Idioma:Português
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Previsão 41.32%2.42odd justa
EV +1.24%
Vantagem +0.506%
Kelly +0.856%
Crescimento +0.011%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.55%41.29%41.25%43.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.192.302.302.4545.66%43.41%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Previsão 58.68%1.70odd justa
EV +0.338%
Vantagem +0.198%
Kelly +0.476%
Crescimento +0.002%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.15%58.71%58.75%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.621.621.7163.69%61.89%61.73%58.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 41.32%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 58.68%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.24%.
Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.24%E +0.506%K +0.856%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.24%E +0.506%K +0.856%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.412%E -0.171%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.77%E -2.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.825%E -0.344%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.07%E -0.871%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -7.29%E -4.61%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.77%E -2.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.29%E -4.61%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.30%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.78%E -2.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.61%E -2.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.50%E -4.34%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.338%E +0.198%K +0.476%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (8)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |