Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.
Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.
1055 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 37 | 5.26% | 0.3843 | 0.4967 | 0.2263 | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| 2 | NetBet (FR) | 49 | 11.74% | 0.3785 | 0.4748 | 0.2029 | 61.2% / 38.8% |
| 3 | Pinnacle | 292 | 2.74% | 0.4498 | 0.4985 | 0.0977 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 4 | Neds | 281 | 5.11% | 0.4589 | 0.4989 | 0.0802 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 5 | Betr (AU) | 267 | 5.23% | 0.4603 | 0.4980 | 0.0756 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 6 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 279 | 5.11% | 0.4615 | 0.4992 | 0.0755 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 7 | SportsBet | 275 | 5.22% | 0.4612 | 0.4985 | 0.0749 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 8 | Bet Right | 269 | 4.87% | 0.4619 | 0.4988 | 0.0740 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 9 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 275 | 1.90% | 0.4628 | 0.4992 | 0.0730 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 10 | PlayUp | 243 | 5.11% | 0.4601 | 0.4955 | 0.0714 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 11 | PointsBet (AU) | 250 | 4.62% | 0.4615 | 0.4968 | 0.0711 | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| 12 | PMU (FR) | 51 | 9.79% | 0.4437 | 0.4767 | 0.0693 | 39.2% / 60.8% |
| 13 | Paddy Power | 271 | 6.73% | 0.4646 | 0.4988 | 0.0687 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 14 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 269 | 1.24% | 0.4650 | 0.4988 | 0.0679 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 15 | Everygame | 214 | 3.01% | 0.4578 | 0.4902 | 0.0661 | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| 16 | TABtouch | 260 | 5.42% | 0.4665 | 0.4993 | 0.0656 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 17 | Dabble (AU) | 233 | 5.36% | 0.4615 | 0.4933 | 0.0644 | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| 18 | TAB | 272 | 4.59% | 0.4676 | 0.4993 | 0.0635 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 19 | Unibet (NL) | 259 | 4.60% | 0.4679 | 0.4991 | 0.0625 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 20 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 239 | 4.90% | 0.4632 | 0.4936 | 0.0617 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 21 | Odds.School (IQM) | 287 | — | 0.4681 | 0.4986 | 0.0612 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 22 | Odds.School (Median) | 287 | — | 0.4681 | 0.4986 | 0.0612 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 23 | Bet Victor | 201 | 5.90% | 0.4692 | 0.4997 | 0.0611 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 24 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 287 | — | 0.4683 | 0.4986 | 0.0609 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 25 | Odds.School (Mean) | 287 | — | 0.4683 | 0.4986 | 0.0609 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 26 | Coral | 246 | 5.01% | 0.4652 | 0.4944 | 0.0592 | 55.3% / 44.7% |
| 27 | Coolbet | 239 | 5.12% | 0.4704 | 0.4996 | 0.0584 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 28 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 251 | 1.62% | 0.4700 | 0.4990 | 0.0582 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 29 | Matchbook | 235 | 2.10% | 0.4699 | 0.4974 | 0.0553 | 53.6% / 46.4% |
| 30 | DraftKings | 278 | 4.99% | 0.4715 | 0.4987 | 0.0546 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 31 | Tipico (DE) | 221 | 6.35% | 0.4660 | 0.4925 | 0.0539 | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| 32 | Unibet (FR) | 200 | 6.79% | 0.4687 | 0.4950 | 0.0531 | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| 33 | NordicBet | 258 | 5.53% | 0.4739 | 0.4997 | 0.0517 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 34 | Betsson | 257 | 5.53% | 0.4745 | 0.4998 | 0.0507 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 35 | LowVig.ag | 254 | 2.73% | 0.4747 | 0.4997 | 0.0500 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 36 | BetAnything | 152 | 3.22% | 0.4752 | 0.4999 | 0.0494 | 49.3% / 50.7% |
