Język:Polski
Gael Monfils v Learner Tien
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Gael Monfils (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.13%5.23kurs godziwy
EV +6.15%
Przewaga +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Wzrost +0.083%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.55
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Learner Tien (Goście)
Prognoza 80.87%1.24kurs godziwy
EV -2.95%
Przewaga -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Gael Monfils (Gospodarze): 19.13%; Learner Tien (Goście): 80.87%. Dla wyniku Gael Monfils (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.23. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.15%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:37 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11% | -0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |