Sprache:Deutsch
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Direkter Vergleich
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)
Prognose 36.75%2.72faire Quote
EV +2.91%
Vorteil +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Wachstum +0.047%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.80
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Auswärts)
Prognose 63.25%1.58faire Quote
EV +5.62%
Vorteil +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Wachstum +0.472%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim): 36.75%; Andrey Rublev (Auswärts): 63.25%. Für Andrey Rublev (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.58. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.67 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +5.62%.
Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (8)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
Arbitrage (26 Kombinationen) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Alle 26 Kombinationen anzeigen
| Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim) | Andrey Rublev (Auswärts) | Marge |
|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| 888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%) | +1.99% |
| GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%) | +1.84% |
| betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| 1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.280% |
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.120% |