Sprache:Deutsch
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Mariano Navone (Heim)
Prognose 25.93%3.86faire Quote
EV +3.71%
Vorteil +0.926%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.046%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.60%25.93%25.81%27.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Fils (Auswärts)
Prognose 74.07%1.35faire Quote
EV -1.48%
Vorteil -1.11%
Kelly -4.49%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.04%74.07%74.19%76.40%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.69%77.52%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Mariano Navone (Heim): 25.93%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 74.07%. Für Mariano Navone (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.86. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.71%.
Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.71%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.41%E +0.610%K +0.817%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.63%E -7.89%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.183%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.03%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.48%E -1.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |