Langue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 36.75%2.72cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.25%1.58cote équitable
EV +5.62%
Avantage +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Croissance +0.472%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) : 36.75% ; Andrey Rublev (Visiteur) : 63.25%. Pour Andrey Rublev (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.58. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.67, pour une espérance positive de +5.62%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
Arbitrage (26 combinaisons) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Afficher les 26 combinaisons
| Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) | Andrey Rublev (Visiteur) | Marge |
|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| 888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%) | +1.99% |
| GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%) | +1.84% |
| betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| 1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.280% |
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.120% |