| 37 | Polymarket | 239 | 1.31% | 0.4740 | 0.4985 | 0.0493 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 38 | Fliff | 239 | 5.63% | 0.4748 | 0.4989 | 0.0483 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 39 | Kalshi | 223 | 1.46% | 0.4757 | 0.4995 | 0.0477 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 40 | Novig | 238 | 1.64% | 0.4758 | 0.4994 | 0.0472 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 41 | Casumo | 210 | 4.99% | 0.4715 | 0.4945 | 0.0466 | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| 42 | ProphetX | 243 | 1.42% | 0.4758 | 0.4990 | 0.0464 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 43 | Smarkets | 226 | 2.38% | 0.4731 | 0.4961 | 0.0463 | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| 44 | LeoVegas | 236 | 5.65% | 0.4775 | 0.4999 | 0.0447 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 45 | William Hill | 225 | 5.31% | 0.4746 | 0.4964 | 0.0440 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 46 | Grosvenor | 209 | 5.21% | 0.4734 | 0.4950 | 0.0436 | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| 47 | Unibet | 263 | 5.01% | 0.4774 | 0.4991 | 0.0435 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 48 | GTbets | 252 | 2.88% | 0.4781 | 0.4995 | 0.0428 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 49 | FanDuel | 258 | 4.26% | 0.4784 | 0.4995 | 0.0424 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 50 | BoyleSports | 138 | 6.18% | 0.4788 | 0.4999 | 0.0421 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 51 | Unibet (UK) | 237 | 4.19% | 0.4797 | 0.4998 | 0.0401 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 52 | Betway | 236 | 5.74% | 0.4798 | 0.4997 | 0.0398 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 53 | Fanatics | 260 | 4.81% | 0.4801 | 0.4997 | 0.0393 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 54 | BetOnline.ag | 267 | 2.83% | 0.4804 | 0.4998 | 0.0388 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 55 | Winamax (FR) | 212 | 7.33% | 0.4774 | 0.4964 | 0.0383 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 56 | Winamax (DE) | 211 | 5.56% | 0.4771 | 0.4959 | 0.0381 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 57 | BetUS | 267 | 3.12% | 0.4810 | 0.4997 | 0.0374 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 58 | Mr Green (SE) | 218 | 5.51% | 0.4801 | 0.4985 | 0.0369 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 59 | Svenska Spel | 236 | 3.75% | 0.4812 | 0.4997 | 0.0369 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 60 | Bovada | 258 | 4.47% | 0.4814 | 0.4997 | 0.0367 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 61 | 888sport (SE) | 218 | 5.54% | 0.4803 | 0.4985 | 0.0365 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 62 | ATG (SE) | 236 | 4.86% | 0.4815 | 0.4997 | 0.0364 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 63 | Virgin Bet | 205 | 5.55% | 0.4778 | 0.4957 | 0.0361 | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| 64 | LiveScore Bet | 212 | 5.48% | 0.4787 | 0.4964 | 0.0356 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 65 | theScore Bet | 257 | 3.80% | 0.4819 | 0.4996 | 0.0355 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 66 | BetRivers | 260 | 5.65% | 0.4822 | 0.4997 | 0.0352 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 67 | Caesars | 253 | 4.33% | 0.4820 | 0.4994 | 0.0347 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 68 | Marathon Bet | 206 | 5.43% | 0.4763 | 0.4932 | 0.0344 | 55.8% / 44.2% |
| 69 | ReBet | 250 | 4.36% | 0.4826 | 0.4995 | 0.0338 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 70 | BetOpenly | 151 | 1.76% | 0.4772 | 0.4937 | 0.0333 | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| 71 | Hard Rock Bet | 249 | 4.86% | 0.4831 | 0.4996 | 0.0331 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 72 | Bally Bet | 252 | 5.14% | 0.4828 | 0.4992 | 0.0328 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 73 | Unibet (SE) | 250 | 4.55% | 0.4836 | 0.4997 | 0.0322 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 74 | betPARX | 253 | 4.91% | 0.4833 | 0.4994 | 0.0322 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 75 | BetMGM | 260 | 4.58% | 0.4839 | 0.4995 | 0.0312 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 76 | LeoVegas (SE) | 250 | 5.39% | 0.4852 | 0.4999 | 0.0294 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 77 | 888sport | 225 | 5.55% | 0.4852 | 0.4988 | 0.0272 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 78 | MyBookie.ag | 252 | 4.38% | 0.4862 | 0.4995 | 0.0266 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 79 | 1xBet | 194 | 2.20% | 0.4852 | 0.4981 | 0.0258 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tipico (DE) | 386 | 8.23% | 0.5802 | 0.6390 | 0.0920 | 45.9% / 31.6% / 22.5% |
| 2 | Unibet (UK) | 450 | 6.71% | 0.5901 | 0.6491 | 0.0909 | 43.6% / 31.3% / 25.1% |
| 3 | ATG (SE) | 457 | 5.74% | 0.5890 | 0.6477 | 0.0908 | 43.8% / 31.7% / 24.5% |
| 4 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 768 | — | 0.5932 | 0.6519 | 0.0901 | 42.4% / 32.2% / 25.4% |
| 5 | Odds.School (Mean) | 768 | — | 0.5932 | 0.6519 | 0.0900 | 42.4% / 32.2% / 25.4% |
| 6 | Odds.School (IQM) | 768 | — | 0.5933 | 0.6519 | 0.0899 | 42.4% / 32.2% / 25.4% |
| 7 | Odds.School (Median) | 768 | — | 0.5933 | 0.6519 | 0.0898 | 42.4% / 32.2% / 25.4% |
| 8 | Unibet | 524 | 7.43% | 0.5868 | 0.6445 | 0.0896 | 44.7% / 31.5% / 23.9% |
| 9 | Svenska Spel | 451 | 5.83% | 0.5918 | 0.6484 | 0.0872 | 43.7% / 31.5% / 24.8% |
| 10 | Unibet (NL) | 480 | 6.80% | 0.5880 | 0.6440 | 0.0870 | 45.0% / 30.8% / 24.2% |
| 11 | LeoVegas | 472 | 9.26% | 0.5920 | 0.6480 | 0.0864 | 43.4% / 32.4% / 24.2% |
| 12 | Mr Green (SE) | 466 | 9.62% | 0.5959 | 0.6518 | 0.0858 | 42.7% / 31.5% / 25.8% |
| 13 | Smarkets | 417 | 2.05% | 0.5895 | 0.6440 | 0.0846 | 45.3% / 29.7% / 24.9% |
| 14 | 888sport (SE) | 411 | 9.74% | 0.5975 | 0.6524 | 0.0842 | 42.6% / 31.4% / 26.0% |
| 15 | NordicBet | 500 | 7.08% | 0.5955 | 0.6478 | 0.0808 | 44.0% / 31.0% / 25.0% |
| 16 | Grosvenor | 480 | 7.71% | 0.5921 | 0.6437 | 0.0802 | 45.2% / 30.4% / 24.4% |
| 17 | LiveScore Bet | 494 | 10.36% | 0.5972 | 0.6479 | 0.0782 | 43.9% / 31.2% / 24.9% |
| 18 | Winamax (DE) | 457 | 9.11% | 0.5929 | 0.6431 | 0.0781 | 44.6% / 32.4% / 23.0% |
| 19 | Codere (IT) | 241 | 7.25% | 0.5845 | 0.6339 | 0.0779 | 47.7% / 29.0% / 23.2% |
| 20 | Paddy Power | 494 | 10.11% | 0.5980 | 0.6486 | 0.0779 | 43.9% / 30.6% / 25.5% |
| 21 | 888sport | 429 | 9.74% | 0.6012 | 0.6518 | 0.0776 | 42.9% / 31.0% / 26.1% |
| 22 | Winamax (FR) | 447 | 12.26% | 0.5937 | 0.6436 | 0.0775 | 44.3% / 32.9% / 22.8% |
| 23 | PMU (FR) | 404 | 11.30% | 0.5903 | 0.6397 | 0.0772 | 46.0% / 30.7% / 23.3% |
| 24 | William Hill | 450 | 9.44% | 0.6032 | 0.6535 | 0.0770 | 42.4% / 30.7% / 26.9% |
| 25 | Coral | 465 | 9.60% | 0.5982 | 0.6480 | 0.0768 | 44.1% / 30.5% / 25.4% |
| 26 | Pinnacle | 543 | 3.98% | 0.5986 | 0.6484 | 0.0768 | 44.0% / 30.4% / 25.6% |
| 27 | Casumo | 454 | 7.38% | 0.5976 | 0.6472 | 0.0766 | 43.8% / 31.9% / 24.2% |
| 28 | SportsBet | 487 | 8.87% | 0.5990 | 0.6485 | 0.0764 | 43.7% / 31.2% / 25.1% |
| 29 | Betsson | 493 | 7.03% | 0.5977 | 0.6471 | 0.0763 | 43.8% / 32.0% / 24.1% |
| 30 | Virgin Bet | 493 | 10.33% | 0.5948 | 0.6436 | 0.0758 | 45.2% / 30.4% / 24.3% |
| 31 | LeoVegas (SE) | 506 | 8.07% | 0.5963 | 0.6451 | 0.0757 | 44.5% / 31.6% / 23.9% |
| 32 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 483 | 0.96% | 0.6025 | 0.6514 | 0.0750 | 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.7% |
| 33 | Coolbet | 483 | 4.86% | 0.5973 | 0.6457 | 0.0750 | 44.3% / 31.7% / 24.0% |
| 34 | 1xBet | 500 | 4.68% | 0.5998 | 0.6483 | 0.0748 | 43.8% / 31.2% / 25.0% |
| 35 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 481 | 9.68% | 0.5962 | 0.6433 | 0.0733 | 45.3% / 30.4% / 24.3% |
| 36 | betfred_uk | 537 | 8.80% | 0.6034 | 0.6510 | 0.0731 | 43.2% / 30.7% / 26.1% |
| 37 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 477 | 0.94% | 0.6029 | 0.6502 | 0.0727 | 43.4% / 30.8% / 25.8% |
| 38 | Betclic (FR) | 411 | 10.40% | 0.5966 | 0.6428 | 0.0719 | 45.0% / 31.6% / 23.4% |
| 39 | Unibet (SE) | 478 | 6.53% | 0.5943 | 0.6400 | 0.0714 | 45.8% / 31.2% / 23.0% |
| 40 | Sky Bet | 442 | 10.72% | 0.6019 | 0.6464 | 0.0689 | 44.1% / 31.7% / 24.2% |
| 41 | NetBet (FR) | 219 | 12.89% | 0.5960 | 0.6393 | 0.0676 | 45.7% / 32.0% / 22.4% |
| 42 | Unibet (FR) | 477 | 12.16% | 0.5994 | 0.6426 | 0.0671 | 45.3% / 31.0% / 23.7% |
| 43 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 471 | 0.94% | 0.6055 | 0.6488 | 0.0667 | 43.7% / 31.0% / 25.3% |
| 44 | Marathon Bet | 480 | 6.55% | 0.5985 | 0.6413 | 0.0666 | 45.8% / 30.2% / 24.0% |
| 45 | BoyleSports | 463 | 12.27% | 0.6037 | 0.6465 | 0.0663 | 44.1% / 31.7% / 24.2% |
| 46 | BetOnline.ag | 464 | 5.59% | 0.6034 | 0.6461 | 0.0661 | 44.6% / 30.4% / 25.0% |
| 47 | Kalshi | 283 | 2.27% | 0.6043 | 0.6463 | 0.0650 | 43.8% / 32.5% / 23.7% |
| 48 | TABtouch | 441 | 8.38% | 0.6053 | 0.6472 | 0.0647 | 44.0% / 31.5% / 24.5% |
| 49 | Bovada | 472 | 7.42% | 0.6068 | 0.6487 | 0.0646 | 43.6% / 31.4% / 25.0% |
| 50 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 401 | 9.99% | 0.6058 | 0.6465 | 0.0629 | 44.6% / 29.9% / 25.4% |
| 51 | Neds | 408 | 10.12% | 0.6069 | 0.6476 | 0.0628 | 44.4% / 29.9% / 25.7% |
| 52 | Bet Victor | 382 | 8.21% | 0.6018 | 0.6420 | 0.0625 | 45.5% / 30.6% / 23.8% |
| 53 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 406 | 17.21% | 0.6103 | 0.6504 | 0.0616 | 43.6% / 29.8% / 26.6% |
| 54 | Betway | 456 | 7.45% | 0.6077 | 0.6470 | 0.0608 | 44.1% / 31.4% / 24.6% |
| 55 | BetUS | 386 | 6.84% | 0.6105 | 0.6493 | 0.0597 | 44.0% / 29.0% / 26.9% |
| 56 | PlayUp | 431 | 9.20% | 0.6112 | 0.6500 | 0.0597 | 43.6% / 30.2% / 26.2% |
| 57 | LowVig.ag | 455 | 5.57% | 0.6096 | 0.6479 | 0.0591 | 44.2% / 30.3% / 25.5% |
| 58 | DraftKings | 448 | 5.99% | 0.6123 | 0.6503 | 0.0584 | 43.1% / 31.7% / 25.2% |
| 59 | Fliff | 72 | 9.96% | 0.5874 | 0.6238 | 0.0584 | 47.2% / 34.7% / 18.1% |
| 60 | PointsBet (AU) | 357 | 7.46% | 0.6111 | 0.6484 | 0.0576 | 44.3% / 29.1% / 26.6% |
| 61 | BetRivers | 396 | 8.03% | 0.6127 | 0.6486 | 0.0553 | 44.2% / 29.3% / 26.5% |
| 62 | betPARX | 361 | 7.43% | 0.6124 | 0.6482 | 0.0552 | 44.0% / 30.5% / 25.5% |
| 63 | Fanatics | 317 | 6.86% | 0.5982 | 0.6322 | 0.0537 | 47.0% / 32.2% / 20.8% |
| 64 | BetMGM | 411 | 7.36% | 0.6155 | 0.6502 | 0.0533 | 43.3% / 31.1% / 25.5% |
| 65 | Bet Right | 353 | 8.64% | 0.6131 | 0.6476 | 0.0532 | 43.9% / 31.4% / 24.6% |
| 66 | Matchbook | 409 | 0.94% | 0.6128 | 0.6471 | 0.0530 | 44.0% / 31.5% / 24.4% |
| 67 | Betr (AU) | 379 | 8.40% | 0.6200 | 0.6508 | 0.0475 | 43.3% / 30.6% / 26.1% |
| 68 | BetAnything | 230 | 6.36% | 0.6206 | 0.6503 | 0.0457 | 43.5% / 30.4% / 26.1% |
| 69 | FanDuel | 414 | 6.93% | 0.6171 | 0.6455 | 0.0440 | 44.4% / 31.4% / 24.2% |
| 70 | Bally Bet | 118 | 6.36% | 0.6187 | 0.6459 | 0.0421 | 43.2% / 33.9% / 22.9% |
| 71 | Everygame | 354 | 7.82% | 0.6172 | 0.6439 | 0.0415 | 45.5% / 29.1% / 25.4% |
| 72 | theScore Bet | 235 | 6.98% | 0.6242 | 0.6509 | 0.0411 | 43.0% / 31.5% / 25.5% |
| 73 | GTbets | 222 | 5.54% | 0.6164 | 0.6381 | 0.0340 | 46.4% / 30.6% / 23.0% |
| 74 | Suprabets | 97 | 7.70% | 0.6156 | 0.6356 | 0.0314 | 47.4% / 28.9% / 23.7% |
| 75 | TAB | 123 | 7.51% | 0.6377 | 0.6483 | 0.0163 | 41.5% / 35.8% / 22.8% |
| 76 | Caesars | 91 | 6.50% | 0.6441 | 0.6391 | -0.0079 | 40.7% / 39.6% / 19.8% |
| 77 | MyBookie.ag | 47 | 6.93% | 0.6675 | 0.6573 | -0.0155 | 38.3% / 36.2% / 25.5% |
| 78 | Hard Rock Bet | 58 | 5.77% | 0.6632 | 0.6486 | -0.0225 | 39.7% / 37.9% / 22.4% |
817 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 35 | 5.46% | 0.3843 | 0.4996 | 0.2307 | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| 2 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 58 | 5.25% | 0.3904 | 0.4994 | 0.2182 | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| 3 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 49 | 4.24% | 0.3946 | 0.4998 | 0.2105 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 4 | NetBet (FR) | 35 | 12.50% | 0.3860 | 0.4800 | 0.1959 | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| 5 | Pinnacle | 87 | 4.15% | 0.4167 | 0.4999 | 0.1666 | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| 6 | Dabble (AU) | 55 | 5.31% | 0.4221 | 0.4919 | 0.1420 | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| 7 | Coolbet | 62 | 5.12% | 0.4348 | 0.4979 | 0.1267 | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| 8 | Casumo | 67 | 5.00% | 0.4405 | 0.4999 | 0.1188 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 9 | Grosvenor | 67 | 5.00% | 0.4405 | 0.4999 | 0.1188 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 10 | TAB | 95 | 4.95% | 0.4477 | 0.4995 | 0.1038 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 11 | Tipico (DE) | 39 | 6.88% | 0.4485 | 0.4997 | 0.1025 | 48.7% / 51.3% |
| 12 | Unibet (NL) | 88 | 4.67% | 0.4482 | 0.4990 | 0.1018 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 13 | TABtouch | 89 | 5.30% | 0.4525 | 0.4984 | 0.0921 | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| 14 | Unibet | 92 | 5.16% | 0.4540 | 0.4979 | 0.0881 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 15 | LeoVegas | 71 | 5.37% | 0.4589 | 0.4951 | 0.0731 | 45.1% / 54.9% |
| 16 | Betsson | 103 | 5.89% | 0.4617 | 0.4977 | 0.0723 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 17 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 126 | 5.18% | 0.4642 | 0.5000 | 0.0715 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 18 | Neds | 126 | 5.18% | 0.4642 | 0.5000 | 0.0715 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 19 | NordicBet | 105 | 5.88% | 0.4626 | 0.4978 | 0.0707 | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| 20 | Bet Right | 191 | 4.85% | 0.4637 | 0.4983 | 0.0695 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 21 | Betr (AU) | 191 | 5.27% | 0.4658 | 0.4983 | 0.0653 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 22 | SportsBet | 196 | 5.56% | 0.4687 | 0.4992 | 0.0611 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 23 | Marathon Bet | 81 | 5.62% | 0.4713 | 0.4999 | 0.0573 | 50.6% / 49.4% |
| 24 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 99 | 4.98% | 0.4697 | 0.4975 | 0.0559 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 25 | betPARX | 80 | 4.69% | 0.4688 | 0.4950 | 0.0529 | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| 26 | BetRivers | 92 | 5.30% | 0.4709 | 0.4962 | 0.0511 | 45.7% / 54.3% |
| 27 | BetUS | 79 | 3.60% | 0.4683 | 0.4935 | 0.0511 | 44.3% / 55.7% |
| 28 | PointsBet (AU) | 179 | 4.47% | 0.4712 | 0.4965 | 0.0509 | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| 29 | PlayUp | 168 | 5.11% | 0.4700 | 0.4943 | 0.0491 | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| 30 | Paddy Power | 188 | 5.91% | 0.4756 | 0.4995 | 0.0478 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 31 | ProphetX | 75 | 3.35% | 0.4694 | 0.4928 | 0.0475 | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| 32 | Hard Rock Bet | 98 | 4.56% | 0.4756 | 0.4992 | 0.0472 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 33 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 192 | — | 0.4773 | 0.4998 | 0.0450 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 34 | Odds.School (Mean) | 192 | — | 0.4773 | 0.4998 | 0.0449 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 35 | Odds.School (IQM) | 192 | — | 0.4777 | 0.4998 | 0.0442 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 36 | Odds.School (Median) | 192 | — | 0.4777 | 0.4998 | 0.0441 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 37 | Unibet (FR) | 146 | 9.85% | 0.4767 | 0.4985 | 0.0437 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 38 | DraftKings | 152 | 4.65% | 0.4785 | 0.4999 | 0.0429 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 39 | Bally Bet | 81 | 4.69% | 0.4738 | 0.4938 | 0.0406 | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| 40 | Coral | 102 | 5.09% | 0.4800 | 0.4983 | 0.0367 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 41 | Novig | 145 | 2.71% | 0.4842 | 0.4998 | 0.0311 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 42 | theScore Bet | 141 | 4.14% | 0.4843 | 0.4998 | 0.0310 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 43 | Caesars | 142 | 4.30% | 0.4850 | 0.4996 | 0.0291 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 44 | GTbets | 143 | 2.73% | 0.4861 | 0.4998 | 0.0273 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 45 | LeoVegas (SE) | 78 | 5.00% | 0.4790 | 0.4918 | 0.0260 | 43.6% / 56.4% |
| 46 | Bet Victor | 160 | 6.74% | 0.4865 | 0.4993 | 0.0257 | 51.9% / 48.1% |
| 47 | BetOnline.ag | 162 | 2.84% | 0.4872 | 0.5000 | 0.0257 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 48 | Unibet (SE) | 78 | 4.53% | 0.4796 | 0.4918 | 0.0247 | 43.6% / 56.4% |
| 49 | Kalshi | 137 | 1.25% | 0.4882 | 0.4998 | 0.0231 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 50 | FanDuel | 177 | 4.17% | 0.4887 | 0.5000 | 0.0225 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 51 | MyBookie.ag | 96 | 4.65% | 0.4881 | 0.4991 | 0.0221 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 52 | ReBet | 178 | 7.20% | 0.4901 | 0.5000 | 0.0199 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 53 | Fliff | 162 | 5.50% | 0.4883 | 0.4981 | 0.0196 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 54 | Fanatics | 178 | 4.61% | 0.4911 | 0.5000 | 0.0179 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 55 | Virgin Bet | 51 | 5.26% | 0.4898 | 0.4983 | 0.0171 | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| 56 | LowVig.ag | 149 | 2.60% | 0.4914 | 0.5000 | 0.0171 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 57 | Polymarket | 161 | 1.64% | 0.4906 | 0.4984 | 0.0158 | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| 58 | Unibet (UK) | 159 | 5.13% | 0.4938 | 0.5000 | 0.0123 | 49.7% / 50.3% |
| 59 | 1xBet | 147 | 2.20% | 0.4947 | 0.4989 | 0.0083 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 60 | William Hill | 113 | 5.34% | 0.4935 | 0.4968 | 0.0066 | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| 61 | Smarkets | 158 | 8.89% | 0.4962 | 0.4987 | 0.0051 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 62 | 888sport | 147 | 5.53% | 0.4962 | 0.4981 | 0.0038 | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| 63 | Mr Green (SE) | 146 | 5.53% | 0.4971 | 0.4977 | 0.0012 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 64 | 888sport (SE) | 146 | 5.53% | 0.4971 | 0.4977 | 0.0012 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 65 | Bovada | 58 | 4.31% | 0.4915 | 0.4905 | -0.0021 | 43.1% / 56.9% |
| 66 | BetMGM | 105 | 4.59% | 0.5010 | 0.4989 | -0.0043 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| 67 | Winamax (FR) | 137 | 10.46% | 0.4977 | 0.4955 | -0.0044 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 68 | Winamax (DE) | 137 | 5.67% | 0.4981 | 0.4955 | -0.0053 | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| 69 | BoyleSports | 64 | 6.38% | 0.5038 | 0.4995 | -0.0085 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 70 | ATG (SE) | 66 | 4.72% | 0.4937 | 0.4885 | -0.0106 | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| 71 | Svenska Spel | 66 | 4.38% | 0.4940 | 0.4885 | -0.0113 | 42.4% / 57.6% |
| 72 | BetAnything | 42 | 3.98% | 0.5054 | 0.4989 | -0.0130 | 47.6% / 52.4% |
| 73 | LiveScore Bet | 54 | 5.23% | 0.5078 | 0.4973 | -0.0212 | 46.3% / 53.7% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unibet (UK) | 548 | 6.74% | 0.5921 | 0.6521 | 0.0920 | 42.3% / 32.3% / 25.4% |
| 2 | Tipico (DE) | 448 | 7.92% | 0.5852 | 0.6417 | 0.0880 | 45.3% / 31.5% / 23.2% |
| 3 | Codere (IT) | 313 | 7.68% | 0.5835 | 0.6378 | 0.0852 | 46.6% / 30.0% / 23.3% |
| 4 | Odds.School (IQM) | 625 | — | 0.5945 | 0.6497 | 0.0850 | 43.2% / 31.8% / 25.0% |
| 5 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 625 | — | 0.5945 | 0.6497 | 0.0850 | 43.2% / 31.8% / 25.0% |
| 6 | Odds.School (Mean) | 625 | — | 0.5945 | 0.6497 | 0.0849 | 43.2% / 31.8% / 25.0% |
| 7 | Odds.School (Median) | 625 | — | 0.5945 | 0.6497 | 0.0849 | 43.2% / 31.8% / 25.0% |
| 8 | 888sport (SE) | 488 | 9.67% | 0.5981 | 0.6521 | 0.0828 | 42.6% / 31.6% / 25.8% |
| 9 | 888sport | 490 | 9.66% | 0.5989 | 0.6523 | 0.0820 | 42.4% / 31.8% / 25.7% |
| 10 | LeoVegas | 548 | 9.45% | 0.5967 | 0.6498 | 0.0817 | 43.1% / 32.1% / 24.8% |
| 11 | Svenska Spel | 541 | 5.64% | 0.5951 | 0.6477 | 0.0812 | 43.8% / 31.6% / 24.6% |
| 12 | ATG (SE) | 541 | 5.64% | 0.5951 | 0.6477 | 0.0812 | 43.8% / 31.6% / 24.6% |
| 13 | Unibet (NL) | 560 | 6.72% | 0.5975 | 0.6502 | 0.0810 | 43.2% / 31.4% / 25.4% |
| 14 | Mr Green (SE) | 553 | 9.54% | 0.5987 | 0.6514 | 0.0808 | 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.7% |
| 15 | Unibet | 588 | 7.66% | 0.5977 | 0.6485 | 0.0783 | 43.5% / 31.8% / 24.7% |
| 16 | Grosvenor | 555 | 7.80% | 0.5959 | 0.6466 | 0.0783 | 44.3% / 31.0% / 24.7% |
| 17 | Winamax (DE) | 538 | 10.23% | 0.5950 | 0.6450 | 0.0776 | 44.4% / 31.8% / 23.8% |
| 18 | LiveScore Bet | 574 | 10.69% | 0.6002 | 0.6501 | 0.0767 | 43.2% / 31.5% / 25.3% |
| 19 | Virgin Bet | 574 | 10.71% | 0.6003 | 0.6501 | 0.0766 | 43.2% / 31.5% / 25.3% |
| 20 | 1xBet | 545 | 4.86% | 0.6011 | 0.6501 | 0.0754 | 42.8% / 32.7% / 24.6% |
| 21 | Winamax (FR) | 518 | 13.73% | 0.5974 | 0.6461 | 0.0753 | 44.2% / 31.7% / 24.1% |
| 22 | NetBet (FR) | 314 | 12.76% | 0.5974 | 0.6461 | 0.0752 | 44.3% / 31.5% / 24.2% |
| 23 | Coral | 534 | 9.33% | 0.5999 | 0.6486 | 0.0751 | 43.8% / 30.9% / 25.3% |
| 24 | Pinnacle | 599 | 5.51% | 0.6022 | 0.6507 | 0.0746 | 43.1% / 31.4% / 25.5% |
| 25 | NordicBet | 588 | 6.97% | 0.6025 | 0.6510 | 0.0744 | 42.9% / 31.8% / 25.3% |
| 26 | Paddy Power | 552 | 9.04% | 0.6039 | 0.6516 | 0.0732 | 42.9% / 31.0% / 26.1% |
| 27 | Smarkets | 477 | 4.44% | 0.6018 | 0.6484 | 0.0720 | 43.6% / 31.7% / 24.7% |
| 28 | LeoVegas (SE) | 577 | 8.26% | 0.6027 | 0.6494 | 0.0719 | 43.3% / 31.7% / 25.0% |
| 29 | Betsson | 572 | 6.92% | 0.6027 | 0.6492 | 0.0715 | 43.5% / 31.3% / 25.2% |
| 30 | Betclic (FR) | 459 | 9.93% | 0.5965 | 0.6425 | 0.0715 | 45.1% / 31.6% / 23.3% |
| 31 | PMU (FR) | 446 | 11.27% | 0.5975 | 0.6430 | 0.0707 | 45.3% / 30.7% / 24.0% |
| 32 | Coolbet | 539 | 4.91% | 0.6014 | 0.6470 | 0.0705 | 44.2% / 31.2% / 24.7% |
| 33 | Casumo | 517 | 7.39% | 0.6026 | 0.6482 | 0.0703 | 43.7% / 31.5% / 24.8% |
| 34 | Marathon Bet | 529 | 6.33% | 0.6004 | 0.6456 | 0.0701 | 44.6% / 30.8% / 24.6% |
| 35 | Kalshi | 366 | 2.82% | 0.6068 | 0.6525 | 0.0700 | 42.3% / 32.0% / 25.7% |
| 36 | BoyleSports | 512 | 12.24% | 0.6031 | 0.6482 | 0.0696 | 43.8% / 31.4% / 24.8% |
