The School of Odds

Bookmaker Calibration

Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.

Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.

Last tick before commence (closing line)

455 settled games scored, 85 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Everygame 146 2.87% 0.4552 0.5000 0.0897 50.0% / 50.0%
2 Bet Right 212 4.97% 0.4568 0.5000 0.0865 50.0% / 50.0%
3 PlayUp 184 5.12% 0.4572 0.4991 0.0838 52.2% / 47.8%
4 PointsBet (AU) 184 4.73% 0.4579 0.4985 0.0816 52.7% / 47.3%
5 Unibet 221 5.07% 0.4603 0.5000 0.0794 49.8% / 50.2%
6 Betfair Exchange (UK) 212 1.04% 0.4630 0.4996 0.0732 48.6% / 51.4%
7 TABtouch 213 5.41% 0.4631 0.4995 0.0728 48.4% / 51.6%
8 Grosvenor 178 6.79% 0.4641 0.5000 0.0718 50.0% / 50.0%
9 Betr (AU) 298 5.85% 0.4653 0.4998 0.0690 51.0% / 49.0%
10 Betfair Exchange (EU) 212 1.53% 0.4655 0.4996 0.0683 48.6% / 51.4%
11 Unibet (NL) 206 4.65% 0.4664 0.4996 0.0664 48.5% / 51.5%
12 Paddy Power 206 6.93% 0.4659 0.4988 0.0661 47.6% / 52.4%
13 betano_uk 41 5.56% 0.4647 0.4973 0.0657 46.3% / 53.7%
14 Pinnacle 295 3.28% 0.4681 0.5000 0.0637 50.2% / 49.8%
15 Coolbet 186 5.18% 0.4682 0.4998 0.0631 48.9% / 51.1%
16 TAB 203 4.58% 0.4674 0.4985 0.0625 47.3% / 52.7%
17 Casumo 164 4.99% 0.4699 0.4997 0.0596 48.8% / 51.2%
18 Odds.School (Recency-weighted) 311 0.4706 0.5000 0.0589 50.2% / 49.8%
19 Betsson 202 5.64% 0.4691 0.4982 0.0585 47.0% / 53.0%
20 Odds.School (Mean) 311 0.4708 0.5000 0.0584 50.2% / 49.8%
21 Odds.School (Median) 311 0.4709 0.5000 0.0581 50.2% / 49.8%
22 Odds.School (Margin-weighted) 311 0.4710 0.5000 0.0581 50.2% / 49.8%
23 Odds.School (IQM) 311 0.4710 0.5000 0.0579 50.2% / 49.8%
24 SportsBet 295 5.23% 0.4710 0.4999 0.0577 49.2% / 50.8%
25 NordicBet 202 5.60% 0.4714 0.4992 0.0558 48.0% / 52.0%
26 Neds 287 5.20% 0.4727 0.5000 0.0547 49.8% / 50.2%
27 Ladbrokes (AU) 299 5.19% 0.4732 0.5000 0.0537 49.8% / 50.2%
28 Tipico (DE) 153 6.63% 0.4733 0.4995 0.0524 48.4% / 51.6%
29 Coral 154 4.72% 0.4726 0.4987 0.0523 47.4% / 52.6%
30 BetOnline.ag 251 3.03% 0.4737 0.4996 0.0519 48.6% / 51.4%
31 DraftKings 292 4.66% 0.4752 0.5000 0.0496 49.7% / 50.3%
32 Betfair Exchange (AU) 299 3.31% 0.4754 0.5000 0.0492 49.8% / 50.2%
33 PMU (FR) 40 9.54% 0.4709 0.4950 0.0486 45.0% / 55.0%
34 Ladbrokes (UK) 153 4.70% 0.4741 0.4983 0.0485 47.1% / 52.9%
35 Unibet (FR) 153 6.52% 0.4757 0.4998 0.0482 51.0% / 49.0%
36 BetUS 214 3.05% 0.4747 0.4979 0.0465 46.7% / 53.3%
37 Marathon Bet 230 6.10% 0.4786 0.5000 0.0427 50.4% / 49.6%
38 Caesars 221 4.36% 0.4774 0.4983 0.0418 47.1% / 52.9%
39 BetMGM 218 4.61% 0.4775 0.4979 0.0410 46.8% / 53.2%
40 Novig 210 1.10% 0.4768 0.4971 0.0408 46.2% / 53.8%
41 Bet Victor 151 5.84% 0.4783 0.4982 0.0400 47.0% / 53.0%
42 ProphetX 214 1.48% 0.4784 0.4979 0.0390 46.7% / 53.3%
43 LeoVegas 148 6.85% 0.4763 0.4955 0.0389 45.3% / 54.7%
44 Bally Bet 197 5.07% 0.4798 0.4990 0.0383 47.7% / 52.3%
45 betPARX 197 4.94% 0.4799 0.4990 0.0382 47.7% / 52.3%
46 Unibet (UK) 196 4.35% 0.4802 0.4987 0.0370 47.4% / 52.6%
47 888sport 182 5.64% 0.4801 0.4985 0.0369 47.3% / 52.7%
48 LeoVegas (SE) 193 5.28% 0.4807 0.4989 0.0366 47.7% / 52.3%
49 Dabble (AU) 159 5.29% 0.4816 0.4998 0.0365 49.1% / 50.9%
50 Unibet (SE) 193 4.61% 0.4808 0.4989 0.0363 47.7% / 52.3%
51 MyBookie.ag 198 4.56% 0.4810 0.4987 0.0356 47.5% / 52.5%
52 Matchbook 188 1.83% 0.4800 0.4972 0.0347 46.3% / 53.7%
53 FanDuel 277 4.49% 0.4832 0.4997 0.0329 48.7% / 51.3%
54 LowVig.ag 204 2.82% 0.4811 0.4969 0.0318 46.1% / 53.9%
55 ATG (SE) 190 4.95% 0.4818 0.4973 0.0312 46.3% / 53.7%
56 Hard Rock Bet 276 4.89% 0.4844 0.4999 0.0310 49.3% / 50.7%
57 Bovada 275 4.33% 0.4845 0.4997 0.0304 48.7% / 51.3%
58 BetAnything 197 3.19% 0.4831 0.4978 0.0295 46.7% / 53.3%
59 BoyleSports 104 6.24% 0.4861 0.5000 0.0279 50.0% / 50.0%
60 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 85 4.53% 0.4814 0.4944 0.0264 44.7% / 55.3%
61 Betway 182 5.74% 0.4850 0.4978 0.0258 46.7% / 53.3%
62 ReBet 250 4.68% 0.4872 0.5000 0.0255 49.6% / 50.4%
63 LiveScore Bet 155 5.41% 0.4876 0.4990 0.0228 47.7% / 52.3%
64 Virgin Bet 155 5.43% 0.4876 0.4990 0.0228 47.7% / 52.3%
65 theScore Bet 263 5.06% 0.4887 0.4991 0.0209 47.9% / 52.1%
66 Mr Green (SE) 172 5.59% 0.4864 0.4967 0.0207 45.9% / 54.1%
67 888sport (SE) 172 5.64% 0.4864 0.4967 0.0207 45.9% / 54.1%
68 Polymarket 183 1.05% 0.4865 0.4966 0.0204 45.9% / 54.1%
69 Kalshi 166 1.32% 0.4881 0.4974 0.0187 46.4% / 53.6%
70 BetRivers 288 5.73% 0.4908 0.4999 0.0183 49.3% / 50.7%
71 BetOpenly 119 1.72% 0.4920 0.5000 0.0159 50.4% / 49.6%
72 Svenska Spel 176 3.70% 0.4887 0.4948 0.0123 44.9% / 55.1%
73 GTbets 177 2.78% 0.4885 0.4942 0.0117 44.6% / 55.4%
74 Winamax (DE) 140 5.73% 0.4924 0.4974 0.0101 46.4% / 53.6%
75 Betclic (FR) 143 8.02% 0.4956 0.4994 0.0075 48.3% / 51.7%
76 Fanatics 256 4.44% 0.4947 0.4975 0.0058 46.5% / 53.5%
77 Winamax (FR) 145 7.19% 0.4960 0.4988 0.0057 47.6% / 52.4%
78 Fliff 238 6.28% 0.4966 0.4991 0.0050 47.9% / 52.1%
79 Smarkets 138 2.45% 0.4964 0.4983 0.0038 47.1% / 52.9%
80 William Hill 138 5.39% 0.4974 0.4991 0.0032 47.8% / 52.2%
81 1xBet 145 2.20% 0.4976 0.4988 0.0025 47.6% / 52.4%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Betr (AU) 71 8.29% 0.4872 0.6134 0.2056 50.7% / 31.0% / 18.3%
2 Unibet (FR) 98 11.91% 0.4917 0.5979 0.1777 54.1% / 27.6% / 18.4%
3 Betclic (FR) 49 10.77% 0.5107 0.6197 0.1760 49.0% / 32.7% / 18.4%
4 Winamax (FR) 76 12.28% 0.5263 0.6354 0.1717 46.1% / 32.9% / 21.1%
5 NetBet (FR) 37 12.21% 0.5037 0.6063 0.1691 40.5% / 45.9% / 13.5%
6 Winamax (DE) 78 9.29% 0.5291 0.6368 0.1691 46.2% / 32.1% / 21.8%
7 theScore Bet 35 6.81% 0.5356 0.6433 0.1674 45.7% / 28.6% / 25.7%
8 LeoVegas 129 8.26% 0.5066 0.6079 0.1667 52.7% / 27.1% / 20.2%
9 Fanatics 43 6.86% 0.5429 0.6512 0.1662 37.2% / 39.5% / 23.3%
10 NordicBet 129 7.36% 0.5169 0.6146 0.1590 51.9% / 24.8% / 23.3%
11 BetAnything 55 5.35% 0.5050 0.6003 0.1588 50.9% / 34.5% / 14.5%
12 Smarkets 77 1.54% 0.5490 0.6524 0.1585 41.6% / 33.8% / 24.7%
13 Bovada 113 6.93% 0.5243 0.6226 0.1579 50.4% / 23.9% / 25.7%
14 BoyleSports 100 12.69% 0.5129 0.6086 0.1573 53.0% / 24.0% / 23.0%
15 PMU (FR) 84 12.96% 0.5248 0.6222 0.1565 48.8% / 32.1% / 19.0%
16 Svenska Spel 110 5.82% 0.5230 0.6197 0.1559 50.9% / 26.4% / 22.7%
17 ATG (SE) 109 6.10% 0.5261 0.6220 0.1542 50.5% / 26.6% / 22.9%
18 Coolbet 100 5.18% 0.5413 0.6386 0.1523 47.0% / 27.0% / 26.0%
19 Ladbrokes (UK) 76 10.56% 0.5322 0.6271 0.1513 48.7% / 30.3% / 21.1%
20 Coral 76 10.48% 0.5323 0.6271 0.1511 48.7% / 30.3% / 21.1%
21 Bet Right 87 8.93% 0.5131 0.6040 0.1506 52.9% / 28.7% / 18.4%
22 Odds.School (Margin-weighted) 144 0.5302 0.6241 0.1505 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9%
23 Odds.School (Recency-weighted) 144 0.5302 0.6241 0.1505 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9%
24 Odds.School (Mean) 144 0.5304 0.6241 0.1501 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9%
25 Odds.School (IQM) 144 0.5310 0.6241 0.1493 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9%
26 Odds.School (Median) 144 0.5312 0.6241 0.1490 50.0% / 27.1% / 22.9%
27 Tipico (DE) 120 9.14% 0.5243 0.6157 0.1485 51.7% / 25.8% / 22.5%
28 Casumo 108 7.64% 0.5280 0.6199 0.1482 50.9% / 25.9% / 23.1%
29 BetMGM 76 7.63% 0.5279 0.6195 0.1477 50.0% / 30.3% / 19.7%
30 Marathon Bet 113 7.31% 0.5193 0.6077 0.1455 53.1% / 22.1% / 24.8%
31 Betfair Exchange (AU) 118 0.91% 0.5353 0.6250 0.1435 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4%
32 Betfair Exchange (EU) 118 0.88% 0.5354 0.6250 0.1433 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4%
33 Betsson 129 7.36% 0.5189 0.6056 0.1433 53.5% / 24.0% / 22.5%
34 Betfair Exchange (UK) 118 0.88% 0.5357 0.6250 0.1429 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4%
35 FanDuel 112 7.24% 0.5137 0.5993 0.1429 54.5% / 24.1% / 21.4%
36 Mr Green (SE) 101 9.62% 0.5334 0.6223 0.1428 50.5% / 25.7% / 23.8%
37 BetOnline.ag 118 5.75% 0.5403 0.6290 0.1410 49.2% / 24.6% / 26.3%
38 Paddy Power 119 10.67% 0.5352 0.6228 0.1407 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2%
39 SportsBet 119 7.81% 0.5355 0.6228 0.1402 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2%
40 Sky Bet 69 11.27% 0.5361 0.6234 0.1400 46.4% / 36.2% / 17.4%
41 Unibet (SE) 119 6.48% 0.5324 0.6185 0.1391 51.3% / 24.4% / 24.4%
42 Unibet 118 7.74% 0.5383 0.6250 0.1387 50.0% / 24.6% / 25.4%
43 Everygame 68 8.05% 0.5369 0.6233 0.1386 48.5% / 32.4% / 19.1%
44 LeoVegas (SE) 119 8.83% 0.5332 0.6185 0.1378 51.3% / 24.4% / 24.4%
45 Unibet (UK) 94 6.77% 0.5515 0.6394 0.1375 46.8% / 26.6% / 26.6%
46 DraftKings 119 5.86% 0.5376 0.6228 0.1368 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2%
47 betPARX 120 7.60% 0.5396 0.6249 0.1364 50.0% / 24.2% / 25.8%
48 Grosvenor 120 8.40% 0.5398 0.6249 0.1362 50.0% / 24.2% / 25.8%
49 Unibet (NL) 119 7.48% 0.5382 0.6228 0.1358 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2%
50 1xBet 120 5.79% 0.5316 0.6150 0.1355 51.7% / 26.7% / 21.7%
51 LiveScore Bet 121 11.09% 0.5390 0.6228 0.1345 50.4% / 24.0% / 25.6%
52 Virgin Bet 119 11.18% 0.5427 0.6269 0.1343 49.6% / 24.4% / 26.1%
53 PlayUp 117 9.63% 0.5430 0.6271 0.1341 49.6% / 24.8% / 25.6%
54 GTbets 64 5.64% 0.5262 0.6069 0.1330 51.6% / 31.3% / 17.2%
55 BetUS 108 6.52% 0.5289 0.6099 0.1328 52.8% / 24.1% / 23.1%
56 TABtouch 119 9.65% 0.5406 0.6228 0.1321 50.4% / 24.4% / 25.2%
57 888sport (SE) 91 9.62% 0.5176 0.5951 0.1302 54.9% / 25.3% / 19.8%
58 Matchbook 100 0.89% 0.5559 0.6386 0.1295 47.0% / 27.0% / 26.0%
59 888sport 94 9.64% 0.5171 0.5933 0.1283 55.3% / 24.5% / 20.2%
60 BetRivers 97 8.96% 0.5435 0.6222 0.1265 50.5% / 25.8% / 23.7%
61 Pinnacle 105 3.86% 0.5525 0.6318 0.1256 48.6% / 25.7% / 25.7%
62 William Hill 102 9.43% 0.5517 0.6296 0.1236 49.0% / 26.5% / 24.5%
63 PointsBet (AU) 99 7.77% 0.5505 0.6273 0.1225 49.5% / 24.2% / 26.3%
64 Betway 97 7.43% 0.5580 0.6315 0.1165 48.5% / 27.8% / 23.7%
65 Codere (IT) 57 8.21% 0.5346 0.6033 0.1138 52.6% / 17.5% / 29.8%
66 LowVig.ag 112 5.98% 0.5443 0.6142 0.1137 51.8% / 21.4% / 26.8%
67 betfred_uk 104 9.42% 0.5596 0.6296 0.1112 49.0% / 25.0% / 26.0%
68 Neds 94 10.66% 0.5375 0.6005 0.1049 54.3% / 21.3% / 24.5%
69 Bet Victor 82 8.93% 0.5344 0.5964 0.1039 54.9% / 24.4% / 20.7%
70 Ladbrokes (AU) 75 11.42% 0.5624 0.6130 0.0826 52.0% / 21.3% / 26.7%
71 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 71 10.68% 0.5300 0.5709 0.0716 57.7% / 15.5% / 26.8%
72 betano_uk 38 9.02% 0.5668 0.5637 -0.0054 57.9% / 13.2% / 28.9%
73 Kalshi 31 1.99% 0.6563 0.6493 -0.0107 38.7% / 22.6% / 38.7%

24 hours before commence (early-bird line)

316 settled games scored, 85 bookmakers tracked.

2-way markets (no draw slot)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 Betfair Exchange (EU) 49 4.68% 0.4046 0.4981 0.1877 46.9% / 53.1%
2 Grosvenor 60 6.29% 0.4169 0.4994 0.1652 51.7% / 48.3%
3 Casumo 50 5.12% 0.4189 0.5000 0.1622 50.0% / 50.0%
4 Betfair Exchange (UK) 50 4.85% 0.4209 0.4968 0.1528 46.0% / 54.0%
5 Pinnacle 77 3.79% 0.4288 0.4999 0.1422 49.4% / 50.6%
6 TABtouch 79 5.33% 0.4281 0.4980 0.1404 46.8% / 53.2%
7 Coolbet 54 5.09% 0.4088 0.4753 0.1400 38.9% / 61.1%
8 TAB 74 4.86% 0.4326 0.4967 0.1291 45.9% / 54.1%
9 Unibet 81 5.33% 0.4359 0.4981 0.1249 46.9% / 53.1%
10 Unibet (NL) 71 4.88% 0.4387 0.4951 0.1139 45.1% / 54.9%
11 Ladbrokes (AU) 122 5.07% 0.4525 0.4995 0.0940 48.4% / 51.6%
12 Coral 75 4.99% 0.4523 0.4992 0.0939 48.0% / 52.0%
13 Ladbrokes (UK) 75 4.99% 0.4523 0.4992 0.0939 48.0% / 52.0%
14 Betfair Exchange (AU) 114 34.45% 0.4545 0.4998 0.0908 50.9% / 49.1%
15 Bet Right 144 4.93% 0.4544 0.4991 0.0895 47.9% / 52.1%
16 PlayUp 125 5.17% 0.4556 0.5000 0.0887 50.4% / 49.6%
17 Neds 112 5.07% 0.4564 0.4986 0.0845 47.3% / 52.7%
18 PointsBet (AU) 125 4.69% 0.4582 0.4997 0.0830 51.2% / 48.8%
19 Betr (AU) 145 5.34% 0.4590 0.4988 0.0799 47.6% / 52.4%
20 Betsson 91 5.92% 0.4579 0.4898 0.0651 42.9% / 57.1%
21 NordicBet 91 5.92% 0.4579 0.4898 0.0651 42.9% / 57.1%
22 Marathon Bet 69 5.84% 0.4628 0.4949 0.0648 44.9% / 55.1%
23 Dabble (AU) 33 5.26% 0.4480 0.4775 0.0617 39.4% / 60.6%
24 Paddy Power 136 6.02% 0.4680 0.4973 0.0588 46.3% / 53.7%
25 Novig 116 2.74% 0.4698 0.4946 0.0502 44.8% / 55.2%
26 Unibet (FR) 112 9.98% 0.4745 0.4994 0.0498 48.2% / 51.8%
27 SportsBet 201 5.44% 0.4771 0.5000 0.0457 49.8% / 50.2%
28 Odds.School (IQM) 201 0.4775 0.4997 0.0444 48.8% / 51.2%
29 Odds.School (Mean) 201 0.4776 0.4997 0.0443 48.8% / 51.2%
30 Odds.School (Median) 201 0.4776 0.4997 0.0443 48.8% / 51.2%
31 Odds.School (Margin-weighted) 201 0.4776 0.4997 0.0441 48.8% / 51.2%
32 Odds.School (Recency-weighted) 201 0.4779 0.4997 0.0436 48.8% / 51.2%
33 DraftKings 181 4.53% 0.4786 0.4996 0.0420 48.6% / 51.4%
34 Caesars 97 4.34% 0.4799 0.4957 0.0318 45.4% / 54.6%
35 BetRivers 80 5.42% 0.4825 0.4972 0.0294 46.3% / 53.8%
36 BetOnline.ag 107 3.10% 0.4852 0.4989 0.0276 47.7% / 52.3%
37 888sport 117 5.52% 0.4838 0.4938 0.0203 44.4% / 55.6%
38 Unibet (UK) 126 5.00% 0.4884 0.4955 0.0142 45.2% / 54.8%
39 Hard Rock Bet 145 4.60% 0.4896 0.4960 0.0128 45.5% / 54.5%
40 Polymarket 123 1.27% 0.4879 0.4926 0.0094 43.9% / 56.1%
41 Bet Victor 89 6.65% 0.4878 0.4924 0.0093 43.8% / 56.2%
42 GTbets 97 2.61% 0.4892 0.4910 0.0037 43.3% / 56.7%
43 Winamax (DE) 89 5.83% 0.4964 0.4969 0.0011 46.1% / 53.9%
44 Fliff 140 5.91% 0.4946 0.4950 0.0008 45.0% / 55.0%
45 LiveScore Bet 38 5.20% 0.4874 0.4875 0.0003 42.1% / 57.9%
46 Virgin Bet 38 5.20% 0.4874 0.4875 0.0003 42.1% / 57.9%
47 Mr Green (SE) 111 5.51% 0.4915 0.4909 -0.0012 43.2% / 56.8%
48 888sport (SE) 111 5.51% 0.4915 0.4909 -0.0012 43.2% / 56.8%
49 Winamax (FR) 92 10.60% 0.4988 0.4979 -0.0018 46.7% / 53.3%
50 Kalshi 94 1.19% 0.4985 0.4964 -0.0043 45.7% / 54.3%
51 FanDuel 181 4.47% 0.5016 0.4988 -0.0057 47.5% / 52.5%
52 Smarkets 95 9.45% 0.5006 0.4973 -0.0066 46.3% / 53.7%
53 LeoVegas (SE) 57 4.99% 0.4848 0.4814 -0.0072 40.4% / 59.6%
54 Betclic (FR) 95 6.01% 0.5026 0.4986 -0.0080 47.4% / 52.6%
55 Unibet (SE) 57 4.71% 0.4854 0.4814 -0.0083 40.4% / 59.6%
56 theScore Bet 145 5.19% 0.5016 0.4960 -0.0113 45.5% / 54.5%
57 ATG (SE) 57 4.92% 0.4800 0.4740 -0.0126 38.6% / 61.4%
58 BetMGM 85 4.64% 0.4950 0.4883 -0.0138 42.4% / 57.6%
59 ReBet 172 7.29% 0.5050 0.4976 -0.0149 46.5% / 53.5%
60 1xBet 100 2.29% 0.5027 0.4950 -0.0156 45.0% / 55.0%
61 Fanatics 164 4.36% 0.5050 0.4964 -0.0173 45.7% / 54.3%
62 Bally Bet 59 4.91% 0.4871 0.4757 -0.0239 39.0% / 61.0%
63 betPARX 59 4.91% 0.4871 0.4757 -0.0239 39.0% / 61.0%
64 BetUS 50 3.14% 0.4954 0.4800 -0.0321 40.0% / 60.0%
65 Bovada 82 4.26% 0.4944 0.4759 -0.0389 39.0% / 61.0%
66 LowVig.ag 86 2.55% 0.5155 0.4903 -0.0514 43.0% / 57.0%
67 William Hill 58 5.27% 0.5154 0.4851 -0.0623 41.4% / 58.6%
68 ProphetX 67 6.98% 0.5045 0.4678 -0.0784 37.3% / 62.7%
69 LeoVegas 30 7.92% 0.4793 0.4444 -0.0784 33.3% / 66.7%
70 Svenska Spel 47 4.60% 0.4953 0.4491 -0.1030 34.0% / 66.0%
71 BoyleSports 42 6.48% 0.5021 0.4082 -0.2302 28.6% / 71.4%
72 MyBookie.ag 30 4.33% 0.5540 0.3578 -0.5486 23.3% / 76.7%

3-way markets (home / away / draw)

# Bookmaker Games Margin Brier Base-rate Brier BSS Base rate
1 BetAnything 39 6.17% 0.4771 0.5865 0.1864 46.2% / 43.6% / 10.3%
2 Betr (AU) 35 6.35% 0.4984 0.6106 0.1837 40.0% / 45.7% / 14.3%
3 Unibet (FR) 88 13.11% 0.5200 0.6294 0.1739 46.6% / 34.1% / 19.3%
4 Winamax (DE) 72 11.13% 0.5333 0.6420 0.1693 44.4% / 33.3% / 22.2%
5 Winamax (FR) 71 15.06% 0.5301 0.6380 0.1690 45.1% / 33.8% / 21.1%
6 LeoVegas 111 8.27% 0.5157 0.6178 0.1652 50.5% / 29.7% / 19.8%
7 Tipico (DE) 104 9.08% 0.5298 0.6274 0.1556 48.1% / 31.7% / 20.2%
8 Svenska Spel 95 5.78% 0.5432 0.6373 0.1478 45.3% / 33.7% / 21.1%
9 ATG (SE) 95 6.08% 0.5432 0.6373 0.1477 45.3% / 33.7% / 21.1%
10 Betclic (FR) 52 10.76% 0.5427 0.6361 0.1468 42.3% / 38.5% / 19.2%
11 Casumo 94 7.83% 0.5445 0.6367 0.1448 45.7% / 33.0% / 21.3%
12 Odds.School (Recency-weighted) 115 0.5428 0.6327 0.1421 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6%
13 BetMGM 64 7.38% 0.5379 0.6270 0.1420 46.9% / 34.4% / 18.8%
14 Bovada 98 6.93% 0.5509 0.6416 0.1414 45.9% / 29.6% / 24.5%
15 Odds.School (IQM) 115 0.5442 0.6327 0.1399 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6%
16 Odds.School (Mean) 115 0.5443 0.6327 0.1398 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6%
17 Odds.School (Margin-weighted) 115 0.5443 0.6327 0.1398 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6%
18 Coral 63 10.82% 0.5421 0.6299 0.1394 46.0% / 34.9% / 19.0%
19 Odds.School (Median) 115 0.5446 0.6327 0.1393 47.8% / 29.6% / 22.6%
20 Ladbrokes (UK) 63 10.90% 0.5424 0.6299 0.1389 46.0% / 34.9% / 19.0%
21 PMU (FR) 78 13.05% 0.5488 0.6368 0.1381 41.0% / 39.7% / 19.2%
22 Betfair Exchange (EU) 106 2.19% 0.5552 0.6436 0.1375 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
23 Betfair Exchange (UK) 106 2.18% 0.5553 0.6436 0.1373 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
24 BoyleSports 94 12.79% 0.5548 0.6431 0.1372 45.7% / 28.7% / 25.5%
25 Unibet (SE) 105 6.59% 0.5536 0.6415 0.1370 45.7% / 30.5% / 23.8%
26 Betfair Exchange (AU) 106 2.29% 0.5555 0.6436 0.1370 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
27 LeoVegas (SE) 105 8.53% 0.5541 0.6415 0.1361 45.7% / 30.5% / 23.8%
28 Fanatics 39 7.10% 0.5535 0.6391 0.1338 35.9% / 43.6% / 20.5%
29 Bet Right 70 8.66% 0.5381 0.6208 0.1333 47.1% / 35.7% / 17.1%
30 Marathon Bet 95 7.31% 0.5520 0.6369 0.1333 47.4% / 27.4% / 25.3%
31 betPARX 106 7.81% 0.5580 0.6436 0.1330 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
32 Unibet (NL) 106 7.59% 0.5581 0.6436 0.1329 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
33 Grosvenor 106 8.34% 0.5582 0.6436 0.1328 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
34 Smarkets 71 3.20% 0.5665 0.6530 0.1326 39.4% / 36.6% / 23.9%
35 Unibet 106 7.82% 0.5583 0.6436 0.1325 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
36 TABtouch 106 9.62% 0.5585 0.6436 0.1324 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
37 Paddy Power 107 9.72% 0.5569 0.6418 0.1323 45.8% / 29.9% / 24.3%
38 Virgin Bet 106 11.14% 0.5587 0.6436 0.1320 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
39 LiveScore Bet 106 11.08% 0.5587 0.6436 0.1320 45.3% / 30.2% / 24.5%
40 SportsBet 107 7.67% 0.5572 0.6418 0.1318 45.8% / 29.9% / 24.3%
41 FanDuel 97 7.93% 0.5426 0.6249 0.1317 49.5% / 28.9% / 21.6%
42 Betsson 109 7.13% 0.5439 0.6252 0.1301 49.5% / 28.4% / 22.0%
43 BetOnline.ag 101 6.91% 0.5621 0.6460 0.1299 44.6% / 30.7% / 24.8%
44 NordicBet 109 7.13% 0.5441 0.6252 0.1297 49.5% / 28.4% / 22.0%
45 1xBet 104 5.91% 0.5533 0.6344 0.1279 47.1% / 30.8% / 22.1%
46 DraftKings 102 7.10% 0.5652 0.6469 0.1262 44.1% / 31.4% / 24.5%
47 888sport 79 9.59% 0.5563 0.6364 0.1259 46.8% / 30.4% / 22.8%
48 PlayUp 103 10.01% 0.5599 0.6391 0.1239 46.6% / 29.1% / 24.3%
49 Sky Bet 63 11.39% 0.5528 0.6284 0.1203 42.9% / 39.7% / 17.5%
50 Coolbet 74 5.22% 0.5426 0.6165 0.1198 51.4% / 27.0% / 21.6%
51 Neds 83 10.71% 0.5480 0.6219 0.1188 50.6% / 25.3% / 24.1%
52 Mr Green (SE) 87 9.58% 0.5720 0.6490 0.1186 43.7% / 31.0% / 25.3%
53 PointsBet (AU) 84 7.60% 0.5659 0.6409 0.1170 46.4% / 27.4% / 26.2%
54 888sport (SE) 78 9.57% 0.5594 0.6328 0.1160 47.4% / 30.8% / 21.8%
55 Unibet (UK) 83 6.74% 0.5685 0.6428 0.1156 45.8% / 28.9% / 25.3%
56 BetUS 86 7.26% 0.5502 0.6217 0.1149 50.0% / 29.1% / 20.9%
57 Everygame 54 10.30% 0.5523 0.6228 0.1131 48.1% / 33.3% / 18.5%
58 Pinnacle 89 5.32% 0.5701 0.6413 0.1111 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7%
59 William Hill 87 9.50% 0.5715 0.6421 0.1099 46.0% / 28.7% / 25.3%
60 Codere (IT) 49 9.19% 0.5592 0.6281 0.1097 49.0% / 22.4% / 28.6%
61 BetRivers 89 8.99% 0.5719 0.6413 0.1083 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7%
62 Matchbook 65 1.78% 0.5740 0.6433 0.1077 44.6% / 32.3% / 23.1%
63 Betway 83 7.34% 0.5717 0.6399 0.1065 45.8% / 31.3% / 22.9%
64 betfred_uk 89 9.28% 0.5731 0.6413 0.1063 46.1% / 29.2% / 24.7%
65 LowVig.ag 96 7.14% 0.5696 0.6348 0.1026 47.9% / 26.0% / 26.0%
66 GTbets 59 5.90% 0.5578 0.6194 0.0993 47.5% / 35.6% / 16.9%
67 Bet Victor 70 9.08% 0.5578 0.6139 0.0914 51.4% / 28.6% / 20.0%
68 Ladbrokes (AU) 64 11.61% 0.5629 0.6157 0.0858 51.6% / 21.9% / 26.6%
69 NetBet (FR) 31 12.47% 0.5559 0.6035 0.0789 32.3% / 51.6% / 16.1%
70 Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 64 7.30% 0.5828 0.6157 0.0534 51.6% / 21.9% / 26.6%
71 betano_uk 30 8.87% 0.5768 0.5978 0.0351 53.3% / 16.7% / 30.0%