Lingua:Italiano
Alex Michelsen v Francisco Cerundolo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alex Michelsen (Casa)
Previsione 58.79%1.70quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.72%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.85%58.83%58.78%61.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.611.621.6765.36%62.08%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)
Previsione 41.21%2.43quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.455%
Kelly -0.780%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.93%41.17%41.22%43.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.292.302.4045.45%43.60%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alex Michelsen (Casa): 58.79%; Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta): 41.21%. Per Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.43. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.40, con un valore atteso del -1.09%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (66 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.82%E -1.09%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-05 20:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.41%E -1.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.00%E -1.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.59%E -2.19%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.57%E -1.52%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 20:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.80%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.76%E -2.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.39%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -2.74%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.94%E -3.71%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.33%E -4.24%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 17:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.53%E -4.10%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.11%E -4.50%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.92%E -0.805%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:23 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.29%E -5.31%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.88%E -5.73%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.05%E -6.57%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.09%E -0.455%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 20:50 |