| 37 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 538 | 9.45% | 0.6024 | 0.6466 | 0.0683 | 44.4% / 30.7% / 24.9% |
| 38 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 553 | 3.89% | 0.6069 | 0.6514 | 0.0683 | 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.7% |
| 39 | Unibet (SE) | 546 | 6.59% | 0.6031 | 0.6471 | 0.0680 | 44.0% / 31.7% / 24.4% |
| 40 | William Hill | 519 | 9.26% | 0.6098 | 0.6542 | 0.0679 | 42.0% / 31.4% / 26.6% |
| 41 | Bet Victor | 436 | 8.94% | 0.6000 | 0.6434 | 0.0675 | 45.0% / 31.4% / 23.6% |
| 42 | betfred_uk | 583 | 8.62% | 0.6083 | 0.6522 | 0.0672 | 42.7% / 31.2% / 26.1% |
| 43 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 553 | 4.03% | 0.6077 | 0.6514 | 0.0670 | 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.7% |
| 44 | Unibet (FR) | 512 | 12.69% | 0.6034 | 0.6462 | 0.0662 | 44.3% / 31.3% / 24.4% |
| 45 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 553 | 4.58% | 0.6084 | 0.6514 | 0.0660 | 42.9% / 31.5% / 25.7% |
| 46 | SportsBet | 555 | 8.66% | 0.6096 | 0.6518 | 0.0648 | 42.7% / 31.5% / 25.8% |
| 47 | Bovada | 542 | 7.27% | 0.6096 | 0.6515 | 0.0643 | 42.8% / 31.5% / 25.6% |
| 48 | Fanatics | 360 | 6.68% | 0.5958 | 0.6360 | 0.0632 | 46.7% / 31.1% / 22.2% |
| 49 | BetOnline.ag | 528 | 6.51% | 0.6087 | 0.6494 | 0.0626 | 43.6% / 31.1% / 25.4% |
| 50 | Sky Bet | 494 | 11.01% | 0.6063 | 0.6465 | 0.0622 | 43.7% / 32.6% / 23.7% |
| 51 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 458 | 9.74% | 0.6077 | 0.6479 | 0.0620 | 44.3% / 29.7% / 26.0% |
| 52 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 484 | 16.00% | 0.6106 | 0.6505 | 0.0613 | 43.4% / 30.6% / 26.0% |
| 53 | LowVig.ag | 521 | 6.50% | 0.6110 | 0.6507 | 0.0609 | 43.2% / 31.1% / 25.7% |
| 54 | Betway | 516 | 7.35% | 0.6082 | 0.6471 | 0.0601 | 44.0% / 31.6% / 24.4% |
| 55 | TABtouch | 507 | 8.37% | 0.6086 | 0.6474 | 0.0600 | 44.0% / 31.4% / 24.7% |
| 56 | Neds | 461 | 9.87% | 0.6110 | 0.6495 | 0.0592 | 43.8% / 29.9% / 26.2% |
| 57 | DraftKings | 525 | 6.86% | 0.6153 | 0.6539 | 0.0590 | 41.9% / 32.0% / 26.1% |
| 58 | BetAnything | 200 | 6.89% | 0.6148 | 0.6522 | 0.0574 | 42.0% / 33.0% / 25.0% |
| 59 | BetMGM | 470 | 7.12% | 0.6134 | 0.6499 | 0.0563 | 43.4% / 31.1% / 25.5% |
| 60 | BetUS | 402 | 6.87% | 0.6169 | 0.6536 | 0.0562 | 42.3% / 31.1% / 26.6% |
| 61 | PointsBet (AU) | 389 | 7.44% | 0.6124 | 0.6486 | 0.0559 | 44.2% / 29.0% / 26.7% |
| 62 | Betr (AU) | 299 | 7.14% | 0.6104 | 0.6458 | 0.0548 | 44.5% / 31.1% / 24.4% |
| 63 | Fliff | 61 | 9.83% | 0.5847 | 0.6181 | 0.0540 | 49.2% / 32.8% / 18.0% |
| 64 | betPARX | 446 | 7.38% | 0.6166 | 0.6517 | 0.0539 | 43.0% / 30.5% / 26.5% |
| 65 | Matchbook | 355 | 1.95% | 0.6160 | 0.6511 | 0.0538 | 43.1% / 31.0% / 25.9% |
| 66 | Everygame | 393 | 10.10% | 0.6120 | 0.6468 | 0.0538 | 44.5% / 30.0% / 25.4% |
| 67 | PlayUp | 456 | 9.40% | 0.6152 | 0.6487 | 0.0515 | 43.9% / 30.7% / 25.4% |
| 68 | Bet Right | 354 | 8.25% | 0.6212 | 0.6545 | 0.0509 | 41.5% / 32.5% / 26.0% |
| 69 | BetRivers | 474 | 8.05% | 0.6177 | 0.6500 | 0.0497 | 43.5% / 30.8% / 25.7% |
| 70 | FanDuel | 451 | 7.07% | 0.6172 | 0.6492 | 0.0493 | 43.5% / 31.5% / 25.1% |
| 71 | theScore Bet | 288 | 7.48% | 0.6114 | 0.6428 | 0.0490 | 45.1% / 31.3% / 23.6% |
| 72 | Bally Bet | 155 | 6.26% | 0.6211 | 0.6525 | 0.0481 | 41.3% / 34.2% / 24.5% |
| 73 | Suprabets | 146 | 10.14% | 0.5832 | 0.6126 | 0.0480 | 51.4% / 29.5% / 19.2% |
| 74 | TAB | 145 | 7.55% | 0.6284 | 0.6531 | 0.0379 | 40.0% / 35.9% / 24.1% |
| 75 | GTbets | 240 | 5.64% | 0.6255 | 0.6482 | 0.0350 | 44.2% / 30.0% / 25.8% |
| 76 | Caesars | 104 | 6.31% | 0.6324 | 0.6507 | 0.0281 | 39.4% / 37.5% / 23.1% |
| 77 | Hard Rock Bet | 57 | 5.71% | 0.6518 | 0.6550 | 0.0049 | 42.1% / 29.8% / 28.1% |
| 78 | MyBookie.ag | 39 | 6.79% | 0.6809 | 0.6627 | -0.0275 | 35.9% / 28.2% / 35.9% |