Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik

2026-08-05 20:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jacob Fearnley (Local)

Previsão 28.71%3.48odd justa
EV +1.64%
Vantagem +0.464%
Kelly +0.647%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.86%28.80%28.74%30.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.243.253.5433.90%30.83%30.77%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 71.29%1.40odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -6.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.32%71.20%71.26%73.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.321.331.3778.13%75.47%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jacob Fearnley (Local): 28.71%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 71.29%. Para Jacob Fearnley (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.48. 4 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.54, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.64%E +0.464%K +0.647%G +0.011%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:39
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.495%E +0.142%K +0.198%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -0.940%E -0.273%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 01:39
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.48%E -3.34%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:43
GTbets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.24%E -0.961%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -8.04%E -6.23%K -27.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.52%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
DraftKings3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.48%E -3.34%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:10
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:44
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.90%E -4.47%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:19
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.19%E -3.90%K -15.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:34
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.61%E -5.05%K -21.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 01:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.33%E -5.64%K -24.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 02:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.05%E -2.24%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.48%E -3.34%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.76%E -2.79%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.04%E -6.23%K -27.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:55
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -8.04%E -6.23%K -27.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.30%E -5.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.75%E -6.84%K -31.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.5%2026-08-05 01:50
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%4.1%2026-08-05 02:35
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%4.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%6.6%2026-08-05 01:45