StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils

2026-08-06 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone (Hemma)

Prognos 29.97%3.34rättvist odds
EV +0.415%
Fördel +0.124%
Kelly +0.177%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.48%29.93%30.02%32.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.143.133.3534.48%31.85%32.00%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Borta)

Prognos 70.03%1.43rättvist odds
EV -1.96%
Fördel -1.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.76%70.07%69.98%71.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Mariano Navone (Hemma): 29.97%; Arthur Fils (Borta): 70.03%. För Mariano Navone (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.34. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.35, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.415%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.415%E +0.124%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 22:59
DraftKings🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 00:25
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:25
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.68%E -0.513%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:20
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.88%E -0.890%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:20
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:55
GTbets🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -1.96%E -1.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 21:00
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:25
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 21:03
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 00:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:00
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%1.5%2026-08-06 00:50
ProphetX2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%7.6%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%10.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 34.20%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.80%15.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84%17.8%2026-08-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84%17.8%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 33.51%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.49%18.4%2026-08-06 01:30