Langue:Français
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prévision 58.79%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.83%58.78%61.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.08%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.21%2.43cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.455%
Kelly -0.780%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%41.17%41.22%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.302.4045.45%43.60%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alex Michelsen (Local) : 58.79% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 41.21%. Pour Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.40, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.57%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.92%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:23 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.29%E -5.31%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.09%E -0.455%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |