Langue:Français
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 29.97%3.34cote équitable
EV +0.415%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.177%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.48%29.93%30.02%32.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.133.3534.48%31.85%32.00%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.03%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.76%70.07%69.98%71.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Mariano Navone (Local) : 29.97% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 70.03%. Pour Mariano Navone (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.35, pour une espérance positive de +0.415%.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.415%E +0.124%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.68%E -0.513%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.88%E -0.890%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -1.96%E -1.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 00:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 34.20% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.80% | 15.1% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84% | 17.8% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84% | 17.8% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 33.51% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.49% | 18.4% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |