Язык:Русский
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Andrey Rublev
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.32%2.42справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.24%
Преимущество +0.506%
Kelly +0.856%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.55%41.29%41.25%43.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.192.302.302.4545.66%43.41%43.48%40.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Andrey Rublev (Гости)
Прогноз 58.68%1.70справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.338%
Преимущество +0.198%
Kelly +0.476%
Рост +0.002%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.15%58.71%58.75%60.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.621.621.7163.69%61.89%61.73%58.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Хозяева): 41.32%; Andrey Rublev (Гости): 58.68%. Для исхода «Daniel Merida Aguilar (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.42. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.45, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.24%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.24%E +0.506%K +0.856%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.24%E +0.506%K +0.856%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -0.412%E -0.171%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.77%E -2.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.825%E -0.344%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.65%E -0.694%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.07%E -0.871%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.10%EV -2.48%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.90%EV -7.29%E -4.61%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.77%E -2.30%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 14:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.89%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.29%E -4.61%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.30%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -3.72%E -1.60%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.12%E -3.82%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.78%E -2.54%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.60%E -1.56%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -6.61%E -2.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.18%E -1.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:07 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.94%E -3.05%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 13:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.53%E -3.43%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 12:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -4.36%E -2.67%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.09%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.01%E -1.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -9.50%E -4.34%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV +0.338%E +0.198%K +0.476%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 21:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |