預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 23:45 UTC

最終賽果: Daniel Merida Aguilar 0–2 Learner Tien

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

66 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (主隊)

預測 35.88%2.79公平賠率
EV -1.33%
優勢 -0.482%
Kelly -0.758%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.75

博彩公司預測分布
34.99%35.91%35.84%37.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.632.602.7540.00%38.02%38.46%36.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Learner Tien (客隊)

預測 64.12%1.56公平賠率
EV -2.54%
優勢 -1.67%
Kelly -4.88%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.52

博彩公司預測分布
62.50%64.09%64.16%65.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.431.491.501.5269.93%67.31%66.89%65.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Daniel Merida Aguilar (主隊):35.88%;Learner Tien (客隊):64.12%。 對於「Daniel Merida Aguilar (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.79的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.75,期望值為-1.33%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (66 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.33%E -0.482%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 22:44
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-10 06:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-11 23:29
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.04%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-11 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 23:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 23:29
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 22:40
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 21:09
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.84%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 20:54
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 21:30
DraftKings🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 23:34
SportsBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.56%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 20:55
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:40
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:14
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:40
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:29
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 15:24
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 04:03
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:19
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 15:18
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 22:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.31%E -5.81%K -19.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 22:44
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 20:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:10
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 21:20
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 22:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 20:54
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.39%E -4.37%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 22:30
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 21:23
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 21:20
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 22:44
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 22:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:10
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 15:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Novig◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-11 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-11 23:30
ProphetX◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-11 23:30
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%0.6%2026-08-11 23:25
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-08-11 23:35