Idioma:Español
Gael Monfils v Learner Tien
Resultado del partido
Gael Monfils (Local)
Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.15%23.69%23.66%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.974.004.4027.78%25.20%25.00%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Learner Tien (Visitante)
Predicción 76.36%1.31momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -8.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%76.31%76.34%78.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.231.2884.75%81.30%81.30%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Gael Monfils (Local): 23.64%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 76.36%. Para Gael Monfils (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.23. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.40, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +4.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.02%E +0.914%K +1.18%G +0.048% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -54.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.79%E -3.01%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.07%E -0.749%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.07%E -0.749%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%EV -3.54%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 06:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 05:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -6.14%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 07:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 06:57 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.26%E -1.77%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 05:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.61%E -6.29%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.61%E -6.29%K -36.22%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.89%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 04:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.89%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.37%E -6.97%K -41.85%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04% | 0.1% | 2026-09-02 06:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 06:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32% | 7.3% | 2026-09-02 06:55 |