StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gael Monfils v Learner Tien

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 23:05 UTC

Slutresultat: Gael Monfils 0–3 Learner Tien

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gael Monfils (Hemma)

Prognos 19.13%5.23rättvist odds
EV +6.15%
Fördel +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Tillväxt +0.083%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Borta)

Prognos 80.87%1.24rättvist odds
EV -2.95%
Fördel -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gael Monfils (Hemma): 19.13%; Learner Tien (Borta): 80.87%. För Gael Monfils (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.23. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.15%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:45
Pinnacle🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 22:30
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:35
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:35
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:55
ReBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 22:14
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:54
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:35
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:20
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:29
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 22:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:49
Betsson🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:50
LeoVegas🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:40
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 15:00
BetAnything🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:55
BetUS🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:29
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:50
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:15
GTbets🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:55
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:53
DraftKings🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:45
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 13:37
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89%1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11%-0.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Novig◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-09-03 22:55
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%1.6%2026-09-03 22:45