Język:Polski
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 58.79%1.70kurs godziwy
EV -1.82%
Przewaga -1.09%
Kelly -2.72%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.67
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.85%58.83%58.78%61.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.08%61.73%59.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Francisco Cerundolo (Goście)
Prognoza 41.21%2.43kurs godziwy
EV -1.09%
Przewaga -0.455%
Kelly -0.780%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.93%41.17%41.22%43.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.292.302.4045.45%43.60%43.48%41.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Alex Michelsen (Gospodarze): 58.79%; Francisco Cerundolo (Goście): 41.21%. Dla wyniku Francisco Cerundolo (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.43. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 2.40, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.09%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.57%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.92%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:23 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.29%E -5.31%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.09%E -0.455%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |