Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.
Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.
504 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PMU (FR) | 40 | 11.22% | 0.4228 | 0.4688 | 0.0981 | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| 2 | Fliff | 202 | 5.52% | 0.4682 | 0.4996 | 0.0627 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 3 | DraftKings | 242 | 4.70% | 0.4691 | 0.4995 | 0.0609 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 4 | Pinnacle | 281 | 2.79% | 0.4696 | 0.4992 | 0.0593 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 5 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 246 | 0.76% | 0.4697 | 0.4984 | 0.0576 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 6 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 238 | 0.77% | 0.4702 | 0.4987 | 0.0571 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 7 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 262 | 4.98% | 0.4704 | 0.4986 | 0.0565 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 8 | NordicBet | 251 | 5.65% | 0.4709 | 0.4990 | 0.0564 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 9 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 255 | 0.82% | 0.4710 | 0.4987 | 0.0555 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 10 | Betsson | 250 | 5.65% | 0.4719 | 0.4988 | 0.0541 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 11 | Kalshi | 217 | 1.43% | 0.4724 | 0.4991 | 0.0537 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 12 | SportsBet | 260 | 5.26% | 0.4715 | 0.4981 | 0.0534 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 13 | Neds | 262 | 4.98% | 0.4722 | 0.4986 | 0.0528 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 14 | ReBet | 237 | 4.33% | 0.4734 | 0.4993 | 0.0519 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 15 | BetMGM | 227 | 4.66% | 0.4731 | 0.4988 | 0.0517 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 16 | Fanatics | 237 | 4.57% | 0.4732 | 0.4989 | 0.0516 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 17 | Paddy Power | 248 | 6.88% | 0.4728 | 0.4984 | 0.0514 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 18 | MyBookie.ag | 237 | 4.24% | 0.4738 | 0.4993 | 0.0511 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 19 | FanDuel | 243 | 4.20% | 0.4744 | 0.4996 | 0.0503 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 20 | BetUS | 250 | 2.98% | 0.4741 | 0.4992 | 0.0503 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 21 | Odds.School (Median) | 267 | — | 0.4745 | 0.4997 | 0.0503 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 22 | Odds.School (Mean) | 267 | — | 0.4747 | 0.4997 | 0.0499 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 23 | Odds.School (IQM) | 267 | — | 0.4748 | 0.4997 | 0.0498 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 24 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 267 | — | 0.4748 | 0.4997 | 0.0498 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 25 | BetOnline.ag | 250 | 2.74% | 0.4733 | 0.4980 | 0.0496 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 26 | Unibet (UK) | 225 | 4.33% | 0.4743 | 0.4988 | 0.0492 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 27 | Unibet | 258 | 5.04% | 0.4751 | 0.4995 | 0.0489 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 28 | TAB | 256 | 4.50% | 0.4741 | 0.4985 | 0.0489 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 29 | Novig | 226 | 1.01% | 0.4739 | 0.4981 | 0.0485 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 30 | Hard Rock Bet | 241 | 4.67% | 0.4756 | 0.4998 | 0.0484 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 31 | BetRivers | 245 | 5.52% | 0.4749 | 0.4990 | 0.0483 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 32 | TABtouch | 251 | 5.36% | 0.4746 | 0.4987 | 0.0482 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 33 | LowVig.ag | 235 | 2.66% | 0.4740 | 0.4980 | 0.0481 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 34 | Betway | 228 | 5.28% | 0.4747 | 0.4986 | 0.0479 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 35 | Bet Victor | 196 | 5.97% | 0.4750 | 0.4987 | 0.0476 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 36 | 888sport | 226 | 5.61% | 0.4745 | 0.4981 | 0.0474 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 37 | 888sport (SE) | 226 | 5.61% | 0.4745 | 0.4981 | 0.0474 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 38 | theScore Bet | 240 | 3.83% | 0.4755 | 0.4991 | 0.0473 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 39 | Mr Green (SE) | 226 | 5.61% | 0.4746 | 0.4981 | 0.0471 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 40 | Bovada | 225 | 4.40% | 0.4754 | 0.4988 | 0.0469 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 41 | betPARX | 238 | 4.87% | 0.4761 | 0.4994 | 0.0468 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 42 | Bally Bet | 238 | 4.94% | 0.4762 | 0.4994 | 0.0466 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 43 | Unibet (NL) | 252 | 4.52% | 0.4760 | 0.4992 | 0.0464 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 44 | BetOpenly | 157 | 2.41% | 0.4745 | 0.4975 | 0.0462 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 45 | Polymarket | 232 | 1.07% | 0.4752 | 0.4982 | 0.0462 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 46 | Svenska Spel | 225 | 3.65% | 0.4748 | 0.4978 | 0.0461 | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| 47 | ProphetX | 229 | 0.94% | 0.4755 | 0.4984 | 0.0459 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 48 | ATG (SE) | 225 | 4.84% | 0.4756 | 0.4983 | 0.0456 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 49 | GTbets | 234 | 2.70% | 0.4751 | 0.4977 | 0.0453 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 50 | BetAnything | 238 | 2.86% | 0.4768 | 0.4991 | 0.0448 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 51 | Caesars | 235 | 4.31% | 0.4772 | 0.4993 | 0.0442 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 52 | LeoVegas | 240 | 5.20% | 0.4774 | 0.4983 | 0.0418 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 53 | LeoVegas (SE) | 243 | 5.10% | 0.4787 | 0.4993 | 0.0412 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 54 | Unibet (SE) | 242 | 4.49% | 0.4796 | 0.4995 | 0.0397 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 55 | Dabble (AU) | 222 | 5.35% | 0.4802 | 0.4998 | 0.0394 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 56 | Coral | 215 | 4.77% | 0.4813 | 0.4997 | 0.0369 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 57 | PointsBet (AU) | 232 | 4.54% | 0.4816 | 0.5000 | 0.0368 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 58 | Unibet (FR) | 191 | 6.22% | 0.4814 | 0.4997 | 0.0365 | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| 59 | PlayUp | 227 | 5.11% | 0.4819 | 0.4999 | 0.0360 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 60 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 214 | 4.75% | 0.4824 | 0.4998 | 0.0348 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 61 | Tipico (DE) | 206 | 6.42% | 0.4830 | 0.5000 | 0.0340 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 62 | 1xBet | 185 | 2.17% | 0.4836 | 0.5000 | 0.0328 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 63 | Marathon Bet | 199 | 5.41% | 0.4838 | 0.5000 | 0.0324 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 64 | Smarkets | 200 | 2.28% | 0.4838 | 0.4996 | 0.0316 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 65 | William Hill | 199 | 5.35% | 0.4840 | 0.4994 | 0.0308 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 66 | Winamax (FR) | 192 | 6.92% | 0.4851 | 0.4998 | 0.0293 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 67 | Winamax (DE) | 192 | 5.73% | 0.4851 | 0.4998 | 0.0293 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 68 | Casumo | 211 | 4.95% | 0.4856 | 0.4999 | 0.0287 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 69 | Coolbet | 227 | 5.07% | 0.4859 | 0.4999 | 0.0281 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 70 | Grosvenor | 210 | 5.18% | 0.4860 | 0.5000 | 0.0280 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 71 | BoyleSports | 132 | 6.14% | 0.4796 | 0.4927 | 0.0264 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 72 | LiveScore Bet | 193 | 5.42% | 0.4871 | 0.4997 | 0.0252 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 73 | Betr (AU) | 251 | 5.34% | 0.4878 | 0.4998 | 0.0240 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 74 | Bet Right | 245 | 4.84% | 0.4874 | 0.4993 | 0.0239 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 75 | Everygame | 193 | 2.74% | 0.4885 | 0.4999 | 0.0228 | 49.2% / 50.8% |
| 76 | Virgin Bet | 192 | 5.40% | 0.4889 | 0.4998 | 0.0218 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 77 | Matchbook | 190 | 2.00% | 0.4860 | 0.4955 | 0.0192 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 78 | Betclic (FR) | 74 | 8.03% | 0.4987 | 0.4985 | -0.0003 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | 151 | 2.98% | 0.5483 | 0.6154 | 0.1090 | 50.3% / 31.1% / 18.5% |
| 2 | Virgin Bet | 183 | 10.42% | 0.5466 | 0.6113 | 0.1058 | 51.4% / 30.1% / 18.6% |
| 3 | Codere (IT) | 119 | 8.23% | 0.5607 | 0.6258 | 0.1041 | 47.9% / 32.8% / 19.3% |
| 4 | PMU (FR) | 153 | 12.12% | 0.5322 | 0.5933 | 0.1029 | 54.9% / 26.8% / 18.3% |
| 5 | Casumo | 169 | 7.32% | 0.5393 | 0.6008 | 0.1023 | 53.3% / 29.0% / 17.8% |
| 6 | LiveScore Bet | 182 | 10.45% | 0.5509 | 0.6127 | 0.1009 | 51.1% / 30.2% / 18.7% |
| 7 | Svenska Spel | 175 | 5.29% | 0.5419 | 0.6025 | 0.1006 | 53.1% / 28.6% / 18.3% |
| 8 | ATG (SE) | 174 | 4.89% | 0.5428 | 0.6028 | 0.0996 | 52.9% / 29.3% / 17.8% |
| 9 | Unibet | 196 | 7.33% | 0.5513 | 0.6122 | 0.0995 | 51.0% / 30.6% / 18.4% |
| 10 | Paddy Power | 184 | 10.79% | 0.5588 | 0.6202 | 0.0990 | 50.0% / 29.9% / 20.1% |
| 11 | Coral | 183 | 10.48% | 0.5619 | 0.6236 | 0.0989 | 49.2% / 30.6% / 20.2% |
| 12 | Tipico (DE) | 159 | 8.89% | 0.5567 | 0.6172 | 0.0980 | 49.1% / 33.3% / 17.6% |
| 13 | Coolbet | 197 | 4.83% | 0.5576 | 0.6175 | 0.0970 | 50.3% / 30.5% / 19.3% |
| 14 | LeoVegas | 170 | 9.76% | 0.5562 | 0.6150 | 0.0956 | 51.2% / 28.8% / 20.0% |
| 15 | NordicBet | 225 | 7.45% | 0.5618 | 0.6205 | 0.0947 | 49.3% / 31.6% / 19.1% |
| 16 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 237 | — | 0.5627 | 0.6216 | 0.0947 | 48.9% / 32.1% / 19.0% |
| 17 | Odds.School (Mean) | 237 | — | 0.5628 | 0.6216 | 0.0945 | 48.9% / 32.1% / 19.0% |
| 18 | Odds.School (IQM) | 237 | — | 0.5630 | 0.6216 | 0.0942 | 48.9% / 32.1% / 19.0% |
| 19 | Odds.School (Median) | 237 | — | 0.5631 | 0.6216 | 0.0940 | 48.9% / 32.1% / 19.0% |
| 20 | Sky Bet | 132 | 11.63% | 0.5691 | 0.6264 | 0.0915 | 49.2% / 28.8% / 22.0% |
| 21 | Unibet (FR) | 179 | 12.44% | 0.5638 | 0.6201 | 0.0908 | 50.3% / 29.1% / 20.7% |
| 22 | Mr Green (SE) | 189 | 9.66% | 0.5634 | 0.6194 | 0.0905 | 49.2% / 32.3% / 18.5% |
| 23 | Unibet (NL) | 179 | 6.67% | 0.5479 | 0.6020 | 0.0899 | 53.1% / 29.1% / 17.9% |
| 24 | Bovada | 183 | 7.29% | 0.5654 | 0.6211 | 0.0897 | 50.3% / 28.4% / 21.3% |
| 25 | SportsBet | 179 | 9.38% | 0.5653 | 0.6201 | 0.0883 | 50.3% / 29.1% / 20.7% |
| 26 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 166 | 0.83% | 0.5647 | 0.6193 | 0.0881 | 50.6% / 28.3% / 21.1% |
| 27 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 166 | 0.88% | 0.5648 | 0.6193 | 0.0880 | 50.6% / 28.3% / 21.1% |
| 28 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 166 | 0.84% | 0.5648 | 0.6193 | 0.0880 | 50.6% / 28.3% / 21.1% |
| 29 | Winamax (FR) | 179 | 12.64% | 0.5651 | 0.6195 | 0.0878 | 48.6% / 33.5% / 17.9% |
| 30 | Betclic (FR) | 143 | 10.27% | 0.5650 | 0.6193 | 0.0877 | 49.0% / 32.9% / 18.2% |
| 31 | 1xBet | 179 | 5.30% | 0.5640 | 0.6180 | 0.0874 | 50.3% / 30.2% / 19.6% |
| 32 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 174 | 10.59% | 0.5671 | 0.6212 | 0.0871 | 49.4% / 31.0% / 19.5% |
| 33 | LeoVegas (SE) | 180 | 8.24% | 0.5595 | 0.6128 | 0.0869 | 51.7% / 28.3% / 20.0% |
| 34 | Grosvenor | 174 | 7.70% | 0.5575 | 0.6103 | 0.0866 | 51.1% / 31.0% / 17.8% |
| 35 | betfred_uk | 200 | 9.28% | 0.5797 | 0.6346 | 0.0864 | 47.0% / 31.0% / 22.0% |
| 36 | BetAnything | 117 | 6.76% | 0.5809 | 0.6358 | 0.0864 | 46.2% / 32.5% / 21.4% |
| 37 | Betr (AU) | 116 | 8.54% | 0.5575 | 0.6101 | 0.0863 | 50.0% / 33.6% / 16.4% |
| 38 | Winamax (DE) | 179 | 9.25% | 0.5683 | 0.6211 | 0.0850 | 48.0% / 34.1% / 17.9% |
| 39 | Fanatics | 83 | 6.71% | 0.5663 | 0.6184 | 0.0842 | 50.6% / 28.9% / 20.5% |
| 40 | Betsson | 206 | 7.40% | 0.5739 | 0.6256 | 0.0827 | 47.6% / 33.5% / 18.9% |
| 41 | Pinnacle | 205 | 4.13% | 0.5775 | 0.6292 | 0.0823 | 48.3% / 30.2% / 21.5% |
| 42 | Marathon Bet | 205 | 7.08% | 0.5553 | 0.6049 | 0.0821 | 51.2% / 32.7% / 16.1% |
| 43 | DraftKings | 170 | 5.99% | 0.5881 | 0.6406 | 0.0819 | 45.9% / 30.6% / 23.5% |
| 44 | 888sport | 167 | 9.76% | 0.5676 | 0.6182 | 0.0818 | 49.1% / 32.9% / 18.0% |
| 45 | PointsBet (AU) | 161 | 7.82% | 0.5769 | 0.6281 | 0.0815 | 48.4% / 30.4% / 21.1% |
| 46 | 888sport (SE) | 165 | 9.79% | 0.5695 | 0.6188 | 0.0797 | 48.5% / 33.9% / 17.6% |
| 47 | Bet Victor | 138 | 8.22% | 0.5751 | 0.6234 | 0.0775 | 49.3% / 30.4% / 20.3% |
| 48 | Unibet (UK) | 179 | 6.89% | 0.5748 | 0.6227 | 0.0769 | 48.6% / 32.4% / 19.0% |
| 49 | William Hill | 181 | 9.35% | 0.5739 | 0.6206 | 0.0752 | 50.3% / 28.7% / 21.0% |
| 50 | Matchbook | 137 | 0.88% | 0.5888 | 0.6366 | 0.0750 | 46.7% / 30.7% / 22.6% |
| 51 | PlayUp | 156 | 9.61% | 0.5751 | 0.6197 | 0.0720 | 50.0% / 30.1% / 19.9% |
| 52 | BetOnline.ag | 157 | 5.65% | 0.5739 | 0.6182 | 0.0716 | 50.3% / 29.9% / 19.7% |
| 53 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 138 | 17.59% | 0.5752 | 0.6191 | 0.0708 | 50.0% / 30.4% / 19.6% |
| 54 | Unibet (SE) | 145 | 5.93% | 0.5774 | 0.6214 | 0.0708 | 49.7% / 30.3% / 20.0% |
| 55 | LowVig.ag | 166 | 5.68% | 0.5739 | 0.6173 | 0.0703 | 50.6% / 29.5% / 19.9% |
| 56 | TABtouch | 149 | 8.88% | 0.5759 | 0.6189 | 0.0694 | 50.3% / 29.5% / 20.1% |
| 57 | BetUS | 127 | 6.63% | 0.5712 | 0.6128 | 0.0679 | 51.2% / 29.9% / 18.9% |
| 58 | BetMGM | 142 | 7.75% | 0.5950 | 0.6383 | 0.0678 | 46.5% / 30.3% / 23.2% |
| 59 | betPARX | 128 | 7.69% | 0.5776 | 0.6195 | 0.0676 | 50.8% / 27.3% / 21.9% |
| 60 | theScore Bet | 77 | 7.15% | 0.5642 | 0.6045 | 0.0667 | 51.9% / 31.2% / 16.9% |
| 61 | NetBet (FR) | 62 | 12.41% | 0.5533 | 0.5916 | 0.0646 | 53.2% / 32.3% / 14.5% |
| 62 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 161 | 10.65% | 0.5826 | 0.6227 | 0.0645 | 50.3% / 26.7% / 23.0% |
| 63 | Betway | 158 | 7.49% | 0.5765 | 0.6162 | 0.0643 | 50.0% / 31.6% / 18.4% |
| 64 | Kalshi | 92 | 1.97% | 0.5918 | 0.6323 | 0.0640 | 45.7% / 34.8% / 19.6% |
| 65 | Everygame | 125 | 8.24% | 0.5768 | 0.6149 | 0.0619 | 51.2% / 28.8% / 20.0% |
| 66 | Neds | 159 | 10.75% | 0.5893 | 0.6280 | 0.0617 | 49.1% / 28.3% / 22.6% |
| 67 | BoyleSports | 148 | 12.06% | 0.6100 | 0.6475 | 0.0579 | 43.2% / 33.1% / 23.6% |
| 68 | BetRivers | 140 | 8.24% | 0.5824 | 0.6170 | 0.0562 | 50.7% / 29.3% / 20.0% |
| 69 | GTbets | 93 | 5.61% | 0.5768 | 0.6096 | 0.0537 | 52.7% / 25.8% / 21.5% |
| 70 | FanDuel | 117 | 6.98% | 0.5972 | 0.6298 | 0.0518 | 48.7% / 28.2% / 23.1% |
| 71 | Bet Right | 80 | 8.49% | 0.5911 | 0.6103 | 0.0314 | 52.5% / 26.3% / 21.3% |
380 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 32 | 7.17% | 0.3815 | 0.4980 | 0.2340 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 2 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 39 | 6.09% | 0.3945 | 0.4970 | 0.2063 | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| 3 | MyBookie.ag | 37 | 4.93% | 0.4121 | 0.4996 | 0.1752 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 4 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 46 | 6.15% | 0.4251 | 0.4962 | 0.1434 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 5 | BoyleSports | 53 | 6.37% | 0.4423 | 0.4998 | 0.1151 | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| 6 | Betsson | 85 | 6.01% | 0.4455 | 0.4994 | 0.1079 | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| 7 | Coolbet | 61 | 5.10% | 0.4480 | 0.4966 | 0.0979 | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| 8 | Pinnacle | 103 | 3.84% | 0.4550 | 0.4996 | 0.0893 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 9 | NordicBet | 94 | 5.95% | 0.4568 | 0.4991 | 0.0847 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 10 | Unibet (NL) | 95 | 4.61% | 0.4556 | 0.4973 | 0.0838 | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| 11 | Svenska Spel | 72 | 4.33% | 0.4458 | 0.4861 | 0.0830 | 58.3% / 41.7% |
| 12 | ProphetX | 56 | 2.40% | 0.4496 | 0.4898 | 0.0822 | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| 13 | Bally Bet | 88 | 4.74% | 0.4570 | 0.4977 | 0.0817 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 14 | betPARX | 88 | 4.74% | 0.4570 | 0.4977 | 0.0817 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 15 | TABtouch | 92 | 5.28% | 0.4539 | 0.4941 | 0.0814 | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| 16 | ATG (SE) | 73 | 4.75% | 0.4506 | 0.4886 | 0.0778 | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| 17 | Hard Rock Bet | 71 | 4.51% | 0.4591 | 0.4975 | 0.0773 | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| 18 | Unibet | 101 | 5.05% | 0.4618 | 0.4996 | 0.0757 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 19 | BetAnything | 42 | 3.88% | 0.4651 | 0.5000 | 0.0698 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 20 | BetRivers | 95 | 5.33% | 0.4648 | 0.4973 | 0.0653 | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| 21 | LeoVegas | 83 | 5.02% | 0.4623 | 0.4941 | 0.0644 | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| 22 | Unibet (SE) | 88 | 4.52% | 0.4664 | 0.4977 | 0.0629 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 23 | LeoVegas (SE) | 88 | 4.90% | 0.4664 | 0.4977 | 0.0629 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 24 | theScore Bet | 133 | 4.09% | 0.4720 | 0.4997 | 0.0555 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 25 | Bovada | 103 | 4.40% | 0.4716 | 0.4988 | 0.0546 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 26 | Paddy Power | 179 | 5.94% | 0.4739 | 0.4999 | 0.0520 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 27 | SportsBet | 187 | 5.62% | 0.4748 | 0.4999 | 0.0501 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 28 | Odds.School (Mean) | 192 | — | 0.4753 | 0.4995 | 0.0485 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 29 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 192 | — | 0.4753 | 0.4995 | 0.0484 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 30 | Odds.School (IQM) | 192 | — | 0.4756 | 0.4995 | 0.0479 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 31 | Odds.School (Median) | 192 | — | 0.4756 | 0.4995 | 0.0479 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 32 | Fliff | 151 | 5.50% | 0.4760 | 0.4998 | 0.0476 | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| 33 | Bet Victor | 162 | 6.65% | 0.4751 | 0.4988 | 0.0475 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 34 | 888sport | 160 | 5.51% | 0.4762 | 0.4997 | 0.0469 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 35 | FanDuel | 180 | 4.16% | 0.4775 | 0.4998 | 0.0445 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 36 | Mr Green (SE) | 159 | 5.51% | 0.4777 | 0.4998 | 0.0442 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 37 | 888sport (SE) | 159 | 5.51% | 0.4777 | 0.4998 | 0.0442 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 38 | Unibet (UK) | 164 | 5.19% | 0.4777 | 0.4997 | 0.0440 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 39 | Polymarket | 168 | 1.32% | 0.4781 | 0.4997 | 0.0433 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 40 | Kalshi | 149 | 1.16% | 0.4779 | 0.4994 | 0.0430 | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| 41 | TAB | 83 | 4.54% | 0.4785 | 0.4999 | 0.0430 | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| 42 | ReBet | 176 | 7.61% | 0.4788 | 0.4999 | 0.0423 | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| 43 | DraftKings | 154 | 4.64% | 0.4776 | 0.4987 | 0.0421 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 44 | Fanatics | 173 | 4.58% | 0.4792 | 0.5000 | 0.0416 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 45 | Marathon Bet | 69 | 5.60% | 0.4792 | 0.4999 | 0.0413 | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| 46 | Novig | 135 | 1.80% | 0.4795 | 0.5000 | 0.0409 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 47 | GTbets | 137 | 2.59% | 0.4815 | 0.5000 | 0.0369 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 48 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 119 | 5.07% | 0.4772 | 0.4940 | 0.0342 | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| 49 | Neds | 119 | 5.07% | 0.4772 | 0.4940 | 0.0342 | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| 50 | Betr (AU) | 176 | 5.33% | 0.4831 | 0.4999 | 0.0336 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 51 | Caesars | 146 | 4.31% | 0.4825 | 0.4992 | 0.0334 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 52 | Bet Right | 177 | 4.81% | 0.4833 | 0.4999 | 0.0331 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 53 | 1xBet | 145 | 2.17% | 0.4847 | 0.5000 | 0.0306 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 54 | Casumo | 72 | 4.92% | 0.4824 | 0.4965 | 0.0284 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 55 | Grosvenor | 72 | 4.95% | 0.4824 | 0.4965 | 0.0284 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 56 | Unibet (FR) | 146 | 9.97% | 0.4863 | 0.4985 | 0.0245 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| 57 | BetMGM | 106 | 4.69% | 0.4794 | 0.4913 | 0.0243 | 43.4% / 56.6% |
| 58 | PlayUp | 169 | 5.08% | 0.4884 | 0.5000 | 0.0232 | 49.7% / 50.3% |
| 59 | LowVig.ag | 142 | 2.57% | 0.4890 | 0.4991 | 0.0202 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 60 | Smarkets | 151 | 8.97% | 0.4930 | 0.5000 | 0.0139 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 61 | PointsBet (AU) | 167 | 4.47% | 0.4934 | 0.4998 | 0.0129 | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| 62 | Winamax (DE) | 139 | 5.71% | 0.4939 | 0.5000 | 0.0122 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 63 | Winamax (FR) | 139 | 10.66% | 0.4940 | 0.5000 | 0.0120 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 64 | Dabble (AU) | 52 | 5.34% | 0.4833 | 0.4882 | 0.0100 | 42.3% / 57.7% |
| 65 | BetOnline.ag | 154 | 2.76% | 0.4951 | 0.4987 | 0.0072 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 66 | Virgin Bet | 56 | 5.32% | 0.4867 | 0.4898 | 0.0064 | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| 67 | LiveScore Bet | 57 | 5.32% | 0.4905 | 0.4925 | 0.0040 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 68 | Coral | 94 | 4.88% | 0.4936 | 0.4943 | 0.0015 | 44.7% / 55.3% |
| 69 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 94 | 4.88% | 0.4936 | 0.4943 | 0.0015 | 44.7% / 55.3% |
| 70 | Betclic (FR) | 41 | 5.98% | 0.4951 | 0.4926 | -0.0051 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 71 | William Hill | 94 | 5.33% | 0.5026 | 0.4991 | -0.0070 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 72 | BetUS | 78 | 3.32% | 0.5024 | 0.4839 | -0.0382 | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BetAnything | 68 | 7.17% | 0.5292 | 0.5947 | 0.1102 | 54.4% / 27.9% / 17.6% |
| 2 | Coral | 163 | 10.35% | 0.5535 | 0.6152 | 0.1002 | 50.3% / 31.3% / 18.4% |
| 3 | Sky Bet | 113 | 11.53% | 0.5555 | 0.6171 | 0.0998 | 50.4% / 30.1% / 19.5% |
| 4 | Smarkets | 136 | 4.84% | 0.5416 | 0.6013 | 0.0993 | 52.2% / 31.6% / 16.2% |
| 5 | Paddy Power | 156 | 9.78% | 0.5504 | 0.6109 | 0.0990 | 50.6% / 32.1% / 17.3% |
| 6 | 1xBet | 143 | 4.32% | 0.5476 | 0.6070 | 0.0978 | 51.7% / 30.8% / 17.5% |
| 7 | PMU (FR) | 137 | 11.93% | 0.5373 | 0.5948 | 0.0967 | 54.0% / 29.2% / 16.8% |
| 8 | Coolbet | 161 | 5.09% | 0.5517 | 0.6104 | 0.0961 | 50.3% / 32.9% / 16.8% |
| 9 | Mr Green (SE) | 163 | 9.68% | 0.5531 | 0.6118 | 0.0959 | 49.7% / 33.7% / 16.6% |
| 10 | Odds.School (IQM) | 188 | — | 0.5571 | 0.6157 | 0.0951 | 49.5% / 33.0% / 17.6% |
| 11 | Odds.School (Median) | 188 | — | 0.5572 | 0.6157 | 0.0951 | 49.5% / 33.0% / 17.6% |
| 12 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 188 | — | 0.5572 | 0.6157 | 0.0950 | 49.5% / 33.0% / 17.6% |
| 13 | Odds.School (Mean) | 188 | — | 0.5573 | 0.6157 | 0.0949 | 49.5% / 33.0% / 17.6% |
| 14 | NordicBet | 187 | 7.40% | 0.5584 | 0.6169 | 0.0948 | 49.2% / 33.2% / 17.6% |
| 15 | Casumo | 152 | 7.28% | 0.5435 | 0.6003 | 0.0947 | 52.6% / 30.9% / 16.4% |
| 16 | ATG (SE) | 152 | 4.61% | 0.5435 | 0.6003 | 0.0946 | 52.6% / 30.9% / 16.4% |
| 17 | Svenska Spel | 152 | 5.01% | 0.5436 | 0.6003 | 0.0945 | 52.6% / 30.9% / 16.4% |
| 18 | Unibet (FR) | 156 | 13.35% | 0.5577 | 0.6158 | 0.0944 | 50.6% / 30.1% / 19.2% |
| 19 | LeoVegas | 144 | 9.59% | 0.5527 | 0.6100 | 0.0939 | 51.4% / 30.6% / 18.1% |
| 20 | DraftKings | 147 | 7.06% | 0.5767 | 0.6364 | 0.0938 | 46.3% / 32.0% / 21.8% |
| 21 | Codere (IT) | 101 | 8.87% | 0.5470 | 0.6029 | 0.0926 | 50.5% / 34.7% / 14.9% |
| 22 | LiveScore Bet | 161 | 10.66% | 0.5502 | 0.6058 | 0.0917 | 51.6% / 31.7% / 16.8% |
| 23 | Virgin Bet | 161 | 10.62% | 0.5504 | 0.6058 | 0.0914 | 51.6% / 31.7% / 16.8% |
| 24 | betfred_uk | 162 | 9.03% | 0.5724 | 0.6296 | 0.0908 | 47.5% / 32.1% / 20.4% |
| 25 | Pinnacle | 167 | 5.64% | 0.5671 | 0.6229 | 0.0896 | 49.1% / 31.1% / 19.8% |
| 26 | Winamax (FR) | 159 | 14.56% | 0.5568 | 0.6111 | 0.0889 | 49.7% / 34.0% / 16.4% |
| 27 | Betclic (FR) | 132 | 10.47% | 0.5544 | 0.6085 | 0.0888 | 50.0% / 34.1% / 15.9% |
| 28 | SportsBet | 146 | 8.94% | 0.5574 | 0.6111 | 0.0879 | 51.4% / 30.1% / 18.5% |
| 29 | Bovada | 145 | 6.95% | 0.5534 | 0.6067 | 0.0878 | 52.4% / 29.0% / 18.6% |
| 30 | Unibet (NL) | 159 | 6.56% | 0.5468 | 0.5992 | 0.0873 | 52.8% / 30.8% / 16.4% |
| 31 | Unibet | 169 | 7.33% | 0.5492 | 0.6012 | 0.0865 | 52.1% / 32.0% / 16.0% |
| 32 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 144 | 2.52% | 0.5588 | 0.6116 | 0.0864 | 51.4% / 29.9% / 18.8% |
| 33 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 144 | 2.52% | 0.5588 | 0.6116 | 0.0864 | 51.4% / 29.9% / 18.8% |
| 34 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 144 | 2.68% | 0.5588 | 0.6116 | 0.0863 | 51.4% / 29.9% / 18.8% |
| 35 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 149 | 10.37% | 0.5621 | 0.6147 | 0.0857 | 49.7% / 32.9% / 17.4% |
| 36 | Marathon Bet | 164 | 6.92% | 0.5466 | 0.5972 | 0.0846 | 51.2% / 34.8% / 14.0% |
| 37 | Tipico (DE) | 126 | 8.66% | 0.5611 | 0.6129 | 0.0845 | 48.4% / 35.7% / 15.9% |
| 38 | Winamax (DE) | 160 | 10.57% | 0.5601 | 0.6116 | 0.0842 | 49.4% / 34.4% / 16.3% |
| 39 | Fanatics | 70 | 6.34% | 0.5370 | 0.5861 | 0.0837 | 54.3% / 31.4% / 14.3% |
| 40 | 888sport | 146 | 9.76% | 0.5617 | 0.6125 | 0.0830 | 49.3% / 34.2% / 16.4% |
| 41 | 888sport (SE) | 146 | 9.76% | 0.5617 | 0.6125 | 0.0830 | 49.3% / 34.2% / 16.4% |
| 42 | Kalshi | 83 | 1.88% | 0.5690 | 0.6201 | 0.0825 | 47.0% / 36.1% / 16.9% |
| 43 | William Hill | 156 | 9.39% | 0.5688 | 0.6197 | 0.0822 | 50.0% / 30.1% / 19.9% |
| 44 | Betsson | 171 | 7.30% | 0.5666 | 0.6166 | 0.0811 | 48.5% / 34.5% / 17.0% |
| 45 | PointsBet (AU) | 123 | 7.59% | 0.5704 | 0.6185 | 0.0779 | 49.6% / 31.7% / 18.7% |
| 46 | Unibet (UK) | 154 | 6.91% | 0.5687 | 0.6159 | 0.0765 | 48.7% / 34.4% / 16.9% |
| 47 | LeoVegas (SE) | 154 | 8.11% | 0.5601 | 0.6063 | 0.0761 | 51.9% / 30.5% / 17.5% |
| 48 | FanDuel | 108 | 7.50% | 0.5783 | 0.6253 | 0.0752 | 48.1% / 32.4% / 19.4% |
| 49 | BetMGM | 122 | 7.56% | 0.5849 | 0.6322 | 0.0749 | 46.7% / 32.8% / 20.5% |
| 50 | Grosvenor | 151 | 7.61% | 0.5560 | 0.6003 | 0.0738 | 51.7% / 33.1% / 15.2% |
| 51 | BoyleSports | 124 | 11.77% | 0.5849 | 0.6312 | 0.0734 | 46.8% / 33.1% / 20.2% |
| 52 | NetBet (FR) | 53 | 12.59% | 0.5595 | 0.6023 | 0.0711 | 50.9% / 34.0% / 15.1% |
| 53 | Bet Victor | 107 | 8.38% | 0.5666 | 0.6091 | 0.0699 | 51.4% / 30.8% / 17.8% |
| 54 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 131 | 10.45% | 0.5709 | 0.6126 | 0.0679 | 51.9% / 27.5% / 20.6% |
| 55 | BetOnline.ag | 131 | 6.59% | 0.5685 | 0.6096 | 0.0674 | 51.1% / 31.3% / 17.6% |
| 56 | LowVig.ag | 131 | 6.59% | 0.5685 | 0.6096 | 0.0674 | 51.1% / 31.3% / 17.6% |
| 57 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 113 | 16.43% | 0.5770 | 0.6184 | 0.0670 | 49.6% / 31.9% / 18.6% |
| 58 | Neds | 129 | 10.58% | 0.5775 | 0.6187 | 0.0666 | 50.4% / 29.5% / 20.2% |
| 59 | Matchbook | 85 | 1.79% | 0.5888 | 0.6289 | 0.0638 | 48.2% / 30.6% / 21.2% |
| 60 | TABtouch | 121 | 8.85% | 0.5751 | 0.6142 | 0.0636 | 50.4% / 31.4% / 18.2% |
| 61 | betPARX | 106 | 7.68% | 0.5820 | 0.6214 | 0.0633 | 50.0% / 29.2% / 20.8% |
| 62 | PlayUp | 115 | 9.65% | 0.5679 | 0.6046 | 0.0607 | 53.0% / 27.8% / 19.1% |
| 63 | Unibet (SE) | 122 | 5.72% | 0.5787 | 0.6153 | 0.0595 | 50.0% / 32.0% / 18.0% |
| 64 | theScore Bet | 68 | 7.37% | 0.5524 | 0.5869 | 0.0589 | 54.4% / 30.9% / 14.7% |
| 65 | Betway | 129 | 7.32% | 0.5752 | 0.6110 | 0.0585 | 49.6% / 34.1% / 16.3% |
| 66 | Betr (AU) | 72 | 7.58% | 0.5188 | 0.5505 | 0.0576 | 59.7% / 27.8% / 12.5% |
| 67 | Everygame | 102 | 10.55% | 0.5727 | 0.6065 | 0.0558 | 52.0% / 30.4% / 17.6% |
| 68 | BetUS | 104 | 6.75% | 0.5648 | 0.5945 | 0.0499 | 53.8% / 29.8% / 16.3% |
| 69 | BetRivers | 115 | 8.08% | 0.5863 | 0.6085 | 0.0365 | 51.3% / 31.3% / 17.4% |
| 70 | Bet Right | 63 | 7.95% | 0.6049 | 0.6269 | 0.0350 | 49.2% / 28.6% / 22.2% |
| 71 | GTbets | 79 | 5.59% | 0.5826 | 0.6012 | 0.0309 | 53.2% / 29.1% / 17.7% |