Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik

2026-08-05 20:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jacob Fearnley (Casa)

Previsione 28.67%3.49quota equa
EV +1.51%
Vantaggio +0.425%
Kelly +0.593%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.86%28.78%28.73%30.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.253.253.5432.79%30.77%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Trasferta)

Previsione 71.33%1.40quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -6.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.32%71.22%71.27%73.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.43%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jacob Fearnley (Casa): 28.67%; Jakub Mensik (Trasferta): 71.33%. Per Jacob Fearnley (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.49. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.54, con un valore atteso positivo del +1.51%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.51%E +0.425%K +0.593%G +0.009%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:39
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 01:39
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:43
GTbets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.37%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
DraftKings3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:10
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 02:44
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:44
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:34
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 01:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:40
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.28%E -1.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 02:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:55
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.70%E -6.80%K -31.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.5%2026-08-05 01:50
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%4.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%4.6%2026-08-05 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%7.7%2026-08-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%7.7%2026-08-05 02:45