اللغة:العربية
Jacob Fearnley v Jakub Mensik
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)
التنبؤ 31.80%3.14السعر العادل
EV +4.94%
الأفضلية +1.50%
Kelly +2.15%
النمو +0.106%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.73%31.79%31.82%34.47%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.993.003.3037.04%33.43%33.33%30.30%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
Jakub Mensik (الضيف)
التنبؤ 68.20%1.47السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -2.22%
Kelly -7.52%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.42
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.53%68.21%68.18%71.27%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.381.381.4279.37%72.72%72.46%70.42%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة) احتمالات سوق نتيجة المباراة كالآتي: Jacob Fearnley (المضيف): 31.80%؛ Jakub Mensik (الضيف): 68.20%. بالنسبة إلى Jacob Fearnley (المضيف)، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره 3.14. عرضت 9 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر 3.30، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها +4.94%.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (65 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.94%E +1.50%K +2.15%G +0.106% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV +3.35%E +1.03%K +1.49%G +0.050% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +1.76%E +0.550%K +0.800%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +1.76%E +0.550%K +0.800%G +0.014% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -9.98%E -7.56%K -31.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV +0.171%E +0.054%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.95%EV -12.02%E -9.32%K -41.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 22:02 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.29%E -6.99%K -28.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -1.42%E -0.458%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -14.07%E -11.17%K -54.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -2.06%E -0.667%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -2.37%E -0.773%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.01%E -0.987%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.60%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -4.92%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.24%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -5.55%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.20%E -3.74%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.19%E -2.10%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 10:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.88%E -4.26%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.78%E -2.68%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.61%E -6.43%K -25.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.42%E -2.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 14:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.57%E -4.79%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.37%E -3.29%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.25%E -5.33%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.96%E -3.91%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.55%E -4.56%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.52%E -3.23%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.14%E -5.24%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.16%E -2.22%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 2.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |