Język:Polski
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 35.88%2.79kurs godziwy
EV -1.33%
Przewaga -0.482%
Kelly -0.758%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.99%35.91%35.84%37.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.632.602.7540.00%38.02%38.46%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Learner Tien (Goście)
Prognoza 64.12%1.56kurs godziwy
EV -2.54%
Przewaga -1.67%
Kelly -4.88%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.52
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.50%64.09%64.16%65.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.491.501.5269.93%67.31%66.89%65.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Gospodarze): 35.88%; Learner Tien (Goście): 64.12%. Dla wyniku Daniel Merida Aguilar (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.79. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.75, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.33%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.33%E -0.482%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 06:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.04%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.84%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.56%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 04:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.31%E -5.81%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.39%E -4.37%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |