Langue:Français
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 25.93%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.71%
Avantage +0.926%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.046%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.93%25.81%27.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Fils (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.07%1.35cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.04%74.07%74.19%76.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.69%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mariano Navone (Local) : 25.93% ; Arthur Fils (Visiteur) : 74.07%. Pour Mariano Navone (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.71%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.71%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.41%E +0.610%K +0.817%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.63%E -7.89%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.183%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.03%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.48%E -1.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |