语言:简体中文
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mariano Navone (主队)
预测 25.93%3.86公平赔率
EV +3.71%
优势 +0.926%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.046%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.60%25.93%25.81%27.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.613.604.0029.85%27.67%27.78%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arthur Fils (客队)
预测 74.07%1.35公平赔率
EV -1.48%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -4.49%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
72.04%74.07%74.19%76.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.69%77.52%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mariano Navone (主队)：25.93%；Arthur Fils (客队)：74.07%。 对于“Mariano Navone (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.86。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+3.71%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.71%E +0.926%K +1.24%G +0.046% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV +2.41%E +0.610%K +0.817%G +0.020% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.63%E -7.89%K -43.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV +1.63%E +0.416%K +0.559%G +0.009% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-06 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +0.595%E +0.153%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.183%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.48%E -0.389%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.78%E -0.740%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.03%E -0.811%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV -3.29%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-06 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:18 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.66%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.41%E -5.93%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 13:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.31%EV -8.22%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.69%EV -1.48%E -1.11%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -8.48%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -2.96%E -2.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 06:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.26%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.19%E -4.05%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.93%E -4.67%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.45%E -3.45%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -13.15%E -3.92%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.70%E -2.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 08:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10% | 1.7% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-06 15:35 |