اللغة:العربية
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)
التنبؤ 35.88%2.79السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.482%
Kelly -0.758%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.99%35.91%35.84%37.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.632.602.7540.00%38.02%38.46%36.36%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
Learner Tien (الضيف)
التنبؤ 64.12%1.56السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -4.88%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.52
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.50%64.09%64.16%65.01%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.491.501.5269.93%67.31%66.89%65.79%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة) احتمالات سوق نتيجة المباراة كالآتي: Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف): 35.88%؛ Learner Tien (الضيف): 64.12%. بالنسبة إلى Daniel Merida Aguilar (المضيف)، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره 2.79. لم تعرض أي شركة مراهنات مؤهلة سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى: كان أفضل سعر 2.75، بقيمة متوقعة قدرها -1.33%؛ ولم ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة.
أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.33%E -0.482%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 06:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.04%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.84%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.56%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 04:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.31%E -5.81%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.39%E -4.37%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |