النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.75%2.72السعر العادل
EV +2.91%
الأفضلية +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Andrey Rublev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.25%1.58السعر العادل
EV +5.62%
الأفضلية +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
النمو +0.472%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)⁩: ⁨36.75%⁩؛ ⁨Andrey Rublev (الضيف)⁩: ⁨63.25%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Andrey Rublev (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨1.58⁩. تعرض شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨1.67⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+5.62%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472%4.3%2026-09-01 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 05:05
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 05:05
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:20
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 05:05
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:49
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 05:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:15
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 05:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 05:10
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 05:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:09
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 05:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 04:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (8)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%6.6%2026-09-01 04:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11%11.8%2026-09-01 05:10
المراجحة (26 تركيبة) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)عرض التركيبات كلها وعددها 26
Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)Andrey Rublev (الضيف)الهامش
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%)+1.99%
GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%)+1.84%
betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.280%
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%