StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils v Learner Tien

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 23:05 UTC

Endstand: Gael Monfils 0–3 Learner Tien

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Gael Monfils (Heim)

Prognose 19.13%5.23faire Quote
EV +6.15%
Vorteil +1.11%
Kelly +1.35%
Wachstum +0.083%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
17.29%19.20%18.96%22.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.204.874.855.5523.81%20.55%20.62%18.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Auswärts)

Prognose 80.87%1.24faire Quote
EV -2.95%
Vorteil -2.46%
Kelly -14.76%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.78%80.80%81.04%82.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.141.181.181.2087.72%84.73%84.75%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Gael Monfils (Heim): 19.13%; Learner Tien (Auswärts): 80.87%. Für Gael Monfils (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.23. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.15%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.41%EV +6.15%E +1.11%K +1.35%G +0.083%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.59%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:45
Pinnacle🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +5.96%E +1.08%K +1.31%G +0.078%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-03 22:30
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +5.19%E +0.944%K +1.15%G +0.060%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:35
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV +3.28%E +0.607%K +0.745%G +0.024%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 21:35
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV +0.411%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.545%E -0.105%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 19:55
ReBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 19:50
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -2.46%E -0.482%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.99%E -6.08%K -46.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 22:14
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -3.41%E -0.676%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 19:54
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:35
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:20
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 19:50
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:29
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 22:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.37%E -0.874%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.80%E -6.85%K -55.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:49
Betsson🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.24%EV -6.86%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.76%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:50
LeoVegas🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:15
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:40
theScore Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 15:00
BetAnything🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -7.24%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -6.19%E -5.33%K -38.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:55
BetUS🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 19.70%EV -8.00%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.30%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 20:29
Fanatics🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:50
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.20%E -1.71%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:15
GTbets🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 19.80%EV -8.58%E -1.79%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.20%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:55
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.15%E -1.93%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:53
DraftKings🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -9.92%E -2.11%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:45
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.76%E -3.16%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:55
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.02%E -2.61%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.57%E -3.87%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.93%E -3.10%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.38%E -4.60%K -31.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -19.67%E -4.68%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.95%E -2.46%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 13:37
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.89%1.22I 81.97%NM 82.11%-0.2%2026-09-03 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:50
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%0.6%2026-09-03 22:45
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Novig◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-09-03 22:55
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%1.6%2026-09-03 22:45