Język:Polski
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 25.93%3.86kurs godziwy
EV +3.71%
Przewaga +0.926%
Kelly +1.24%
Wzrost +0.046%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.60%25.93%25.81%27.96%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Arthur Fils (Goście)
Prognoza 74.07%1.35kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -1.11%
Kelly -4.49%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
72.04%74.07%74.19%76.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.69%77.52%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Mariano Navone (Gospodarze): 25.93%; Arthur Fils (Goście): 74.07%. Dla wyniku Mariano Navone (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.86. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.71%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.71%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.41%E +0.610%K +0.817%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.63%E -7.89%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.183%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.03%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.48%E -1.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |