语言:简体中文
Gael Monfils v Learner Tien
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Gael Monfils (主队)
预测 19.13%5.23公平赔率
EV +6.15%
优势 +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
增长率 +0.083%
假设最高赔率为 5.55
博彩公司预测分布
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
Learner Tien (客队)
预测 80.87%1.24公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gael Monfils (主队)：19.13%；Learner Tien (客队)：80.87%。 对于“Gael Monfils (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.23。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.55，对应+6.15%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:37 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11% | -0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |