StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Wedstrijduitslag

46 wedaanbieders (14 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)

Prognose 36.75%2.72margevrije odds
EV +2.91%
Voordeel +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Groei +0.047%

bij maximale odds 2.80

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Uit)

Prognose 63.25%1.58margevrije odds
EV +5.62%
Voordeel +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Groei +0.472%

bij maximale odds 1.67

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis): 36.75%; Andrey Rublev (Uit): 63.25%. Voor Andrey Rublev (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 1.58. 1 wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 1.67, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +5.62%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (46 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472%4.3%2026-09-01 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 05:05
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 05:05
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-01 05:05
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 21:20
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-01 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 05:05
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 04:49
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 05:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 05:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 04:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 05:00
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 05:15
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:10
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 05:10
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 05:10
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 05:10
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:09
ReBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 05:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 05:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 05:10
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 04:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 04:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (8)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:10
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%3.4%2026-09-01 05:15
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%6.6%2026-09-01 04:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%7.5%2026-09-01 05:10
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11%11.8%2026-09-01 05:10
Arbitrage (26 combinaties) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Alle 26 combinaties tonen
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Thuis)Andrey Rublev (Uit)Marge
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%)+4.61%
888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%)+3.90%
Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%)+3.18%
Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%)+2.44%
betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%)+1.99%
GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%)+1.84%
betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%
MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%)+0.912%
1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.280%
PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%)Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%)+0.183%
Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%)BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%)+0.120%