Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo

2026-08-05 18:50 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Prévision 61.12%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.980%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%61.12%61.08%62.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.30%64.10%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.88%2.57cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.38%41.15%39.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 61.12% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 38.88%. Pour Alex Michelsen (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.62, pour une espérance de -0.980% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.980%E -0.605%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:45
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 08:14
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:25
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 20:34
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:55
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:45
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 17:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:50
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 12:40
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 14:35
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:54
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:58
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 20:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:44
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:01
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:01
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:04
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 14:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 16:58
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 13:25
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 12:15
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:04
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:14
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:50
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:30
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 12:09
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 15:04
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:13
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 15:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 14:50
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 14:50
ReBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:09
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 14:49
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 09:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 23:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-04 22:55
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-08-04 22:55