StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik

2026-08-05 20:40 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jacob Fearnley (Hemma)

Prognos 28.67%3.49rättvist odds
EV +1.51%
Fördel +0.425%
Kelly +0.593%
Tillväxt +0.009%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.86%28.78%28.73%30.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.253.253.5432.79%30.77%30.77%28.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Borta)

Prognos 71.33%1.40rättvist odds
EV -2.28%
Fördel -1.67%
Kelly -6.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.32%71.22%71.27%73.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.291.331.331.3777.52%75.43%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Jacob Fearnley (Hemma): 28.67%; Jakub Mensik (Borta): 71.33%. För Jacob Fearnley (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.49. 4 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.54, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.51%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +1.51%E +0.425%K +0.593%G +0.009%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 01:39
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.359%E +0.102%K +0.143%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:05
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.08%E -0.312%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-05 01:39
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 01:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.51%E -0.738%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 22:43
GTbets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.68%EV -3.37%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:10
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.66%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:45
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.94%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
DraftKings3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:10
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 02:44
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.85%E -4.43%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 01:44
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.38%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 21:05
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:05
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.81%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:00
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.14%E -3.86%K -15.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 21:00
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:43
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.24%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 01:34
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.56%E -5.01%K -21.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 01:40
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.68%E -3.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.28%E -5.60%K -24.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 01:40
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.28%E -1.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 02:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 02:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.00%E -2.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:20
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.11%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.42%E -3.30%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.71%E -2.75%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:00
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:55
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.99%E -6.19%K -27.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -15.41%E -5.22%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -8.70%E -6.80%K -31.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.5%2026-08-05 01:50
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%4.5%2026-08-05 01:40
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%4.6%2026-08-05 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%6.1%2026-08-05 01:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%7.7%2026-08-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%7.7%2026-08-05 02:45