Langue:Français
Gael Monfils v Learner Tien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gael Monfils (Local)
Prévision 19.13%5.23cote équitable
EV +6.15%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.083%
avec la cote maximale 5.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.87%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gael Monfils (Local) : 19.13% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 80.87%. Pour Gael Monfils (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.55, soit une espérance positive de +6.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-03 22:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 19:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 15:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 18:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 13:37 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11% | -0.2% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |