语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Learner Tien
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 35.88%2.79公平赔率
EV -1.33%
优势 -0.482%
Kelly -0.758%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
34.99%35.91%35.84%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.632.602.7540.00%38.02%38.46%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Learner Tien (客队)
预测 64.12%1.56公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -4.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.52
博彩公司预测分布
62.50%64.09%64.16%65.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.491.501.5269.93%67.31%66.89%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：35.88%；Learner Tien (客队)：64.12%。 对于“Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.79。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.75，期望值为-1.33%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.33%E -0.482%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 06:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.68%E -0.615%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -2.04%E -0.749%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.54%E -1.67%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.12%E -1.16%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.84%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.56%E -1.71%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.46%E -3.00%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.91%E -1.85%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 04:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.27%E -2.00%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.63%E -2.14%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 15:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 17:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%EV -5.99%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%EV -8.31%E -5.81%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.10%E -3.45%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.39%E -4.37%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.03%E -4.85%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.71%E -2.58%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.67%E -5.33%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.50%E -3.33%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.30%E -4.12%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.82%E -2.55%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 15:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12% | 2.4% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |