0.0287	55.6% / 44.4%
21	Smarkets	129	9.53%	0.4840	0.4976	0.0272	53.5% / 46.5%
22	Betr (AU)	173	5.39%	0.4796	0.4926	0.0264	56.1% / 43.9%
23	LeoVegas	88	5.09%	0.4708	0.4835	0.0262	59.1% / 40.9%
24	SportsBet	179	5.60%	0.4761	0.4886	0.0256	57.5% / 42.5%
25	Winamax (DE)	123	5.78%	0.4849	0.4973	0.0250	53.7% / 46.3%
26	NordicBet	105	5.88%	0.4691	0.4800	0.0226	60.0% / 40.0%
27	Betsson	105	5.88%	0.4694	0.4800	0.0221	60.0% / 40.0%
28	Winamax (FR)	128	10.73%	0.4860	0.4969	0.0221	53.9% / 46.1%
29	Paddy Power	171	6.02%	0.4789	0.4893	0.0212	57.3% / 42.7%
30	Betclic (FR)	133	6.08%	0.4862	0.4966	0.0208	54.1% / 45.9%
31	LowVig.ag	127	2.55%	0.4885	0.4975	0.0180	53.5% / 46.5%
32	Mr Green (SE)	140	5.54%	0.4886	0.4974	0.0178	53.6% / 46.4%
33	888sport (SE)	140	5.54%	0.4886	0.4974	0.0178	53.6% / 46.4%
34	TABtouch	90	5.33%	0.4716	0.4800	0.0176	60.0% / 40.0%
35	Fanatics	147	4.52%	0.4879	0.4961	0.0165	54.4% / 45.6%
36	FanDuel	159	4.19%	0.4863	0.4943	0.0162	55.3% / 44.7%
37	DraftKings	138	4.66%	0.4836	0.4915	0.0161	56.5% / 43.5%
38	Virgin Bet	57	5.25%	0.4846	0.4925	0.0159	56.1% / 43.9%
39	888sport	146	5.55%	0.4878	0.4954	0.0153	54.8% / 45.2%
40	1xBet	134	2.18%	0.4911	0.4982	0.0143	53.0% / 47.0%
41	Hard Rock Bet	117	4.61%	0.4874	0.4938	0.0130	55.6% / 44.4%
42	ReBet	146	7.51%	0.4921	0.4985	0.0128	52.7% / 47.3%
43	TAB	73	4.78%	0.4452	0.4504	0.0114	65.8% / 34.2%
44	Dabble (AU)	40	5.44%	0.4155	0.4200	0.0108	70.0% / 30.0%
45	Novig	137	2.54%	0.4873	0.4923	0.0101	56.2% / 43.8%
46	theScore Bet	109	4.09%	0.4947	0.4996	0.0099	51.4% / 48.6%
47	BetMGM	116	4.68%	0.4922	0.4963	0.0083	54.3% / 45.7%
48	Unibet (UK)	154	5.13%	0.4915	0.4946	0.0062	55.2% / 44.8%
49	GTbets	122	2.50%	0.4964	0.4988	0.0049	52.5% / 47.5%
50	LiveScore Bet	56	5.24%	0.4876	0.4898	0.0045	57.1% / 42.9%
51	Unibet (SE)	69	4.56%	0.4977	0.4991	0.0026	52.2% / 47.8%
52	Fliff	146	5.43%	0.4876	0.4886	0.0021	57.5% / 42.5%
53	BetRivers	69	5.42%	0.4993	0.4991	-0.0005	52.2% / 47.8%
54	Betfair Exchange (AU)	50	6.48%	0.4610	0.4608	-0.0005	64.0% / 36.0%
55	LeoVegas (SE)	68	4.90%	0.4997	0.4983	-0.0029	52.9% / 47.1%
56	Pinnacle	86	3.67%	0.4571	0.4543	-0.0062	65.1% / 34.9%
57	Polymarket	159	1.19%	0.4944	0.4913	-0.0064	56.6% / 43.4%
58	Coolbet	97	5.04%	0.4845	0.4808	-0.0076	59.8% / 40.2%
59	Caesars	124	4.34%	0.4965	0.4917	-0.0098	56.5% / 43.5%
60	ATG (SE)	59	4.78%	0.5055	0.4987	-0.0136	52.5% / 47.5%
61	BetUS	77	3.60%	0.4773	0.4696	-0.0166	62.3% / 37.7%
62	Svenska Spel	58	4.40%	0.5094	0.4976	-0.0237	53.4% / 46.6%
63	Kalshi	138	1.11%	0.5032	0.4915	-0.0239	56.5% / 43.5%
64	Bally Bet	61	4.79%	0.5173	0.4999	-0.0349	50.8% / 49.2%
65	betPARX	61	4.79%	0.5173	0.4999	-0.0349	50.8% / 49.2%
66	Betfair Exchange (UK)	42	6.32%	0.4796	0.4592	-0.0445	64.3% / 35.7%
67	Betfair Exchange (EU)	41	6.53%	0.4785	0.4497	-0.0641	65.9% / 34.1%
68	Bovada	59	4.35%	0.4980	0.4585	-0.0862	64.4% / 35.6%
69	BoyleSports	41	6.33%	0.5401	0.4926	-0.0965	43.9% / 56.1%
70	ProphetX	48	3.89%	0.4938	0.4444	-0.1111	66.7% / 33.3%
71	BetAnything	40	4.61%	0.5065	0.4200	-0.2059	70.0% / 30.0%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

#	Bookmaker	Games	Margin	Brier	Base-rate Brier	BSS	Base rate
1	Betclic (FR)	51	5.21%	0.4470	0.6459	0.3079	45.1% / 27.5% / 27.5%
2	Betr (AU)	52	7.13%	0.4495	0.6420	0.2998	46.2% / 26.9% / 26.9%
3	NetBet (FR)	59	8.13%	0.4412	0.6286	0.2981	49.2% / 27.1% / 23.7%
4	Hard Rock Bet	51	4.90%	0.4486	0.6382	0.2972	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
5	Bally Bet	51	5.07%	0.4492	0.6382	0.2962	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
6	ReBet	42	5.89%	0.4573	0.6451	0.2912	45.2% / 26.2% / 28.6%
7	Fliff	51	7.55%	0.4532	0.6382	0.2898	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
8	Dabble (AU)	51	6.65%	0.4554	0.6382	0.2865	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
9	Caesars	51	7.05%	0.4558	0.6382	0.2858	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
10	MyBookie.ag	51	5.96%	0.4566	0.6382	0.2846	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
11	TAB	51	6.71%	0.4567	0.6382	0.2844	47.1% / 25.5% / 27.5%
12	Fanatics	54	5.71%	0.4533	0.6331	0.2840	48.1% / 24.1% / 27.8%
13	Kalshi	58	2.04%	0.4592	0.6332	0.2747	48.3% / 25.9% / 25.9%
14	GTbets	73	4.90%	0.4774	0.6455	0.2604	45.2% / 27.4% / 27.4%
15	PMU (FR)	74	8.96%	0.4875	0.6556	0.2564	41.9% / 29.7% / 28.4%
16	Winamax (DE)	79	7.96%	0.4685	0.6252	0.2506	49.4% / 29.1% / 21.5%
17	Winamax (FR)	79	10.42%	0.4698	0.6252	0.2485	49.4% / 29.1% / 21.5%
18	Unibet (FR)	85	8.46%	0.4863	0.6466	0.2480	44.7% / 29.4% / 25.9%
19	Bet Right	79	8.08%	0.4887	0.6483	0.2461	44.3% / 29.1% / 26.6%
20	BetAnything	65	5.28%	0.4935	0.6523	0.2435	43.1% / 27.7% / 29.2%
21	Matchbook	75	1.20%	0.4928	0.6482	0.2397	44.0% / 30.7% / 25.3%
22	theScore Bet	61	5.66%	0.4956	0.6488	0.2361	44.3% / 27.9% / 27.9%
23	Everygame	93	8.79%	0.5007	0.6491	0.2287	44.1% / 29.0% / 26.9%
24	Sky Bet	86	9.43%	0.5041	0.6525	0.2274	43.0% / 27.9% / 29.1%
25	BetMGM	92	7.39%	0.5087	0.6543	0.2225	42.4% / 29.3% / 28.3%
26	PlayUp	95	9.38%	0.5060	0.6502	0.2218	43.2% / 31.6% / 25.3%
27	Smarkets	66	1.83%	0.4973	0.6387	0.2214	47.0% / 27.3% / 25.8%
28	Codere (IT)	72	7.09%	0.5005	0.6424	0.2208	45.8% / 29.2% / 25.0%
29	Ladbrokes (AU)	87	8.68%	0.5042	0.6466	0.2202	44.8% / 28.7% / 26.4%
30	Neds	87	8.68%	0.5042	0.6466	0.2202	44.8% / 28.7% / 26.4%
31	Coral	94	8.38%	0.5119	0.6537	0.2169	42.6% / 29.8% / 27.7%
32	Ladbrokes (UK)	94	8.78%	0.5127	0.6537	0.2156	42.6% / 29.8% / 27.7%
33	Tipico (DE)	113	7.84%	0.5104	0.6491	0.2136	43.4% / 31.9% / 24.8%
34	Unibet (NL)	105	5.49%	0.5170	0.6572	0.2134	41.0% / 31.4% / 27.6%
35	Bet Victor	98	8.05%	0.5110	0.6495	0.2133	43.9% / 29.6% / 26.5%
36	ATG (SE)	98	5.17%	0.5198	0.6603	0.2128	39.8% / 30.6% / 29.6%
37	Svenska Spel	98	5.15%	0.5199	0.6603	0.2127	39.8% / 30.6% / 29.6%
38	LeoVegas	105	7.82%	0.5178	0.6572	0.2121	41.0% / 31.4% / 27.6%
39	betPARX	104	6.64%	0.5176	0.6566	0.2118	41.3% / 30.8% / 27.9%
40	Casumo	98	6.54%	0.5207	0.6603	0.2115	39.8% / 30.6% / 29.6%
41	Betsson	108	5.83%	0.5093	0.6454	0.2109	44.4% / 31.5% / 24.1%
42	Odds.School (Median)	117	—	0.5127	0.6496	0.2107	43.6% / 30.8% / 25.6%
43	NordicBet	108	5.83%	0.5095	0.6454	0.2106	44.4% / 31.5% / 24.1%
44	Odds.School (Margin-weighted)	117	—	0.5128	0.6496	0.2106	43.6% / 30.8% / 25.6%
45	Odds.School (IQM)	117	—	0.5129	0.6496	0.2105	43.6% / 30.8% / 25.6%
46	Odds.School (Mean)	117	—	0.5130	0.6496	0.2103	43.6% / 30.8% / 25.6%
47	Unibet (SE)	109	5.39%	0.5174	0.6545	0.2094	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
48	LeoVegas (SE)	109	7.46%	0.5181	0.6545	0.2084	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
49	Grosvenor	109	7.79%	0.5183	0.6545	0.2081	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
50	Coolbet	108	3.94%	0.5197	0.6559	0.2076	41.7% / 30.6% / 27.8%
51	TABtouch	109	8.51%	0.5188	0.6545	0.2074	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
52	BetRivers	108	7.27%	0.5181	0.6536	0.2073	42.6% / 29.6% / 27.8%
53	LiveScore Bet	108	9.51%	0.5185	0.6536	0.2067	42.6% / 29.6% / 27.8%
54	Virgin Bet	108	9.36%	0.5186	0.6536	0.2065	42.6% / 29.6% / 27.8%
55	BetUS	104	6.15%	0.5211	0.6566	0.2063	41.3% / 30.8% / 27.9%
56	SportsBet	108	7.77%	0.5207	0.6559	0.2060	41.7% / 30.6% / 27.8%
57	Unibet	108	6.94%	0.5195	0.6536	0.2053	42.6% / 29.6% / 27.8%
58	Betfair Exchange (AU)	109	2.11%	0.5202	0.6545	0.2053	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
59	Betfair Exchange (EU)	109	1.99%	0.5202	0.6545	0.2052	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
60	Betfair Exchange (UK)	109	1.99%	0.5202	0.6545	0.2052	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
61	Bovada	108	6.83%	0.5217	0.6559	0.2046	41.7% / 30.6% / 27.8%
62	PointsBet (AU)	108	7.38%	0.5225	0.6559	0.2033	41.7% / 30.6% / 27.8%
63	betfred_uk	108	8.56%	0.5230	0.6559	0.2026	41.7% / 30.6% / 27.8%
64	1xBet	114	4.58%	0.5078	0.6365	0.2022	47.4% / 28.1% / 24.6%
65	BetOnline.ag	107	5.71%	0.5224	0.6546	0.2018	42.1% / 30.8% / 27.1%
66	Pinnacle	109	4.92%	0.5224	0.6545	0.2018	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
67	888sport	101	9.54%	0.5220	0.6537	0.2014	42.6% / 29.7% / 27.7%
68	FanDuel	109	7.07%	0.5231	0.6545	0.2008	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
69	LowVig.ag	109	5.74%	0.5232	0.6545	0.2006	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
70	DraftKings	109	5.91%	0.5235	0.6545	0.2001	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
71	Paddy Power	109	8.74%	0.5240	0.6545	0.1993	42.2% / 30.3% / 27.5%
72	Betway	107	7.52%	0.5226	0.6523	0.1988	43.0% / 29.9% / 27.1%
73	Mr Green (SE)	98	9.53%	0.5277	0.6581	0.1981	40.8% / 30.6% / 28.6%
74	888sport (SE)	98	9.53%	0.5277	0.6581	0.1981	40.8% / 30.6% / 28.6%
75	BoyleSports	94	10.57%	0.5285	0.6566	0.1951	41.5% / 29.8% / 28.7%
76	Unibet (UK)	105	6.12%	0.5275	0.6552	0.1949	41.9% / 30.5% / 27.6%
77	William Hill	104	8.90%	0.5312	0.6585	0.1932	40.4% / 31.7% / 27.9%
78	Marathon Bet	74	7.22%	0.5418	0.6505	0.1671	39.2% / 37.8% / 23.0%
79	Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	81	16.10%	0.5532	0.6481	0.1465	44.4% / 27.2% / 28.4%