Language:English
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Head to Head
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prediction 29.97%3.34fair odd
EV +0.415%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.48%29.93%30.02%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.133.3534.48%31.85%32.00%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visit)
Prediction 70.03%1.43fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.07%69.98%71.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mariano Navone (Local): 29.97%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 70.03%. For Mariano Navone (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.35, producing a positive expected value of +0.415%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.415%E +0.124%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.68%E -0.513%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.88%E -0.890%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -1.96%E -1.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 00:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.38% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.63% | 15.4% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 32.08% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 67.92% | 23.7% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 32.08% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 67.92% | 23.7% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 32.08% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 67.92% | 23.7% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |