StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma)

Prognos 36.75%2.72rättvist odds
EV +2.91%
Fördel +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Tillväxt +0.047%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Borta)

Prognos 63.25%1.58rättvist odds
EV +5.62%
Fördel +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Tillväxt +0.472%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma): 36.75%; Andrey Rublev (Borta): 63.25%. För Andrey Rublev (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.58. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.67, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472%4.3%2026-09-01 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 05:05
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 05:05
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:20
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 05:05
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:49
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 05:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:15
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 05:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 05:10
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 05:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:09
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 05:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 04:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%6.6%2026-09-01 04:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11%11.8%2026-09-01 05:10
Arbitrage (26 kombinationer) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Visa alla 26 kombinationer
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Hemma)Andrey Rublev (Borta)Marginal
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%)+1.99%
GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%)+1.84%
betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.280%
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%