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Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Direkter Vergleich
Alex Michelsen (Heim)
Prognose 61.12%1.64faire Quote
EV -0.980%
Vorteil -0.605%
Kelly -1.58%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.67%61.12%61.08%62.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.471.561.561.6268.03%64.30%64.10%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts)
Prognose 38.88%2.57faire Quote
EV -1.64%
Vorteil -0.649%
Kelly -1.07%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.53
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.03%38.88%38.92%41.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.422.432.5344.44%41.38%41.15%39.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Alex Michelsen (Heim): 61.12%; Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts): 38.88%. Für Alex Michelsen (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.64. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.62, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.980%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.
Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.980%E -0.605%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.59%E -0.989%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| GTbets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.20%E -1.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.81%E -1.77%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.42%E -0.964%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.43%E -2.17%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.58%E -4.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.04%E -2.57%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -1.64%E -0.649%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-04 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:44 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.53%E -2.28%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 07:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.65%E -2.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.26%E -3.39%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 12:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -3.97%E -1.61%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 08:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.75%E -1.94%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.70%E -2.79%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:04 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:13 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.47%E -3.14%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.48%E -4.24%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.64%E -3.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-04 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.92%E -2.45%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.09%E -4.67%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.25%E -3.50%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 15:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.54%E -6.44%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.53%E -5.57%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.15%E -6.90%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 09:35 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-08-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 22:55 |