Idioma:Español
Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils
Resultado del partido
Mariano Navone (Local)
Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV +0.415%
Ventaja +0.124%
Kelly +0.177%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.48%29.93%30.02%32.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.133.3534.48%31.85%32.00%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 70.03%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%70.07%69.98%71.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.28%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Mariano Navone (Local): 29.97%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 70.03%. Para Mariano Navone (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.34. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.35, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.415%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.415%E +0.124%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.68%E -0.513%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.88%E -0.890%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -1.96%E -1.40%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 20:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-06 00:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93% | 1.5% | 2026-08-06 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18% | 10.3% | 2026-08-06 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 34.20% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 65.80% | 15.1% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84% | 17.8% | 2026-08-06 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84% | 17.8% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 33.51% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 66.49% | 18.4% | 2026-08-06 01:30 |