Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien

2026-08-11 20:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local)

Previsão 34.41%2.91odd justa
EV +1.85%
Vantagem +0.626%
Kelly +0.946%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.08%34.36%34.62%36.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.752.752.9640.82%36.42%36.36%33.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Learner Tien (Visitante)

Previsão 65.59%1.52odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -3.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.41%65.64%65.38%67.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.371.431.441.5072.99%69.74%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local): 34.41%; Learner Tien (Visitante): 65.59%. Para Daniel Merida Aguilar (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.91. 3 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.96, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV +1.85%E +0.626%K +0.946%G +0.018%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-10 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.477%E +0.163%K +0.249%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 02:30
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 00:14
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 02:39
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -0.211%E -0.073%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 00:15
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -0.555%E -0.192%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-10 00:15
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 00:15
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.899%E -0.312%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 00:15
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:04
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:25
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.93%E -0.678%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:15
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.65%E -1.30%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:15
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.37%E -1.95%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.46%EV -6.40%E -2.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -6.21%E -4.34%K -14.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 01:35
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.58%E -2.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.24%E -2.90%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 02:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 01:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 22:20
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 00:15
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.09%E -2.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.89%E -3.38%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.81%E -3.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:05
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 00:14
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.85%E -3.76%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.55%E -3.85%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 00:18
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.53%E -4.05%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.61%E -1.08%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 20:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 00:08
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.25%E -4.81%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.98%E -5.59%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -15.70%E -6.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -8.17%E -5.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-10 00:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-08-10 02:30
Novig2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%3.4%2026-08-10 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%5.6%2026-08-10 01:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 34.65%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.35%9.3%2026-08-10 01:35