StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien

2026-08-11 20:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim)

Prognose 34.41%2.91faire Quote
EV +1.85%
Vorteil +0.626%
Kelly +0.946%
Wachstum +0.018%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.96

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.08%34.36%34.62%36.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.452.752.752.9640.82%36.42%36.36%33.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Auswärts)

Prognose 65.59%1.52faire Quote
EV -1.61%
Vorteil -1.08%
Kelly -3.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
63.41%65.64%65.38%67.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.371.431.441.5072.99%69.74%69.44%66.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim): 34.41%; Learner Tien (Auswärts): 65.59%. Für Daniel Merida Aguilar (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.91. 3 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 2.96 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.85%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +1.85%E +0.626%K +0.946%G +0.018%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 02:30
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 00:14
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 02:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 00:15
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.555%E -0.192%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 00:15
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 00:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:04
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:15
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:15
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.40%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 01:35
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 02:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 01:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:20
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:15
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 00:14
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 00:18
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 20:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 00:08
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 00:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-08-10 02:30
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%3.4%2026-08-10 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.65%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35%9.3%2026-08-10 01:35