Language:English
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien
Head to Head
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prediction 34.41%2.91fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.626%
Kelly +0.946%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.08%34.36%34.62%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.752.9640.82%36.42%36.36%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.64%65.38%67.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.441.5072.99%69.74%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 34.41%; Learner Tien (Visit): 65.59%. For Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.96, producing a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +1.85%E +0.626%K +0.946%G +0.018% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 00:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.555%E -0.192%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 02:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.40%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 02:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 00:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 00:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 00:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-10 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.65% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35% | 9.3% | 2026-08-10 01:35 |