Idioma:Español
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Resultado del partido
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Predicción 36.75%2.72momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 63.25%1.58momio equitativo
EV +5.62%
Ventaja +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Crecimiento +0.472%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 36.75%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 63.25%. Para Andrey Rublev (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.58. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.67, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.62%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
Arbitraje (26 combinaciones) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Ver las 26 combinaciones
| Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) | Andrey Rublev (Visitante) | Margen |
|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| 888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%) | +1.99% |
| GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%) | +1.84% |
| betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| 1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.280% |
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.120% |