Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mariano Navone v Arthur Fils

2026-08-06 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mariano Navone (Casa)

Previsione 29.97%3.34quota equa
EV +0.415%
Vantaggio +0.124%
Kelly +0.177%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.48%29.93%30.02%32.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.133.3534.48%31.85%32.00%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arthur Fils (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.03%1.43quota equa
EV -1.96%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -4.91%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.76%70.07%69.98%71.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.28%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Mariano Navone (Casa): 29.97%; Arthur Fils (Trasferta): 70.03%. Per Mariano Navone (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.34. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.35, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.415%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.415%E +0.124%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 22:59
DraftKings🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 00:25
SportsBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV +0.115%E +0.035%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-06 00:25
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.08%E -0.328%K -0.471%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:25
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -1.68%E -0.513%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 00:20
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 22:55
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.58%E -0.795%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.88%E -0.890%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 00:20
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.08%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.97%E -6.90%K -29.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 22:55
GTbets🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 30.50%EV -4.38%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%EV -1.96%E -1.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 21:00
Fanatics🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.58%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 20:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 21:00
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.50%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:10
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 00:25
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.08%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:24
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.58%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 00:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.47%E -4.05%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-05 21:00
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 21:03
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.08%E -3.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.16%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-06 00:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:00
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -13.07%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 68.88%EV -8.27%E -6.31%K -26.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-06 00:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig3.51I 28.49%NM 28.07%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.93%1.5%2026-08-06 00:50
ProphetX2.98I 33.56%NM 31.18%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%7.6%2026-08-06 01:30
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%10.3%2026-08-06 00:25
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 34.20%1.32I 75.76%NM 65.80%15.1%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84%17.8%2026-08-06 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 33.16%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.84%17.8%2026-08-06 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 33.51%1.27I 78.74%NM 66.49%18.4%2026-08-06 01:30