Idioma:Español
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Resultado del partido
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Predicción 61.12%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.980%
Ventaja -0.605%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.67%61.12%61.08%62.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.30%64.10%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 38.88%2.57momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.38%41.15%39.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alex Michelsen (Local): 61.12%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 38.88%. Para Alex Michelsen (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.62, con un valor esperado de -0.980%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.980%E -0.605%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 09:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |