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Gael Monfils v Learner Tien
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Gael Monfils (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.13%5.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.15%
Преимущество +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Рост +0.083%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Learner Tien (Гости)
Прогноз 80.87%1.24справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.95%
Преимущество -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Gael Monfils (Хозяева): 19.13%; Learner Tien (Гости): 80.87%. Для исхода «Gael Monfils (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.23. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.55, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.15%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:37 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11% | -0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |