Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gael Monfils v Learner Tien

2026-09-03 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Gael Monfils (Casa)

Previsione 23.64%4.23quota equa
EV +4.02%
Vantaggio +0.914%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.048%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.15%23.69%23.66%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.974.004.4027.78%25.20%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.36%1.31quota equa
EV -2.26%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -8.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.00%76.31%76.34%78.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.231.231.2884.75%81.30%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Gael Monfils (Casa): 23.64%; Learner Tien (Trasferta): 76.36%. Per Gael Monfils (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.23. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.40, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.02%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +4.02%E +0.914%K +1.18%G +0.048%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.90%E -8.39%K -54.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 06:55
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.79%E -3.01%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 07:00
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 06:55
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -0.706%E -0.168%K -0.221%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 07:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.07%E -0.749%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 06:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.07%E -0.749%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 06:55
GTbets🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45%EV -3.54%E -0.868%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 07:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 06:59
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 06:55
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.43%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 05:36
DraftKings🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV -6.14%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 07:00
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.02%E -2.38%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 06:57
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.08%E -4.94%K -26.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 06:55
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 06:55
1xBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.26%E -1.77%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 05:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 05:39
Fliff🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.98%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.32%E -4.29%K -22.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 05:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.55%E -3.64%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 05:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.61%E -6.29%K -36.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 06:55
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.61%E -6.29%K -36.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 06:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.89%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.84%E -5.61%K -31.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 04:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.89%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.37%E -6.97%K -41.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 06:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.96%1.28I 78.13%NM 78.04%0.1%2026-09-02 06:50
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-09-02 06:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.5%2026-09-02 06:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.5%2026-09-02 06:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%5.5%2026-09-02 06:45
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%5.9%2026-09-02 06:55
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%7.3%2026-09-02 06:55