Язык:Русский
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mariano Navone (Хозяева)
Прогноз 25.93%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.71%
Преимущество +0.926%
Kelly +1.24%
Рост +0.046%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.60%25.93%25.81%27.96%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Arthur Fils (Гости)
Прогноз 74.07%1.35справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -1.11%
Kelly -4.49%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
72.04%74.07%74.19%76.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.69%77.52%75.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mariano Navone (Хозяева): 25.93%; Arthur Fils (Гости): 74.07%. Для исхода «Mariano Navone (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.86. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.71%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (65 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.71%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.41%E +0.610%K +0.817%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.63%E -7.89%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.183%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.03%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.48%E -1.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |