Lingua:Italiano
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Testa a testa
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Casa)
Previsione 36.75%2.72quota equa
EV +2.91%
Vantaggio +1.04%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescita +0.047%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%37.10%36.65%42.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.542.502.8044.44%39.41%39.92%35.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Trasferta)
Previsione 63.25%1.58quota equa
EV +5.62%
Vantaggio +3.37%
Kelly +8.39%
Crescita +0.472%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.40%62.90%63.35%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.501.501.6771.43%66.48%66.67%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Casa): 36.75%; Andrey Rublev (Trasferta): 63.25%. Per Andrey Rublev (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.58. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 1.67, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.62%.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -17.30%E -7.69%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV +5.62%E +3.37%K +8.39%G +0.472% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.34%E -0.856%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -7.75%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.97%E -1.27%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.60%E -1.69%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.23%E -2.11%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.87%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 05:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.12%E -3.25%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 05:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.60%E -0.982%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.28%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:51 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +1.07%E +0.390%K +0.613%G +0.007% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -9.22%E -3.73%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -13.63%E -5.80%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.765%E -0.283%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.19%E -7.18%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.91%E +1.04%K +1.62%G +0.047% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.46%E -8.18%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.0% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64% | 3.4% | 2026-09-01 05:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.11% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 05:10 |
Arbitraggio (26 combinazioni) +4.61%PlayUp 2.80 (37.4%) / BoyleSports 1.67 (62.6%)Mostra tutte le 26 combinazioni
| Daniel Merida Aguilar (Casa) | Andrey Rublev (Trasferta) | Margine |
|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (37.4%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.6%) | +4.61% |
| 888sport🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.75 (37.8%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (62.2%) | +3.90% |
| Coolbet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| SportsBet🎯 2.70 (38.2%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.8%) | +3.18% |
| Bovada🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| DraftKings🎯 2.65 (38.7%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.3%) | +2.44% |
| betfred_uk🎯 2.62 (38.9%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.1%) | +1.99% |
| GTbets🎯 2.61 (39.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (61.0%) | +1.84% |
| betano_uk🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| Betway🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| theScore Bet🎯 2.60 (39.1%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.9%) | +1.69% |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Betr (AU)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Fanatics🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| LeoVegas🎯 2.55 (39.6%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.4%) | +0.912% |
| 1xBet🎯 2.51 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.280% |
| PlayUp🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| TAB🎯 2.80 (35.8%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.56 (64.2%) | +0.183% |
| Fliff🎯 2.50 (40.0%) | BoyleSports🎯 1.67 (60.0%) | +0.120% |