Langue:Français
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien
Résultat du match
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)
Prévision 34.41%2.91cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.626%
Kelly +0.946%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 2.96
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.08%34.36%34.62%36.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.752.752.9640.82%36.42%36.36%33.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.59%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.64%65.38%67.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.441.5072.99%69.74%69.44%66.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local) : 34.41% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 65.59%. Pour Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.91. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.96, pour une espérance positive de +1.85%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +1.85%E +0.626%K +0.946%G +0.018% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 02:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 00:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 02:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.555%E -0.192%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-10 02:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 01:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.40%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 02:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 01:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 00:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 00:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 00:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-10 00:04 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 3.4% | 2026-08-10 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.65% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35% | 9.3% | 2026-08-10 01:35 |