语言:简体中文
Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jacob Fearnley (主队)
预测 31.80%3.14公平赔率
EV +4.94%
优势 +1.50%
Kelly +2.15%
增长率 +0.106%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.73%31.79%31.82%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.993.003.3037.04%33.43%33.33%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jakub Mensik (客队)
预测 68.20%1.47公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -7.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
65.53%68.21%68.18%71.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.381.381.4279.37%72.72%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jacob Fearnley (主队)：31.80%；Jakub Mensik (客队)：68.20%。 对于“Jacob Fearnley (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+4.94%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +1.76%E +0.550%K +0.800%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +1.76%E +0.550%K +0.800%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.171%E +0.054%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 22:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -14.07%E -11.17%K -54.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -2.06%E -0.667%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.01%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.24%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -5.55%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |