Language:English
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Head to Head
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prediction 61.12%1.64fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.12%61.08%62.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.34%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 38.88%2.57fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.34%41.15%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alex Michelsen (Local): 61.12%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 38.88%. For Alex Michelsen (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.61, with an expected value of -1.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 09:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |