Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 61.12%1.64kurs godziwy
EV -0.980%
Przewaga -0.605%
Kelly -1.58%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.67%61.12%61.08%62.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.30%64.10%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Francisco Cerundolo (Goście)
Prognoza 38.88%2.57kurs godziwy
EV -1.64%
Przewaga -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.53
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.38%41.15%39.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 61.12%; Francisco Cerundolo (Goście): 38.88%. Dla wyniku Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.64. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.62, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.980%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.980%E -0.605%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 09:35 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |